Whether Idle
27 June 2018 19:05:58
By my crude calculations using forecasted means for the 3 locations, we end up with a June CET of 16.4 prior to adjustments.
Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
ARTzeman
28 June 2018 11:31:40

Met Office Hadley           16.2c       Anomaly      2.1c. Provisional to 27th


Metcheck                        15.93c     Anomaly       1.79c


Netweather                     16.4c       Anomaly       2.3c


Alton                            16.7c       Anomaly       0.83c


Canvey Island              17.2c       Anomaly       0.58c


Cheadle Hulme             17.0c      Anomaly       1.64c


Clevedon Weather        18.1c      Anomaly        1.66c


Mansfield Woodhouse    16.0c     Anomaly        0.52c


Peasedown St John        18.0c.    Anomaly       1.65c. 


 


Mean of my watched 10 stations   16.84c                    






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
28 June 2018 14:33:07

Just another 0.2C to stick us in the top 10 Junes.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


golfingmad
28 June 2018 15:09:40

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


Just another 0.2C to stick us in the top 10 Junes.


 



I was hoping that June may settle at 16.5C, which would give it tenth position all by itself!


 


Cambridge and Winchmore Hill London N21.
Jonesy
29 June 2018 08:44:12

Just anyone have stats for July at hand? only 48hrs to go till July kicks off ......year is flying!


Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
ARTzeman
29 June 2018 10:37:00

Met Office Hadley        16.3c.    Anomaly   2.2c Provisional to 28th.


Metcheck                     16.01c   Anomaly   1.86c


Netweather                  16.49c   Anomaly   2.4c


Clevedon Weather        18.3c    Anomaly    1.86c


Mansfield Woodhouse  16.0c    Anomaly    1.65c


peasedown St John   18.0c.    Anomaly    1.65c.


 


10 Station Mean   16.82c.      






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
30 June 2018 12:49:39

Met Office Hadley          16.4c       Anomaly       2.3c


Metcheck                       16.11c     Anomaly       1.97c


Netweather                    16.58c     Anomaly       2.49c


Alton                            16.9c       Anomaly       0.63c


Canvey Island               17.3c       Anomaly       0.68c


Cheadle Hulme              17.3c       Anomaly       1.94c


Clevedon Weather          18.4c      Anomaly        1.96c


Darwen                         18.1c      Anomaly       2.24c


Hexam                          15.9c     Anomaly        1.36c


Mount Sorrel                  16.7c     Anomaly        1.22c


Mansfield Woodhouse      16.2c    Anomaly         0.85c


Peasedown St John         18.1c    Anomaly         1.75c


Treviskey Redruth           15.7c    Anomaly         0.4c.


 


Mean Temperature Of My 10 Watched Stations   17.06c.          






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
30 June 2018 14:05:28

I've got an idea what I'll go for when Simon puts on the July CET watch.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Stormchaser
30 June 2018 15:35:23

So uh... I used the ECM raw numbers to estimate what the 00z run did for the CET. 


It sits in the 20s for 1st-9th. That's an impressive start, but GFS continues to produce some much lower temps for the middle part of next week due to more of a HP circulation to the N/NE bringing drier air back into play plus some low cloud at times, really holding the temps down for the east of the triangle.


UKMO 00z sided with ECM so I see that warmer outcome as the favourite - but temps might not get quite so high of the diurnal shower potential is being underestimated (there's hardly any on the 00z ECM run).


 


Oh and - the raw ECM numbers for my location place my mean at around 22*C for the first 9 days. That's not far off the sort of weekly mean I saw during the hottest spells of July 2006! 


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected] 🙂
https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2021's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Global Warming
30 June 2018 16:27:03

The minimum CET for June is provisionally 11.4C which is 1.4C above the 1981-2010 mean


The maximum CET for June is provisionally 21.4C to yesterday which is 2.5C above the 1981-2010 mean.


The maximum CET could end up the 4th highest on record. Still way below 1976 though.


Here are the years with a maximum June CET of 21C or more:


22.6C 1976
21.9C 1940
21.7C 1970
21.4C 2018 (prov)
21.3C 1899
21.2C 1960
21.1C 2003
21.1C 1957
21.0C 2006
21.0C 1896
21.0C 1893
21.0C 1887


July thread coming shortly.

Bertwhistle
30 June 2018 16:32:23

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


The minimum CET for June is provisionally 11.4C which is 1.4C above the 1981-2010 mean


The maximum CET for June is provisionally 21.4C to yesterday which is 2.5C above the 1981-2010 mean.


The maximum CET could end up the 4th highest on record. Still way below 1976 though.


