From the sublime 

Got to 21.2C on 26th February 2019

 

 

......to the ridiculous

 

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Very inaccurate for friday. I expecting to go to mid 30's and not low 20's. 

It's must be heavy cloud cover for most of the UK.  I'm thinking west Wales hotspots like Porthmadog and Gogerddan might hit 30c but will need significant sunshine. 

 

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I’m really not expecting too much at all.  I’ve experienced the difference cloud cover can make having struggled to keep temps at 14c yesterday when the South basked in sunny 26c.  But having dutifully read and digested the unbiased posts on here, it’s pretty much what they forecast. 

This is our third grey, damp day but the forecast is for a steady improvement to begin this afternoon, leading to a decent weekend.  So anything better than the current dull 12.4c would be a huge bonus and gratefully accepted.  

 

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I’m really not expecting too much at all.  I’ve experienced the difference cloud cover can make having struggled to keep temps at 14c yesterday when the South basked in sunny 26c. 

a few little parts of the southeast perhaps. In London it was unremittingly overcast and cool. 

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The online Met Office forecast I saw on Sunday had, for Tue, maxes of 26*C for Bristol and 25*C for Birmingham, despite also showing extensive cloud cover.

It really puzzles me that such high numbers were ever forecast for those areas.

For today, their map showed 29*C for London, 26*C for Southampton and Bristol, 24*C for Birmingham, and 22*C for Norwich. This being despite also showing the northeast winds across England.

If the cloud breaks up in the far south as the upper level heat edges in, and downwind of high ground to the north of there, I can see the Southampton, Bristol and maybe Birmingham numbers being close to the mark.

For London, it's going to take a clearance of cloud by early afternoon and then some exceptional vertical mixing to sufficiently disrupt the flow off the North Sea for temps to hit the high 20s. Not ruling it out but it seems like a long shot!

Norwich reaching 22*C would also be surprising; even if models are breaking up the cloud much too slowly, there's not much of a land fetch across which vertical mixing can disrupt the flow off the North Sea.

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a few little parts of the southeast perhaps. In London it was unremittingly overcast and cool. 

http://ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&state=United+K&osum=no&fmt=html&ord=REV&ano=2019&mes=06&day=25&hora=18&ndays=1&Send=send

Weather stations appear to suggest otherwise, as I can see a lot of 22-24*C maximums across the SE yesterday, including 23.8*C at London St James Park.

To be fair, it did surprise me how high these were, as it didn't feel as warm as that here where 23.5*C was reported.

Also possible that it stayed cloudier and cooler locally, as there were some near-stationary cloud formations.

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Phew! It is so hot here in Worcestershire!

Wow! Weather today - overcast with a forecast high of 19 degrees celsius. I shall have to strip off and lie in a bucket of ice to cool down.

Tomorrow (Thursday) it is forecast to be even hotter, with a max of 21 celsius - will we survive?

Friday - forecast to peak at 22 degrees - this is too much - will have to go and jump in the river Teme to survive!

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The real heat is starting today on the continent. Istres and Le Luc both 34C at 11am (bear in mind France is an hour ahead of us) and widely above 30C elsewhere.

Also 34C In Leipzig and into low-mid 30s across much of Eastern Germany and West Poland.

For completeness 36C already in Corsica.

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Phew! It is so hot here in Worcestershire!

Wow! Weather today - overcast with a forecast high of 19 degrees celsius. I shall have to strip off and lie in a bucket of ice to cool down.

Tomorrow (Thursday) it is forecast to be even hotter, with a max of 21 celsius - will we survive?

Friday - forecast to peak at 22 degrees - this is too much - will have to go and jump in the river Teme to survive!

 

The infernal heat in edinburgh put a toe into the 40's last night.

Min temp Gogarbank 9.6C (49.28F)

The real heat is starting today on the continent. Istres and Le Luc both 34C at 11am (bear in mind France is an hour ahead of us) and widely above 30C elsewhere.

Also 34C In Leipzig and into low-mid 30s across much of Eastern Germany and West Poland.

For completeness 36C already in Corsica.

