The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

Brian Gaze
16 August 2026 15:59:28

I'm interested to see if they'll respond to your suggestion Brian. I doubt it, but I'd love to be proven wrong. They might think it's minor semantics, and they know best, so no need to edit.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

No response.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Rob K
16 August 2026 21:57:42

I've flagged this to the BBC directly and asked them to reword it because I think it's awful reporting. 

"The statement is a blunt assessment of where we are now. In her view this challenging summer is not a new normal that people can grow used to but instead it marks the coolest, least-severe conditions that Britain can now expect – with each year likely to bring more difficult conditions until greenhouse gases reach net-zero."

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cr89n5n0jp2vt 

I said to them:

"this is awful reporting. Year-to-year variability means that, despite the increasing background warmth, we will experience cooler summers than the current one. The point is that the TREND is towards higher temperatures, but it is not a linear progression because of variations in weather patterns. Can you word this better?"

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Another inaccuracy in the same piece:

"As we reported earlier, temperatures of 35C are expected, after the country set its hottest day on record on Wednesday with 35.3C (96F) recorded in Gogerddan, which lies about three miles northeast of Aberystwyth."

The Welsh temperature record is 37.1C, so that's nowhere near. I think they meant to say the hottest August day on record.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Gandalf The White
17 August 2026 00:04:49

I'm interested to see if they'll respond to your suggestion Brian. I doubt it, but I'd love to be proven wrong. They might think it's minor semantics, and they know best, so no need to edit.

And Darren, as you say after the two hot summers of the mid-seventies, many pundits were adamant that was the beginning of warm to hot summers. Likewise, this year there are pundits saying that because of the El Niño, next year's UK summer is baked in to be like this one.  Reminds me of the 'end of history' concept that many accepted until it wasn't.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Your view works fine if you assume that nothing has been fundamentally altered by the continuing rise in CO2 and CH4 levels. If, however, you think that some form of tipping point might have been reached then, as the adverts for financial products say, ‘past performance may not be a guide to future performance’.

Let’s not overlook the fact that the increase in wild fires is also a positive feedback since they pump even more CO2 into the atmosphere as well as destroying a carbon sink.


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
17 August 2026 06:45:07

Your view works fine if you assume that nothing has been fundamentally altered by the continuing rise in CO2 and CH4 levels. If, however, you think that some form of tipping point might have been reached then, as the adverts for financial products say, ‘past performance may not be a guide to future performance’.

Let’s not overlook the fact that the increase in wild fires is also a positive feedback since they pump even more CO2 into the atmosphere as well as destroying a carbon sink.

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

I understand what you are saying Peter and understand those points. The point though in this case was that I was thinking when Brian made his post, is the idea that I thought it would be unlikely for the BBC to edit their story. They still might but I doubt it. Loss of face might be an issue? The hook they hung their story on was an implied (alarming?) linear increase in temperature year by year until net zero is reached.  This was the issue I think Brian and Darren picked up as misleading. Next year may well be cooler or even wetter in the summer. But not smoothly upwards linear.

I’ve come across similar misleading things before and a reluctance to change them or perhaps just ignoring them. One was a photo of an edible fig plant that wasn’t a fig and the other an article on drought-resistant and hardy plants where they used an image of a beautiful red pelargonium as an example of a hardy, drought-resistant geranium plant. In both cases, I assume the picture researcher had found what he or she thought was the right image and used them.  You can contact the author(s) but no they won’t change them. Unless it’s an image of say a particular person. It would cost more in £ than leave it and hope few people notice, and in any case no one likes to be told they are wrong, me included! 


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Remove ads from site