14 day UK weather

Changeable but drier and warmer at times in the south

UK outlook issued Sunday 25th September 2016

Week 1

Mixed with all regions having wet weather at times.

Monday: Wet and windy weather pushes eastwards, in the west and north the rain is likely to be heavy at times. In Scotland and Northern Ireland a mix of sunshine and showers is expected. South eastern England may remain mostly dry.

Tuesday: Rain gradually clears away from eastern England to leave drier and quite warm conditions. In the north west a band of wet weather and strong winds pushes eastwards across Scotland. Gales could develop widely in Scotland and in exposed parts of the west and north severe gales are possible.

Wednesday: Much of England and Wales have a dry day with sunny spells and pleasantly warm temperatures but it will be quite windy. Scotland and possibly Northern Ireland are expected to have outbreaks of heavy rain and strong winds.

Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday: Changeable weather brings showers and longer periods of rain to northern and western regions. In the south and east there should be a reasonable amount of dry and bright spells but even here rain is probable at times. Temperatures generally stay close to the average but in the south it could be quite warm on occasion.

Forecast confidence is high.

 

 

Week 2

Unsettled especially in the north.

Through the week a changeable pattern is forecast to persist, especially in central and northern areas. Temperatures generally stick close to average in the north but at times the south could become quite warm.

Forecast confidence is moderate.

Overview

During the first week a south westerly flow persists with areas of low pressure tracking mostly to the northwest of the UK. High pressure is more likely to influence the weather in southern regions and this is where the driest and warmest conditions will tend to be.

Through the second week an Atlantic based pattern is expected to persist. High pressure could continue bringing drier and more settled spells to southern and eastern counties.

Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis

Points of note

Mixed weather is expected for much of the period. All regions have rain at times but in the south there should be a reasonable amount of dry spells and some warm days are probable.

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