The ease of >40C in France despite the moist ground and the low SSTs shows IMO that it's probably just a matter of time before we see 40C being reached here in the UK; sometime in the next 20 years would be my guess.

 

Calvi (Corsica) already at 37C at 10.30 BST.

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Phew! It is so hot here in Worcestershire!

Wow! Weather today - overcast with a forecast high of 19 degrees celsius. I shall have to strip off and lie in a bucket of ice to cool down.

Tomorrow (Thursday) it is forecast to be even hotter, with a max of 21 celsius - will we survive?

Friday - forecast to peak at 22 degrees - this is too much - will have to go and jump in the river Teme to survive!

You’re lucky!  It’s 13c here!

Why can’t mainland Europe share the heat?  I’m sure they’d be more comfortable with a few degrees less!  

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Does anyone know what the record 850hpa temperatures are? Like I say it seems two may come close to being broken. Highest on the south coast and lowest for July when the -5C line gets over Shetland.

 

 

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Sun's made it through the clouds 3-4 hours ahead of the modelling consensus, but it's pretty windy with that.

Looks like the vertical mixing theory could be put to the test a bit here, if it can become mostly sunny within the next couple of hours. As logical as it seems, I'm really not sure how much effect it will have against such a strong gradient flow.

Currently nearing 21*C in this locality, chasing Bournemouth Airport which could well contest for the UK Max today given the dry, sandy terrain that surrounds it, coupled with a bit of higher ground to the northeast. Somewhere in the lee of higher ground in the West Country or SW Wales could feasibly climb higher, though.

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The online Met Office forecast I saw on Sunday had, for Tue, maxes of 26*C for Bristol and 25*C for Birmingham, despite also showing extensive cloud cover.

It really puzzles me that such high numbers were ever forecast for those areas.

For today, their map showed 29*C for London, 26*C for Southampton and Bristol, 24*C for Birmingham, and 22*C for Norwich. This being despite also showing the northeast winds across England.

If the cloud breaks up in the far south as the upper level heat edges in, and downwind of high ground to the north of there, I can see the Southampton, Bristol and maybe Birmingham numbers being close to the mark.

For London, it's going to take a clearance of cloud by early afternoon and then some exceptional vertical mixing to sufficiently disrupt the flow off the North Sea for temps to hit the high 20s. Not ruling it out but it seems like a long shot!

Norwich reaching 22*C would also be surprising; even if models are breaking up the cloud much too slowly, there's not much of a land fetch across which vertical mixing can disrupt the flow off the North Sea.

 

Sunny spells for past hour or so now down here and temps rising across the region with most now between 23-24C. 

I expect easily high 20's somewhere along or near the Solent stretch today.. Hurn, Gosport, Thorney, or perhaps a tad inland like Otterbourne. 

Absolutely unbearable here in central France, temperatures touching 38c with a forecast high of 41
It’s like walking into an oven, not a breath of wind

This is just crazy. Has to be one of the coldest upper level july charts ever. Snow has never been reliably observed on a non mountain site in the UK before, however this chart suggests that with a torrential downpoor it could actually be possible in Shetland.

 

 

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Sun's made it through the clouds 3-4 hours ahead of the modelling consensus, but it's pretty windy with that.

Looks like the vertical mixing theory could be put to the test a bit here, if it can become mostly sunny within the next couple of hours. As logical as it seems, I'm really not sure how much effect it will have against such a strong gradient flow.

Currently nearing 21*C in this locality, chasing Bournemouth Airport which could well contest for the UK Max today given the dry, sandy terrain that surrounds it, coupled with a bit of higher ground to the northeast. Somewhere in the lee of higher ground in the West Country or SW Wales could feasibly climb higher, though.

It’s brighter here since my last post and the temp slightly higher at 14c. The clouds are visibly patchy but I can’t yet see the outline of the sun through them.

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850hpa temp briefly reaches 26C according to the ECMWF.

Almost certainly a record

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Absolutely unbearable here in central France, temperatures touching 38c with a forecast high of 41
It’s like walking into an oven, not a breath of wind

Where are you?

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