Gavin D
29 November 2023 19:47:39
BBC weather for the week ahead

Rest of the week
  • Staying cold
  • Sharp night frosts


Next week
  • Milder and wetter


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/67566744 
doctormog
29 November 2023 20:55:48
Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

BBC weather for the week ahead

Rest of the week

  • Staying cold
  • Sharp night frosts


Next week
  • Milder and wetter


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/67566744 



Given the fact they said that snow would be restricted to the highest ground largely in the north a few days ago for this current week I would be wary about any forecast for a week ahead. When “highest ground” transpires to mean “almost sea level” it detracts from the credibility somewhat. Largely in the north may or may not be correct and time will tell. The sleet or snow for highest ground was evidently going to be wrong from the moment the statement was made. Disappointing and unnecessary.

The graphics and forecast were also based on the ECM 00z op run which has been superseded by a slightly cooler 12z op run and ensembles so even more caution is needed. The max of 0°C forecast here on Sunday will certainly feel seasonal if it comes off, but that is some way off.
tallyho_83
30 November 2023 02:53:30
An Interesting Watch:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/63346531 
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Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


dagspot
01 December 2023 18:31:29
Darren ‘mild ramper’ Bettsy   ‘Much milder next week’  (changing tune from ‘less cold’)
Neilston 600ft ASL
Gavin D
01 December 2023 18:34:27
Met office seeing the potential for something at the end of the month judging by the LFR today

"Perhaps a greater chance of a longer cold spell late in the period."

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 
Gavin D
02 December 2023 11:27:17
BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Cold early December, then milder and wetter

Saturday 2 December to – Sunday 10 December
Becoming wet, windy and milder later in the week

Monday 11 December to – Sunday 17 December
Wet and windy at times. Chillier in the north

Monday 18 December to – Sunday 31 December
Periodically wet and windy

Further ahead

When we re-visit the forecast, we will see if the milder and unsettled outlook from the second half of next week onwards still looks likely.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
Gavin D
03 December 2023 14:04:01
BBC weather for the week ahead
  • Cold to start
  • Becoming wetter and windier
  • Turning milder for all

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001t47c/weather-for-the-week-ahead-03122023 
Saint Snow
04 December 2023 15:17:23
From the BBC News Website:

Quote:

A yellow rain warning has been issued for north-east England until 09:00 GMT on Tuesday.



Not quite as good as a 'yellow snow warning', but these still make me chuckle.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cumbria-67611117 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
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Gavin D
06 December 2023 11:17:07
BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Often wet and mild throughout December

Wednesday 6 December to – Sunday 10 December
Milder, and occasionally wet and windy

Monday 11 December to – Sunday 17 December
Changeable and turning a bit chillier

Monday 18 December to – Sunday 31 December
Periodically wet and windy

Further ahead

In the next forecast, we will be able to look at what the long range models are saying for early January. We will also see if they stick with the expected milder pattern through the rest of December, and if they hint at anything colder around the New Year.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
06 December 2023 16:47:45
Not much sign of a white Christmas from the BBC outlook. Perhaps favoured hilly northern areas? 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
ozone_aurora
06 December 2023 18:50:07
Have the Met Office historic station data gone or is it just a temporary problem? 😟

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/historic-station-data .

Can't access the stations. 😧
Retron
07 December 2023 04:33:51
Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 

Have the Met Office historic station data gone or is it just a temporary problem? 😟

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/historic-station-data .

Can't access the stations. 😧


Looks like they've cocked-up the links.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/manstondata.txt 
The data is still there, so just modify the link above with the station's text file and you'll get your data.
Leysdown, north Kent
07 December 2023 16:44:15
Friday 22 Dec - Friday 5 Jan
Most likely to be unsettled with further bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the west and northwest. The chance of a colder spell of weather, with hazards such as snow and ice, does increase later in December and into the New Year period. However, conditions are more likely to remain generally mild and wet.
Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Thu 7 Dec 2023


You do have to laugh at the logic

 
Berkshire
Gavin D
09 December 2023 10:34:25
BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Mild and rainy, then more seasonal and changeable

Saturday 9 December to – Sunday 17 December
Mild and wet, then colder and drier from midweek

Monday 18 December to – Sunday 24 December
Very uncertain but probably drier

Monday 1 January to – Sunday 14 January
Most probably becoming mild and wet

Further ahead

The pressing concern in the next update will be to see whether models have better agreement regarding developments during the week before Christmas.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
Ally Pally Snowman
09 December 2023 13:02:45
Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Mild and rainy, then more seasonal and changeable

Saturday 9 December to – Sunday 17 December
Mild and wet, then colder and drier from midweek

Monday 18 December to – Sunday 24 December
Very uncertain but probably drier

Monday 1 January to – Sunday 14 January
Most probably becoming mild and wet

Further ahead

The pressing concern in the next update will be to see whether models have better agreement regarding developments during the week before Christmas.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 



Think they may have missed the important week lol. 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
johncs2016
09 December 2023 15:35:35
I've just read that not one, but two named storms (Storm Elin and Storm Fergus) have now just been officially named by Met Eireann. With these storms coming so close to each other, it's dificult to probably gauge which is which out of those two.

As I write though, it has been absolutely pouring down with rain here in Edinburgh for most of today's daylight hours and it would appear that Storm Elin has been responsible for that.

Even after that clears away, another system is then expected to very quickly take its place tommorow, and it looks as though it is that next system which is Storm Fergus.

All of this now means that we will now have had six named storms under own joint UK/Ireland/Netherlands naming system since the start of this season which is still less than three month ago.

Furthermore, I don't recall any other occasion in the past when we have had two named storms in the same weekend nd so, this shows just how unsettled our weather has now become.
 
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Gavin D
10 December 2023 13:36:18
BBC weather for the week ahead
  • Rain at times
  • Blustery
  • Drier end of the week


https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001tccz/weather-for-the-week-ahead-10122023 
dagspot
10 December 2023 18:12:49
Fawksie ‘cold ramper’ suggesting a westward drift of High Pressure ‘turning colder in run up to xmas’ on Countryfile…  get him
Neilston 600ft ASL
Gavin D
12 December 2023 15:03:37
Met office seeing signs of something colder near Christmas

"It now looks probable that there will be at least one short-lived colder interlude next week, with a period of north or northwesterly winds that could bring some snow and ice, especially in the north."
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