DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
29 May 2023 10:49:29
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

Same age as me! Just left school, getting ready for uni, didnt do the gap yaar thing. Great summer of "discovery". I remember the heat continued right up to the VE Day celebrations at the end of August
 



I remember a sunny but cool day for a VE day children's party - in 1945. Probably a couple of weeks after the actual event.
Everyone talks about the weather but no-one does anything about it - Mark Twain

Chichester 12m asl
moomin75
29 May 2023 11:51:41
Hmm. The pattern on the GFS 6Z has a bit of a summer 2022 vibe about it. Lows becoming cut off around Biscay with High pressure cells over and then drifting East of the UK.
There is currently no real heat to tap into from the south because of the wet spell down there, BUT, if this pattern can rinse and repeat, we may see some interesting weather again this summer - perhaps some volatility too - but plenty of interest in my opinion. 
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
cultman1
29 May 2023 12:02:01
Yes agree Moomin I am beginning to wonder though at least for the next 1-3 weeks whether we will come out of these rather cool and gusty NE winds in the south . 
Ally Pally Snowman
29 May 2023 12:07:22
Originally Posted by: moomin75 

Hmm. The pattern on the GFS 6Z has a bit of a summer 2022 vibe about it. Lows becoming cut off around Biscay with High pressure cells over and then drifting East of the UK.
There is currently no real heat to tap into from the south because of the wet spell down there, BUT, if this pattern can rinse and repeat, we may see some interesting weather again this summer - perhaps some volatility too - but plenty of interest in my opinion. 



A thundery humid summer is something I'd certainly be up for. Some of the teleconnection experts seem to think this is likely this summer. We will see.
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Saint Snow
29 May 2023 12:35:15
Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

A thundery humid summer is something I'd certainly be up for. Some of the teleconnection experts seem to think this is likely this summer. We will see.
 



Not really a fan of humid. Would prefer fresher dry/sunny, even if temps are subdued down to early-/mid-20s.



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Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
29 May 2023 12:40:49
New kid on the block?

From Saturday's Times, 
AI set to take world of weather forecasting by storm
relating to an AI forecasting system essentially using pattern matching rather than physics calculations. But it's pattern matching on the grand scale with 30,000TB of data. Its devisors, Atmo, claim it's faster (so as to run many more ensemble forecasts), cheaper, and hyper-local (they have a product for medium range in San Francisco which does 300m x 300m). 

But they admit that 10-14 days is still a practical limit.

The firm
https://www.atmo.ai/ 

A sample output from the 'Global Forecast' menu in the above (it animates)
https://earth.atmo.ai/temperature@52.69971,-0.32290,2.45,0,0,1685363437 
 
Everyone talks about the weather but no-one does anything about it - Mark Twain

Chichester 12m asl
Ally Pally Snowman
29 May 2023 13:02:47
Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Not really a fan of humid. Would prefer fresher dry/sunny, even if temps are subdued down to early-/mid-20s.

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Ideal for me would be 28c to 32c thunderstorms in the evening.  Very rare recently. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Tom Oxon
29 May 2023 23:13:29
Originally Posted by: moomin75 

Hmm. The pattern on the GFS 6Z has a bit of a summer 2022 vibe about it. Lows becoming cut off around Biscay with High pressure cells over and then drifting East of the UK.
There is currently no real heat to tap into from the south because of the wet spell down there, BUT, if this pattern can rinse and repeat, we may see some interesting weather again this summer - perhaps some volatility too - but plenty of interest in my opinion. 



This could age incredibly poorly, but another few  weeks of this spell and I think a repeat of 40C here again is off the table, they really were a special set of circumstances that brought it about, in no small part due to the bone dry ground south of us (and for that matter locally here).
S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
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