As it is at the MOMENT.....

Metcheck       17.2c.     Anomaly 1.26c

N-W              18.6c.     Anomaly 1.67c.

Mount Sorrel  17.94c.   Anomaly 1.44c

 

  The above figures are updated every hour so could change during the course of the day..

My Mean 18.8c.  Anomaly   -1.2c.   2013 Mean was 20.00c.

My Annual  is reading     11.3c  Anomaly 5.6c.

 

Will be out today visiting relations..... so Hadley will come later from someone..

Those numbers all seem to have gone down. Seems odd, given yesterday looked very warm (I'm abroad so enjoying it vicariously at the moment).

Hadley CET flat at 17.5C. 18C seems unlikely now but let's see after today.

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Metcheck at he moment....   17.81c.  Anomaly 1.35

N-W                                    18.16c. Anomaly  1.67c.

Mount Sorrel                        18.05c. Anomaly   1.52c.

  

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The CET went over 20C again today for the third time this year by my calculations. Remaining hot for the next few days but a slight cool down starts Sunday. At the moment the output is not supporting a significant warm up again next week.

That could change but for now my estimate of the finishing CET has gone down to 17.76C. It now looks very unlikely that we will reach 18C this month.

 

Met Office Hadley    17.7c.  Anomaly   1.6c.  Provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck                17.84c. Anomaly   1.37c.

N-W                       18.28c  Anomaly   1.39c.

Mount Sorrel           18.04c.  Anomaly  1.54c.

My Mean                 18.8c.    Anomaly - 1.2c.

 

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Looks like we're going to fall just short of the magic 18c!

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IMBY

14.7c

Min 8.4c

Max 20.9c

Very good for here.

Met Office Hadley    17.8c.  Anomaly   1.9c.  Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck                17.49c. Anomaly  1.49c.

N-W                       18.4c.   Anomaly  1.91c.

Mount Sorrel           18.15c. Anomaly   1.65c.

My Mean                 19.1c.   Anomaly -0.9c.   

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Magic Numbers....

Met Office Hadley      18.0c.    Anomaly    2.0c.   Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                  18.07c.  Anomaly    1 .61c.

N-W                         18.49c .  Anomaly    2.0c.

Mount Sorrel             18.28c.   Anomaly    1.78c. 

My Mean                   19.1c.     Anomaly    -o.8c.

 

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Magic Numbers....

Met Office Hadley      18.0c.    Anomaly    2.0c.   Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                  18.07c.  Anomaly    1 .61c.

N-W                         18.49c .  Anomaly    2.0c.

Mount Sorrel             18.28c.   Anomaly    1.78c. 

My Mean                   19.1c.     Anomaly    -o.8c.

 

Phew so we've hit it - I am not surprised really. Been really quite hot here for a week now - and some very warm nights as well.

 

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Magic Numbers....

Met Office Hadley      18.0c.    Anomaly    2.0c.   Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                  18.07c.  Anomaly    1 .61c.

N-W                         18.49c .  Anomaly    2.0c.

Mount Sorrel             18.28c.   Anomaly    1.78c. 

My Mean                   19.1c.     Anomaly    -o.8c.

 

Phew so we've hit it - I am not surprised really. Been really quite hot here for a week now - and some very warm nights as well.

 

Regretably it doesn't look as though we're going to be able to stay there, with a few cooler nights next week and the probable downward correction.

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By my calculations the CET currently stands at 17.67C. Hadley provisional is at 17.96C.

After three consecutive days of 20C+ CET means (and a total of 5 for the month) we may get close again today. The CET should move up to 17.74C.

From tomorrow onwards the CET will actually start to drift down very slowly and I currently expect the final figure to come in at 17.66C.

 

We had pretty warm minima in the CET regions last night and the forecast for today is for low-mid 20s so I wonder if we'll get another final increase after today before things start to slip.

Tuesday-Thursday now looking quite warm too, although more confined to the SE than the recent warm spell. The CET is more of a Central-Western England temperature. Rothamsted aside all the stations are in the West of the country.

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We had pretty warm minima in the CET regions last night and the forecast for today is for low-mid 20s so I wonder if we'll get another final increase after today before things start to slip. Tuesday-Thursday now looking quite warm too, although more confined to the SE than the recent warm spell. The CET is more of a Central-Western England temperature. Rothamsted aside all the stations are in the West of the country.

The CET will probably be fairly static today. Might see a very small rise of a couple of hundredths if the maximums do top 25C today at the southern CET stations.

The rest of the month still looks fairly average to be honest. Pleasantly warm yes but nowhere near the heat of last week. The mean at Stonyhurst will push the overall CET down quite a bit so as I say average at best.

Best guess at this point is a 17.7C finish.

NICE FIGURES

Met Office Hadley    18.1c.       Anomaly  2.1c. Pr0visional to 26th.

Metcheck                18.17c       Anomaly   1.71c.

N-W                       18.6c.        Anomaly    2.11c.

Mount Sorrel           18.41c.      Anomaly    1.91c.

My Mean                 19.3c        Anomaly    -0.7c. 

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 STILL THERE.......

Meet Office Hadley     18.1c.   Anomaly    2.1c.  Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                      18.16c.  Anomaly    1.69c.

N-W                              18.63c   Anomaly    2.13c.

Mount Sorrel                  18.41c.  Anomaly     1.91c.

My Mean                        19.3c.    Anomaly    -0.7c.

 

 

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Met Office Hadley    18.1c.   Anomaly   2.1c.  Provisional to 28th.

Metcheck                18.15c. Anomaly   1.69c.

N-W                       18.61c.  Anomaly   2.12c.

Mount Sorrel           18.40c.  Anomaly   1.90c.

My Mean                 19.3c.    Anomaly  -0.7c.

               

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Met Office Hadley    18.1c.   Anomaly   2.1c.  Provisional to 28th.

Metcheck                18.15c. Anomaly   1.69c.

N-W                       18.61c.  Anomaly   2.12c.

Mount Sorrel           18.40c.  Anomaly   1.90c.

My Mean                 19.3c.    Anomaly  -0.7c.

               

Feeling good about my 17.94 prediction

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Met Office Hadley      18.0c.   Anomaly       2.0c.  Provisional to  29th.

Metcheck                  18.15c.   Anomaly     1.69c.

 N-W                         18.61c.   Anomaly    2.12c

Mount Sorrel              13.39c.   Anomaly    1.89c.

My Mean                    19.4c.     Anomaly   -0.6c.

                       

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Met Office Hadley     18.0c.      Anomaly       2.0c.       Provisional to   30th.

Metcheck                 18.16c.      Anomaly     1.70c.

N-W                        18.6c.        Anomaly     2.11c.

Mount Sorrel            18.35c.      Anomaly      1.85c.

Mt Mean                   19.4c.       Anomaly     -0.6c.

        

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My rough calculations produce a final CET for July of 17.76C

If that verifies it will be the third warmest July since 1995