WX temp charts show the Continent seasonally warming up, with the current cool area over E Europe being replaced by warmth in week 2. But Britain (unlike yesterday) and N Scandinavia remaining no better than average, even cool further north in week 2. Very dry for Britain and N Europe week 1, nowhere quite as dry as this in week 2 but Britain and (separately) W Russia the drier areas. Still wet through the N Med and very wet in week 2 around the Adriatic and Turkey, with a little overspill in the direction of Belgium.
Met O forecast for the central S Coast at least for the next week showing NO change from 90% sunshine, midday 20+/-1 C, strong NE wind.
GFS Op - HP over N Britain and E/NE-lies for the S until about Fri 9th, when it retreats to mid Atlantic with lower pressure (1015mb) from France affecting the S by Mon 12th. After that the influence of the HP increases again, but not enough to prevent light N-lies, through to Fri 16th. The final frame (Sun 18th) shows twin HPs,, one in mid-Atlantic and one in Russia (the latter having been steadily growing for the previous week) and a trough extending S form Iceland to Ireland.
ECM - differs from GFS after Fri 9th when the HP moves NE to near Orkney with more of an E/SE influence
GEFS - continuing a degree or three above average temp to Mon 12th after which the mean declines to norm, perhaps skewed (esp in the N) by a rather cool op & control. Very dry except for a cluster of modest rain events Wed 14th, also in a few ens members before and (in the N & W rather more) after that.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl