Issued Sunday 29th November 2015
Monday: Heavy rain affects much of the UK but Scotland should have a brighter day with scattered wintry showers. Temperatures ranging from a cold 5C (41F) in the north to a very mild 13C (55F) in the south. In southern and central regions gales or severe gales are expected.
Tuesday: Northern regions have outbreaks of heavy rain and over higher ground in Scotland snow is expected and substantial accumulations are possible. Southern counties have showery rain too but there it should drier at times and bright spells possibly develop in the east. Windy again with gales in northern regions. Generally quite mild but still cold in Scotland.
Wednesday: A band of cloud and rain is expected to push southeastwards through the day but the south east may remain dry until nighttime. This is followed by showery conditions in the north. Quite cold in Scotland but mild elsewhere. Windy.
Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday: The weather remains changeable. On Thursday heavy outbreaks of rain and strong winds push across southern and central regions, and over high ground on its northern edge there is the possibility of some sleet or wet snow. Through Friday and the weekend the wettest and windiest conditions are forecast for the north of the UK but rain could push south eastwards across all of the country on occasion.
Forecast confidence is moderate to high on the general picture but the details are uncertain.
The week is expected to be changeable with all areas having further wet and windy weather at times. The likelihood is for the most unsettled conditions to be in the north and west with drier spells more likely in southern and central regions. Very windy at times. Temperatures often above average in the south but colder incursions are probable in the north and this could lead to snow over higher ground.
Forecast confidence is moderate.
An unsettled westerly based pattern is expected to persist throughout the first week of the forecast period. During the second week high pressure may have more influence in the south but a mobile west or southwesterly flow is maintained in the north.
Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis
The GFS is the computer model which we base our 16 day weather forecasts on.
Wet and windy weather could bring disruption at times and an ongoing risk of flooding.
The 14 day UK weather forecast is updated twice weekly.
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