My concern here is the lack of rainfall spikes on this chart during the more reliable time frame.
As it is, we have not had any measureable rainfall here in Edinburgh since that really wet day which we had on Saturday 13 October 2018 and so, today is already our 7th day in a row without any measureable rainfall.
The chart below shows that there is not likely to be any significant rainfall during the more reliable timeframe and whilst some rainfall spikes do appear further down the line, these are all in the unreliable timeframe.
As a result of that, there is the danger that we could well be heading into what would then be our third absolute drought of this year.
On the other hand, the guidlines from SEPA suggest that this is the time of year when we should be starting to see groundwater levels recover from those summer droughts and so, the fact that we could end up with yet another drought going forward is very worrying indeed, as we really need to start seeing some serious rainfall here in order for those groundwater levels to properly recover. If that doesn't happen, this could become very critical and serious next year by the time that we go into next summer.
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.