The BBC which buys expertise from Meteogroup still going for a mild mobile December. A side mention of ‘slight risk’ of Easterly around the 10th-12th.
Sort of goes against what we’re seeing today but we’ll see.

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Met office

UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Dec 2018 to Monday 17 Dec 2018:

Bright but showery Saturday, with some heavy blustery showers in the north and west. Showers may affect the north and east on Sunday, whilst in the south and west there may be some more persistent rain for a time. Gales in the east at first ease during Sunday, but may return to the west later. During the rest of this period some longer drier, settled but cold spells are likely, with lighter winds (especially early next week). Any wet and windy weather is more likely to be confined to the north and west. This will bring overnight frosts and perhaps fog, especially for the south and east, but also a chance of some snow in the north. Some short-lived milder spells are likely, more especially from late next week onwards.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 18 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 1 Jan 2019:

This period may start with some settled, drier and colder weather, with overnight frosts and fog. Whilst there is a lot of uncertainty through the rest of the month, as Christmas approaches we may see a more general trend towards unsettled conditions returning, with spells of wetter and milder weather affecting many parts of the UK, and with a risk of gales at times. Any snow associated with these wet spells is more likely to be confined to hills in the north. Temperatures whilst starting below normal or cold, are likely to recover to be above average at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC News 24 forecast tonight (23.30) talked for the first time about a Scandi high next week and cold easterly winds.  Highlighted the uncertainty in the models but it's significant that the professionals think the risk is high enough to raise as a potential evolution.

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Yellow snow in China (no, not what you're thinking, and no, the Express didn't make it up)

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1053833/china-weather-yellow-snow-Xinjiang-freezing-temperatures-sandstorm-He-Qing

 

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BBC News 24 forecast tonight (23.30) talked for the first time about a Scandi high next week and cold easterly winds.  Highlighted the uncertainty in the models but it's significant that the professionals think the risk is high enough to raise as a potential evolution.

 

dont tell Ian

 

 

dont tell Ian

I'm sure he will be on board shortly to highlight whichever model output shows the Atlantic winning.

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Met office

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 18 Dec 2018:

Showers may affect the north and east on Sunday, whilst in the south and west there may be some more persistent rain for a time. Strong winds will also affect the northeast and southwest on Sunday. During the rest of this period some prolonged drier, settled but cold spells are likely, with lighter winds, especially early next week. Any wet and windy weather is more likely to be confined to the north and west. This will bring overnight frosts and perhaps fog, especially for the south and east, but also a chance of some snow in the north and west and possibly wintry showers in the east. Some unsettled milder spells are likely, more especially from late next week onwards.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 19 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 2 Jan 2019:

This period may start with some settled, drier and colder weather, with overnight frosts and fog. Whilst there is a lot of uncertainty through the rest of the month, as Christmas approaches we may see a more general trend towards unsettled conditions returning, with spells of wetter and milder weather affecting many parts of the UK, and with a risk of gales at times. Any snow associated with these wet spells is more likely to be confined to hills in the north. Temperatures whilst starting below normal or cold, are likely to recover to be above average at times, with fewer frosty nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Slowly changing their stance with a little more uncertainty

Met office

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 18 Dec 2018:

Showers may affect the north and east on Sunday, whilst in the south and west there may be some more persistent rain for a time. Strong winds will also affect the northeast and southwest on Sunday. During the rest of this period some prolonged drier, settled but cold spells are likely, with lighter winds, especially early next week. Any wet and windy weather is more likely to be confined to the north and west. This will bring overnight frosts and perhaps fog, especially for the south and east, but also a chance of some snow in the north and west and possibly wintry showers in the east. Some unsettled milder spells are likely, more especially from late next week onwards.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 19 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 2 Jan 2019:

This period may start with some settled, drier and colder weather, with overnight frosts and fog. Whilst there is a lot of uncertainty through the rest of the month, as Christmas approaches we may see a more general trend towards unsettled conditions returning, with spells of wetter and milder weather affecting many parts of the UK, and with a risk of gales at times. Any snow associated with these wet spells is more likely to be confined to hills in the north. Temperatures whilst starting below normal or cold, are likely to recover to be above average at times, with fewer frosty nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

An improved update 

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Next week

Frost and fog
Cold easterly wind
Wintry showers

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46447403 

With 20 days still to go until the big day 🎅🎁, there are still no guarantees but...

Chances of a white Christmas look low ☃. The end of Dec is most likely to get wet, windy and mild weather 💦💨

Keep dreaming 😴✨ pic.twitter.com/MSS27zJke1

— Simon King (@SimonOKing) December 5, 2018

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Potentially stormy and wet for Christmas period

Sorry, can't post link, but another upgrade on the met office forecast 

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Met office

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 19 Dec 2018:

Next week starts generally settled, especially so in the west, whilst scattered showers are likely in the east where they could be wintry at times. From mid week onwards the weather pattern becomes slow moving, with easterly winds developing and bringing showers to many parts, these possibly wintry away from coastal areas. Overnight frosts and patchy freezing fog are also likely at times. Any wet and windy weather is likely to be confined to the west and northwest, although rain may affect the south at times, bringing with it a risk of hill snow. Temperatures generally rather cold or cold, perhaps milder at times in the west, as well as in any brief unsettled spells.

UK Outlook for Thursday 20 Dec 2018 to Thursday 3 Jan 2019:

This period is likely to start with a mixture of weather, with spells of settled, drier and colder conditions with overnight frost and fog, but also with a chance of occasional bouts of windy and showery weather bringing a risk of snow. By Christmas and through the last week of December there is a more general trend towards unsettled conditions returning, with western areas seeing spells of windy, wet and milder weather, with the best of any drier but colder weather the east and south. By the New Year there is very low confidence in the forecast, but there are signs that weather patterns may become slow moving again, possibly bringing a period of colder and at times more settled weather conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Quite a big upgrade especially in the 2nd paragraph 

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"This period is likely to start with a mixture of weather"

Sherlock award for the Met Office, please.

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Quite a big upgrade especially in the 2nd paragraph 

Agreed , improving 

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Met office

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 19 Dec 2018:

Next week starts generally settled, especially so in the west, whilst scattered showers are likely in the east where they could be wintry at times. From mid week onwards the weather pattern becomes slow moving, with easterly winds developing and bringing showers to many parts, these possibly wintry away from coastal areas. Overnight frosts and patchy freezing fog are also likely at times. Any wet and windy weather is likely to be confined to the west and northwest, although rain may affect the south at times, bringing with it a risk of hill snow. Temperatures generally rather cold or cold, perhaps milder at times in the west, as well as in any brief unsettled spells.

UK Outlook for Thursday 20 Dec 2018 to Thursday 3 Jan 2019:

This period is likely to start with a mixture of weather, with spells of settled, drier and colder conditions with overnight frost and fog, but also with a chance of occasional bouts of windy and showery weather bringing a risk of snow. By Christmas and through the last week of December there is a more general trend towards unsettled conditions returning, with western areas seeing spells of windy, wet and milder weather, with the best of any drier but colder weather the east and south. By the New Year there is very low confidence in the forecast, but there are signs that weather patterns may become slow moving again, possibly bringing a period of colder and at times more settled weather conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Compared with the last paragraph during yesterday's update:

"Temperatures likely to recover to be above average at times, with fewer frosty nights."

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">https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Compared with the last paragraph during yesterday's update:

"Temperatures likely to recover to be above average at times, with fewer frosty nights."

yes I noticed that too Tally. A sudden overnight flip- ...confidence, albeit low must have tipped the balance in favour of a cold outbreak after Christmas.

finally a respite from the bowels of the Atlantic....?...