We will probably get rain with maybe the odd flecks of sleet now and then. I do have to drive over the local hills to work tomorrow and the road peaks at 725ft so I might get lucky.

Harting Down 800ft asl - snowing and settling

Chilgrove Hill 500ft asl - snowing but not settling

Chichester 20 ft asl - cold rain

I seem to remember one in December 2010, or one of the other cold months around then. 

18z ENS snow mean for Plymouth (S. Devon) shows 7.6cm's for 18:00 Wednesday 

The 18z Op T2M is a warm outlier (mildest run) for tomorrow.

Yet Met Office and BBC show rain for Plymouth. Be interesting what happens.

Keep us posted :)

What the Met Say for Wednesday:

"A cold but cloudier start to Wednesday. Rain spreading north and east, with some sleet and snow possible along the south coast and over hills for a time. Maximum temperature 6 °C."

What they were meant to say:

A cold but cloudier start to Wednesday. Rain and Sleet spreading north and east, with some snow over hills for a time. Rain restricted to the south coast. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

I’m certain they meant to say exactly what they wrote. 

Pretty much, just 25 miles more inland. I can't see it though to be honest.

The MetO raw has 12 hours of rain starting this afternoon, heavy at times, 3C throughout.

I'm expecting nothing, that way I can't be disappointed. Just my luck, though, things corrected north but it's just too warm! That 1.2C January warming in the past 30 years makes all the difference...

We had not got a beast from the east for long 7 years but could have been done lasting for over a month if the prolonged NE flow in Spring 2023 was in Jan.  Temperatures would had been subzero most of the time and nights at -10 to -20 below in places.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=00&charthour=18&chartname=preciptype&chartregion=uk&charttag=Precip%20type 

It’s looks just enough inland 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=00&charthour=18&chartname=uksnow&chartregion=uk&charttag=Snow%20risk 

APERGE has shifted north all be it patchy 

Could be just could be a terrific performance from gfs she needs a bow for sticking to her guns

Latest 0z fax has moved it much further north with a slight pivot into SE

https://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm#t36 

https://www.snow-forecast.com/maps/static/uk/next3days/snow 

Makes sense with higher DPs expected on the coast, need a proper cold continental feed. We are used to it now 😂

The irony is that on this part of the coast (well, half a mile away from it), the dewpoint is -1.5. Of course, watch that shoot up the minute it starts to rain!

Yep ours is -1 but as the you say won’t take long to go the wrong side of zero. Dec 2022 the distance was about 5 miles between drizzle and 6 inches of snow 😂

...and it's gone from here. Shame!

The MetO raw now has 15 hours of sold rainfall here, at a toasty 3C, 5 hours of which is heavy. If only, if only...

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/4/1842/12_779UKrcx7.GIF 

Is that rain also over Hampshire and parts of Surrey? or just a graphic glitch?

It's the former. Bear in mind, though, that the GFS "snow" parameter is a bit pants, it shows a snow signal if there's as much as a single flake of sleet amongst the rain. In reality the rainy area would be bigger than that chart would suggest.

This low not worth it for anyone and waste of time and block snow showers/features, troughs that can give anyone better snow events.  Cloudy here for this pointless low. 

So could be a complete non event even for inland areas! As you say, this would not have happened 30 years ago. this is global warming in action, though of course the yanks dont believe it because of their continental position. They only feel it in the summer with higher temps. Even then they dont believe, Trump promising to cut down all the wind farms!

https://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/runs/2025010806/gens-14-1-138.png 

I'm not sure which model it's based on, but the automated hourly Met Office forecast for here shows rain in the afternoon changing to sleet by 16:00 and lasting until after 21:00, with a temperature of 2C and a dewpoint of -1 falling to -2. No snow, but then it only showed sleet for last Saturday evening and we got a couple of hours of heavy and settling snow out of it.

ETA: I see the Met Office have also updated their weather warning, giving as the reason: "Impact level reduced but the likelihood of at least some sleet and snow has increased. Parts of east Kent have been removed."