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Risk for both of us has been 'severely trimmed' this morning. I'm not expecting anything but a continuation of the relentless rain.
Aye - this has been a winter of downgrades.. cant remember seeing an upgrade in our favour yet
another cold and thoroughly wet day today... I cant remember a winter like this...
the hunt goes on.
ARPEGE is bringing the snow risk a long way south for Saturday. One to watch for the snow-starved SE crew. (Although still nothing here)
The PPN band is fizzling over the west now, meaning that there's no chance of snow. The plus side is that the rain has got much lighter
Believe it when I see it had fa today when Arpege consistently showed snow at least falling here.
Saturday is showing snow for most of mid eastern England on Saturday. However with warmer air moving in by the early afternoon I imagine it will be 2-5cm in the morning followed by a quick thaw to low laying areas during the afternoon.
Next Tuesday...
Yet another one.
Well the 12z Arpege has even more snow on Saturday here. Hard to believe after today's fail but at least keeps the interest up.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=46&mode=42&map=330
Well the 12z Arpege has even more snow on Saturday here. Hard to believe after today's fail but at least keeps the interest up. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=46&mode=42&map=330
To be honest, my tactic now is to write this winter off. I'm hoping that reverse psychology will work. Just day after day of cold rain. Truly depressing. Snow on the continent, snow over the midlands north. I'm not sure what there is in the models to make Saturday any differentto be honest.
I've run that precipitation band through on the Arpege model on Meteociel for Saturday and it really looks like mainly rain. Cold rain I grant you, which will make a change from all the cold rain we've been having for the last 3 weeks. Really wish I did see a chance of snow from it but not seeing it - surface temps above zero, 850s about -2, dewpoints just above zero... what am I missing?
Would love to be proved wrong though
To be honest, my tactic now is to write this winter off. I'm hoping that reverse psychology will work. Just day after day of cold rain. Truly depressing. Snow on the continent, snow over the midlands north. I'm not sure what there is in the models to make Saturday any differentto be honest.I've run that precipitation band through on the Arpege model on Meteociel for Saturday and it really looks like mainly rain. Cold rain I grant you, which will make a change from all the cold rain we've been having for the last 3 weeks. Really wish I did see a chance of snow from it but not seeing it - surface temps above zero, 850s about -2, dewpoints just above zero... what am I missing?Would love to be proved wrong though
Yes its been an awful spell of weather as you say cold rain for basically 3 weeks.
The Arome model has very little snow on Saturday so its definitely an outside bet again.
Snowed for a good 8,9 hours straight here from about 5am this morning, a good 5-6 inches settled here, wasn’t expecting so much
Ha!! We ended up back to rain/ice. 1inch max
No way! Couldn’t believe it tbh it just kept snowing and snowing.
Arpege still has a spell of snow for the SE and EA tomorrow morning.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=31&mode=42&map=330
Arome is much more patchy for the SE and EA so don't hold your breath.
Arpege still has a spell of snow for the SE and EA tomorrow morning.http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=31&mode=42&map=330
Rain to snow boundary about 10 miles to my north, of course.
I'm not expecting much here either Arome looks very unconvincing.
Just to cheer you up, have a look at the Alaro model. It only covers eastern counties from around The Wash south but it's perfect for our area. It shows snow from around 5am until midday. It is at the upper end of the range of output but it's in line with the latest BBC radio forecast which talked of problems with snowfall for the East and South East into tomorrow afternoon.
Here's a snapshot for 9am: