More generally, WX summary continues the theme of hot weather across Europe for the next two weeks. It's not quite as extensive as yesterday; for Britain the really hot weather is now week 2 and only for England SE of Exeter-York while N Scotland along with most of Scandinavia and (later on) W Russia remains cool. Rain now pushed north, to N Scotland and N Scandinavia and (week 2) N Russia while the extremely dry area settles over the Channel, extending E-wards to Baltic and Ukraine week 2.
GFS Op has the LP on the Atlantic moving steadily NE bringing SW-lies then NW-lies before HP re-asserts itself 1030mb Ireland Sat 6th. This converts to a long ridge SW-NE, Atlantic to Norway, gradually pivoting W-E and moving S by the end of the week. LP develops W of Ireland and moves E-wards across Britain as a shallow trough from Sat 14th onwards though pressure remains fairly high to the S (unlike yesterday when LP was anchored over France)
GEFS dips to cool Sat 6th; then rises to v warm; good agreement between ens members on 5C above norm by Sat 13th after which a wide spread of options. The mean drops back to norm but op and control for the S produce 8-10C above though even they drop back later. No rain in the S until almost the end; for the N dry until 13th.
ECM like GFS until end of run Fri 12th when the ridge of HP across the S is interrupted by LP moving up from France
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