The Weather Outlook

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tallyho_83
08 January 2025 11:05:17
Latest met office radar shows snow falling over Okehampton - Looks outside it's 0.8c and cloudy with Alto stratus clouds and bone dry.
Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

nsrobins
08 January 2025 11:09:26
Clearly in reality the system is further North than many models predicted, and more in line with the persistent GFS modelling. Of note is the likelihood that as dps fall again later some minor convective activity may develop on the departing northern flank increasing the risk for SE parts.

Here the frost has slowly lifted (2m 1.4C; dp 0C) and there’s just a hint of sizzle now. I see in higher S Devon it’s turning to snow quite readily now.


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Retron
08 January 2025 12:20:53
Up to 16 hours of rain forecast here by the MetO raw now - a pretty big change considering as late as yesterday evening it only had an hour or two of light rain. It's now forecast to be a degree warmer, a mix of 3s and 4s. Still delightful!

I'd wondered whether places like Detling Hill (up on the Downs) might receive something, but looking up the Hucking forecast just shows sleet, followed by (colder) rain. (Hucking is a great place name, isn't it? 😁)

IF (and it's a big if) things turn out cold enough inland there would be a fair bit more than the measly centimetre or two that the warning says. I guess the MetO feel it'll just be too warm in the end.


Leysdown, north Kent
warrenb
08 January 2025 12:24:20

Up to 16 hours of rain forecast here by the MetO raw now - a pretty big change considering as late as yesterday evening it only had an hour or two of light rain. It's now forecast to be a degree warmer, a mix of 3s and 4s. Still delightful!

I'd wondered whether places like Detling Hill (up on the Downs) might receive something, but looking up the Hucking forecast just shows sleet, followed by (colder) rain. (Hucking is a great place name, isn't it? 😁)

IF (and it's a big if) things turn out cold enough inland there would be a fair bit more than the measly centimetre or two that the warning says. I guess the MetO feel it'll just be too warm in the end.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Well over here is the west of the county it is currently 0.2c with a dp of -1c, so plenty cold enough for snow, but suspect temps will rise when it arrives. The wind coming off the channel will wamr the air and it depends how much mixing we get. But as you say the meto raw still showing rain for here.


Hippydave
08 January 2025 12:30:44

Clearly in reality the system is further North than many models predicted, and more in line with the persistent GFS modelling. Of note is the likelihood that as dps fall again later some minor convective activity may develop on the departing northern flank increasing the risk for SE parts.

Here the frost has slowly lifted (2m 1.4C; dp 0C) and there’s just a hint of sizzle now. I see in higher S Devon it’s turning to snow quite readily now.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

We're at 0.9c with 0.3c dp at the moment, frost all lifted from the ground but a few bits persisting on mossy areas of roofs. Assuming temps don't rise too much, whether we get rain, sleet or snow it's likely to be the lowest daily max of the spell IMBY.

I think you'd have to tip your hat to GFS (and to a certain extent GEM) this time round in terms of precip extent at least, assuming nothing odd happens in the next 6-9 hours. 

UKV shows the minor convective activity you mention I think albeit falling as rain, hopefully if we do get snow IMBY rather than rain from the front that'll swing things in favour of showers being more wintry if they occur.  (Still no idea what I'll get frontal precip wise, happily I've been assuming rain or nout for a while now, so whilst it'll be mildly depressing if it rains it won't be a surprise!). 


Home: Tunbridge Wells

Work: Tonbridge

fairweather
08 January 2025 13:02:08
If it makes it across the Thames, which I doubt it will, I expect it to be a mixture of drizzle and snizzle. Temperature 2C after slight frost and usual thick grey cloud.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
Devonian
08 January 2025 13:34:28

Latest met office radar shows snow falling over Okehampton - Looks outside it's 0.8c and cloudy with Alto stratus clouds and bone dry.

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Steady moderate snow here (nearest town to us is Moreton I suppose), perhaps 20mm lying on surfaces. Wind has got up a bit too.

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
08 January 2025 13:45:11
The coldest kind of rain you can get perhaps before it become sleet. Thoroughly miserable sort of day with a nagging wind from the east.

Glad I got the outdoor work completed before the rain arrived. Forecast spot on with start of rain and temps.

