You keep repeating the same line. As you know features will not be picked up at this range.

Kieron is just saying what he sees.

Dry / bone dry for the foreseeable. 

 

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Lightyears away in forecasting terms, so not worth consideration other than for the sheer fact it's there at the moment. If it's still there in FAX chart range then it gets interesting. I bet it won't be though, or not as shown, given the sheer length of time until then

I like this forum for its realism. 

Absolutely right.

 

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We have a mix of light rain and sleet forecast tomorrow evening by Met Office app  Precipitation cropping up at short notice but look at those dew points.

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Kieron is just saying what he sees.

Dry / bone dry for the foreseeable. 

 

And the Aperge showing a feature tomorrowZ we just discount? That's not bone dry for the foreseable.

Arome showing precipitation pontential
as well.
 

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And the Aperge showing a feature tomorrowZ we just discount? That's not bone dry for the foreseeable

I really wouldn’t waste your breath to be honest. 

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So, tonight is the first chance to put the hi-res U.K. Met Office model to the test. Will it reach -15°C in parts of Scotland tonight? 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ukguk/12_16_2m_min_temp.png  

That model seems very prone to have very low temperatures! The same chart on the UKV model for 0400 tomorrow morning has typically -2 to -5 in the area where that chart shows -15. It has a long way to go!

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ECM London ensembles now pretty much rock solid -6c for 10 days in a row.

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So, tonight is the first chance to put the hi-res U.K. Met Office model to the test. Will it reach -15°C in parts of Scotland tonight? 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ukguk/12_16_2m_min_temp.png  

Ares those areas in glens which are known frost pockets?
My bones are chilled just thinking about those temperatures.

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Test - is the model thread broken?

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Test - I can only read the latest posts by pressing reply.

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I remember these channel lows changing direction last minute and the French get a damping. I suspect this will miss us again and clear to the south of theUK with perhaps jersey getting some decent snow.

Happened a few times in the famous February 86!

We have a mix of light rain and sleet forecast tomorrow evening by Met Office app  Precipitation cropping up at short notice but look at those dew points.

Absolutely ridiculous that we could end up getting rain tomorrow evening.

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Stunning output this evening. First time we have had the full set
UKMO seems out on its own with the low, now seems it will get nowhere near us, and we look east for streamers

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I can remember that one quite well Saint, I was chopping up a tree for firewood at the time, here in from there was a fair bit more than 20cm though more like 45cm and maybe more towards the Mendips. Living here from 1970 most of our best snow events happened with this kind set up.

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Anyone else having issues with this forum? ​​​​​​​The last post I can see is a broken one from Heavy Weather.  

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Should be ok now.

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Anyone else having issues with this forum? The last post I can see is a broken one from Heavy Weather.  

​​​​​​​I had that. Tried refreshing and going back to the main menu, but neither worked. Ended up going yo a different site then back to this one, which removed the gremlin. 

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ECM London ensembles now pretty much rock solid -6c for 10 days in a row.

A pretty incredible outlook really given the weather we’ve had this year to date. 

An impressive run of cold.

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I can remember that one quite well Saint, I was chopping up a tree for firewood at the time, here in from there was a fair bit more than 20cm though more like 45cm and maybe more towards the Mendips. Living here from 1970 most of our best snow events happened with this kind set up.

Sounds great! I was only 10 y/o at the time so have had to check Wetter's Karten Archive for the synoptics. 

A rare feast, though, as most of the time the front drags in mild air then blasts through with rain (NYE 2000/01 still stings, man!) 

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GFS 18z shows 17cm of snow to the south of London by Sunday.

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