That wasn’t what you said. You said we’d be making history and that a hurricane hitting the UK is extremely rare, NOT that it was or has ever been a hurricane. That’s like saying tropical developments form in the tropics. Bloody obvious.
The waters around the UK cannot support a hurricane. It’s a simple as that.
No I didn't read the post you quoted.
"Bear in mind very vigorous depressions have hit us before. Hurricane winds, in themselves, are very rare but not unprecedented. However if the GFS plays out as suggested we will make meterological history. A hurricane hitting the UK is unbelievably rare and being alive to see that would be something.
I should emphasise the Michael fish storm was not tropical it was just very strong."
"Hurricane winds, in themselves, are very rare but not unprecedented."
Hurricane winds doesn't mean a hurricane. Its just 12 on the beaufort scale, and yes they do occasionally happen in the UK in extratropical systems. It should be quite clear that I was deliberately making the distinction here between hurricane force winds in extratropical storms and actual hurricanes.
"However if the GFS plays out as suggested we will make meterological history."
Notice how I used the word if? I Never claimed the 18Z run would verify. But if it did then it would be making meteorological history as a UK landfall has never happened before (aside from the dubious case of Debbie).
Also tropical systems do form outside of the tropics. A tropical cyclone has a very specific meaning which has to do with the physical processes governing its intensification and development, not its latitude. Tropical cyclones do form in the subtropics, for example. Ophelia is actually an example of that.
Merely stating 'the waters cannot support Hurricanes' is crude. Yes to all intents and purposes this is true, but just because it hasn't happened yet doesn't mean it is literally impossible. I think I gave quite good evidence in the europe landfall thread that such an occurrence could happen it is just unbelievably rare.
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.