In fact the forecast suggests there will be some sleet later before it clears and becomes frosty though I think I will be happy without it.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Jiries
08 January 2025 13:47:11
Why so silent about Friday snow, thought in the NW was buzzing and posting a lot about Friday which seem more better than today pointless low.  Have the goal posts being moved hoping we won't notice?
Chichesterweatherfan2
08 January 2025 13:47:45
Raining in Chichester and a chilly 2 degrees….the worst sort of winter weather! 
idj20
08 January 2025 13:48:28

Well over here is the west of the county it is currently 0.2c with a dp of -1c, so plenty cold enough for snow, but suspect temps will rise when it arrives. The wind coming off the channel will wamr the air and it depends how much mixing we get. But as you say the meto raw still showing rain for here.

Originally Posted by: warrenb 

5.6 C & 3 C DP and just started drizzling here at Folkestone. 🤣


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
idj20
08 January 2025 13:55:20

Why so silent about Friday snow, thought in the NW was buzzing and posting a lot about Friday which seem more better than today pointless low.  Have the goal posts being moved hoping we won't notice?

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Most of the models (apart from GFS) shows the precipitation fizzling out resulting in mostly cloudy, murky and clammy conditions over Southern and Western parts before milder uppers in maritime-type airflow move in over the weekend.  I could see it being a non-event right from the start. 


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
Saint Snow
08 January 2025 14:06:34

5.6 C & 3 C DP and just started drizzling here at Folkestone. 🤣

Originally Posted by: idj20 

Just wait till the evaporative cooling kicks in 😉😄


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
08 January 2025 14:14:42
More sleet than rain now and if I look carefully, the occasional slower falling flake of snow.
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Rob K
08 January 2025 14:48:14
Radar shows rain/sleet here but nothing reaching the ground. Just been out in the garden chopping logs and can confirm zero precipitation but it's quite chilly!
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

sunny coast
08 January 2025 14:48:31

More sleet than rain now and if I look carefully, the occasional slower falling flake of snow.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Same here miserable winter afternoon . Cold wind rain bit of sleet mixed in . . Maybe a period of wet snow later on ? 

Currently 3.5 c 

tierradelfuego
08 January 2025 14:55:48
Fingers crossed nothing changes on DP here, we are currently at 0.2c with a DP of -0.7c... less than an hour until the main band reaches us.
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
08 January 2025 15:01:01

Same here miserable winter afternoon . Cold wind rain bit of sleet mixed in . . Maybe a period of wet snow later on ? 

Currently 3.5 c 

Originally Posted by: sunny coast 

God forbid. Nothing worse than wet snow.

As many have pointed out ad infinitum, we need a long feed easterly off a frigid Continent for proper snow in this part of Britain.

One day again perhaps.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

picturesareme
08 January 2025 15:04:56
Largely rain still but  the occasional flake mixed in now. 
Retron
08 January 2025 15:14:25
The radar shows a heady mix of light green and yellow over here, a fragmented band of rain ahead of the main front (and I suspect it's not fragmented at all, but it's so high-level that the radar can't pick it up). Not a single drop down here so far, which is good as it'd just be rain anyway.


Leysdown, north Kent
Bertwhistle
08 January 2025 15:14:28
Light rain started an hour ago. This started turning to the odd flake about 20 minutes later and the temperature dropped in that time from 3.6 to 2.2

Now still some rain (I can hear on the conservatory roof) but more flakes- big old penny-sized from coalescence. A similar synoptic set up when I looked after dark from my bedroom on Thursday 7th January 1982 was a huge dumping of NE blown snow. This is the modern equivalent.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

southcoastmatt
08 January 2025 15:18:44
Air temp dropped to 1.5deg here in Poole and rain readily turned to snow. DPs must have changed in last half an hour or so. 

I'm only at 65masl so north Dorset will do well out of this


Matt in Poole, Dorset

65Masl

08 January 2025 15:21:23
Raining here
Jason

Salfords, Surrey

Retron
08 January 2025 15:31:30
Temperature and dewpoint both shooting up here - 4.2 / 3.0 respectively, and warmer than any of the models had. Not a great spell for them, really, considering the faff about whether the front would even make it here at all!


Leysdown, north Kent
Rob K
08 January 2025 17:28:55

Fingers crossed nothing changes on DP here, we are currently at 0.2c with a DP of -0.7c... less than an hour until the main band reaches us.

Originally Posted by: tierradelfuego 

The band on the radar is not actually there - or at least not reaching the ground. I've been under radar echoes for several hours and nothing apart from the odd spot of drizzle has made it to Earth.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

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