Issued Thursday 23rd October 2014
Unsettled in the north but drier and very mild spells in the south.
Friday: Outbreaks of rain are expected to affect southern and central regions with some heavy bursts mixed in. To the north clearer conditions are likely but in western Scotland and Northern Ireland there will be heavy showers.
Saturday, Sunday, Monday: Unsettled in northern regions with showers or longer spells of rain. In the south there could be some patchy rain but it should be drier for much of the time with variable amounts of cloud. Temperatures close to average in the north but becoming very mild later on in the south.
Tuesday, Wednesday: Outbreaks of at times heavy rain in northern regions are expected to gradually push south eastwards. Ahead of the rain it will be very mild or possibly on the warm side in the south east of England. Temperatures returning to average in the north.
Thursday: Changeable conditions are expected with a risk of rain in western regions. The east and south east may remain dry. Temperatures close to average in the north but still very mild in the south.
Forecast confidence is moderate to high.
During the first half of the week unsettled spells are expected to push further south bringing showers or longer spells of rain at times. After a very mild start temperatures should return to the seasonal average.
The second half of the week is likely to be quite mixed but dry weather could develop over southern and central regions at times. In the north it is more likely to remain unsettled with an ongoing risk of showers or longer spells of rain. Temperatures mostly close to the seasonal average.
Forecast confidence is low to moderate through this period.
During much of the first week high pressure will remain situated over the continent allowing a very mild south westerly flow to persist over most of the UK. With weather fronts being pushed further north there is the potential for quite a lot of dry weather in the south for a time, but later on warm moist air could bring significant rainfall.
Early in the second week a mild south westerly flow is likely. Later in the period a change may begin to take place with pressure falling over the near continent.
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