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Big cycle event in Sussex (15000 riders) due on Sunday cancelled on H&S grounds.Much local relief as the 9 hours of closed roads will no longer lock people in their houses (not exaggerating - unless you're on foot you can't access or cross the route for this time)
Big cycle event in Sussex (15000 riders) due on Sunday cancelled on H&S grounds.
Much local relief as the 9 hours of closed roads will no longer lock people in their houses (not exaggerating - unless you're on foot you can't access or cross the route for this time)
As a cyclist (albeit mostly off-road), events like that really annoy me. They seem purpose-designed to make people hate cyclists, and they certainly need no encouragement to do that.
Anyway, OT... the track of Sunday's low seems to have shifted southwards a little.
ARPEGE has a perfect Channel low. If only it was February, etc....
I thought it was all looking safe for flying on Sunday afternoon. After a decidedly hairy last 10 minutes of a flight into Heathrow this evening I’m going to be watching those charts carefully.
It was bumpy on the way out too, especially on a prop plane!
The GFS op run continues its recent trend of dragging cold air in from the north around the first week of October. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_384_1.png Not exceptional but cold for early to mid autumn.
yeh theres been a few cold runs this past week for October. Thats very unusual compared to recent years, even if it doesnt come off, there genuinely feels like a different kind of Autumn in the charts this year.
EDIT:
Backs up my thoughts. All members barely make it above average and mostly stay well below for the forseable.
Although this would be quite exceptional: snow in S England in the first week of October?
https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/datmdlout.aspx
No way.
yeh theres been a few cold runs this past week for October. Thats very unusual compared to recent years, even if it doesnt come off, there genuinely feels like a different kind of Autumn in the charts this year.EDIT:Backs up my thoughts. All members barely make it above average and mostly stay well below for the forseable.
I really hope we don't get our winter too early, and then when it should be the depths of winter, it's crap - mild & wet.
Although I'd take a repeat of winter 2010/11.
Never mind the snow, what about the rain? The South Coast has been living a charmed life this last week while everywhere from the Midlands northwards has been seeing rain. Now we get our share, and then some as wave depressions run along the Channel, one today and another tomorrow, each of which could deliver an inch or so. Each run on the MetO site looks increasingly as if it will be southern counties getting it, perhaps with Birmingham on the northern edge.
I really hope we don't get our winter too early, and then when it should be the depths of winter, it's crap - mild & wet.Although I'd take a repeat of winter 2010/11.
The weather down here has been abnomal since about March: first we had the late cold spell, then a very extended dry spell from about Apr/May onwards, a roasting hot summer now a flip to wet weather though only short lived by the looks of it.
850s temp range for the SE R=20°C from 3rd October onwards.
Serious case of the uncertain model!
https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/chart.aspx?chart=/charts/gefs/gefsens850london0.png?cb=777
October sure looking on the cold side, the signal is maintained across various outputs, some more reliable than others:http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/euT2mMonInd1.gif
That shows average temperatures?
W Europe generally below average for the next 2 weeks, especially cold in Norway and only Iberia hanging on to warmth. But dry, xo hopefully nice in sunshine
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4
W Europe generally below average for the next 2 weeks, especially cold in Norway and only Iberia hanging on to warmth. But dry, xo hopefully nice in sunshinehttp://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4 http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4
Will be interesting if that intrduces some early snow cover to scandinavia, the last time that happened early in the season (i think) was heading into 2010.
That being said, that started to happen end of October, not the start of.
Interesting times, and way against the norm.
Startlingly dry on the GEFS for my neck of the woods. Should be a really nice autumn spell of sunny days and cool nights.
Some long range models are going for a cool or chilly October.
Its been some years since that last happened.
GEFS flipped to warm uppers.
Yeah the models have decided to keep high pressure centered almost over the country (for now) which means those cool/cold north/north-westerlies are shunted into Scandinavia and north-east Europe.
Will be interesting to see if the ridge does eventually pull back into the mid-Atlantic and open the door to the north later in October?
I have a feeling October will give us a fairly sharp northerly at some point but we'll see...
And based on the 12s it's looking less certain again.