This from Retron on the Model output discussion -
'The wetter weather we'll enjoy this week is all part of it, of course. At the moment we're to the north of the jet, as we have been for some weeks now. That's very unusual at this time of year (the textbooks say the jet should be between Iceland and Scotland). Note that even on the cold side of the jet, with persistent NE'lies, we're still far above average this month... and we've set several daily CET records, in fact.
The jet is now working its way north, meaning the belt of rain which has lain to our south over the past few weeks is making its way north. The models show the jet assuming its textbook position by the end of the month.
Yes, Retron is right.
And this unusual pattern or something like it and based on recent decades, has from my point of view and more often than not, been with us more than several months now (November?) and as I posted about earlier.
Thunderstorms were much more common in the 50's, 60's and 70's than recent decades.
This is a big change, but will this pattern continue and become the new norm and what might be the implications for our the weather?