Here are the years with a maximum June CET of 21C or more:


22.6C 1976
21.9C 1940
21.7C 1970
21.4C 2018 (prov)
21.3C 1899
21.2C 1960
21.1C 2003
21.1C 1957
21.0C 2006
21.0C 1896
21.0C 1893
21.0C 1887


July thread coming shortly.



Thanks; an interesting league table GW.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
30 June 2018 16:38:18

Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


So uh... I used the ECM raw numbers to estimate what the 00z run did for the CET. 


It sits in the 20s for 1st-9th. That's an impressive start, but GFS continues to produce some much lower temps for the middle part of next week due to more of a HP circulation to the N/NE bringing drier air back into play plus some low cloud at times, really holding the temps down for the east of the triangle.


UKMO 00z sided with ECM so I see that warmer outcome as the favourite - but temps might not get quite so high of the diurnal shower potential is being underestimated (there's hardly any on the 00z ECM run).


 


Oh and - the raw ECM numbers for my location place my mean at around 22*C for the first 9 days. That's not far off the sort of weekly mean I saw during the hottest spells of July 2006! 



That tallies well with mine for that period SC: w/c Monday 17th July 2006, through to and including Sunday 23rd- mean maximum 28.5, brought down by a slightly cooler weekend; and mean minimum 15.7 (with some hot nights 19th-21st). 22.1 the mean, pretty well maintained for the few days afterwards too with just a 0.3 drop until the following Friday.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Global Warming
30 June 2018 16:43:00

The combined Apr - June CET for 2018 will be the 3rd warmest ever and only the 5th time that the CET for these 3 months has reached 13C


Highest Apr - Jun CETs on record:


13.40C 1798
13.27C 1762
13.16C 2018 (prov)
13.00C 1775
13.00C 1893

jhall
30 June 2018 18:10:58

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


The combined Apr - June CET for 2018 will be the 3rd warmest ever and only the 5th time that the CET for these 3 months has reached 13C


Highest Apr - Jun CETs on record:


13.40C 1798
13.27C 1762
13.16C 2018 (prov)
13.00C 1775
13.00C 1893



It's a real surprise that the other four leading values should have been set so long ago.


Cranleigh, Surrey
golfingmad
30 June 2018 19:04:59

Originally Posted by: jhall 


 


It's a real surprise that the other four leading values should have been set so long ago.



No doubt partly (or mostly) due to the hottest Junes occurring before the twentieth century. Top four hottest Junes are 1846, 1676,1826, and 1822. I would like to know what on earth was going on in 1846 with a CET value of 18.2C? 1976 at 17.0C was ridiculous enough but 18.2C in June must have been amazing. Put in context, June 2018 may come out at around 16.4C but that again is totally eclipsed by all these pre-20th Century Junes.


Interestingly, of the three summer months, both July and August all hold the top records for the CET series in recent years, but June still lags far behind in the CET series league table as far as Junes in recent years are concerned. I often wonder why that is? 


Cambridge and Winchmore Hill London N21.
Bolty
01 July 2018 08:34:06
My local average is an incredible 16.9°C in Manchester. 2.3°C above 1981-2010 and by far the warmest June I've ever recorded.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
Global Warming
01 July 2018 10:17:11

Final June figure is 16.10C


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_mean_2018


Several people, including myself predicted this figure.


Congratulations to Norseman, marting and Devonian

Rob K
01 July 2018 10:36:28

Originally Posted by: golfingmad 


Interestingly, of the three summer months, both July and August all hold the top records for the CET series in recent years, but June still lags far behind in the CET series league table as far as Junes in recent years are concerned. I often wonder why that is? 



My perception is that the seasons seem to have shifted a bit later in recent times, with the coldest winter weather often coming in late February and March, and "Indian summers" often having the best weather after a poor midsummer. Of course the trend for warm Aprils and Mays sort of messes up that theory, but June (and August) have often been poor in comparison recently.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Global Warming
01 July 2018 11:21:02

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


The minimum CET for June is provisionally 11.4C which is 1.4C above the 1981-2010 mean


The maximum CET for June is provisionally 21.4C to yesterday which is 2.5C above the 1981-2010 mean.


The maximum CET could end up the 4th highest on record. Still way below 1976 though.


Here are the years with a maximum June CET of 21C or more:


22.6C 1976
21.9C 1940
21.7C 1970
21.4C 2018 (prov)
21.3C 1899
21.2C 1960
21.1C 2003
21.1C 1957
21.0C 2006
21.0C 1896
21.0C 1893
21.0C 1887


July thread coming shortly.



Final official maximum CET for June is 21.62C so fourth place it is just behind 1970 but still 1C behind 1976.


Minimum CET was 10.59C which put it in equal 20th place

superteacher
01 July 2018 11:53:45
Surprised that’s it’s 16.1 when the provisional was at 16.4. Quite a drop.
Users browsing this topic

Ads