14 day UK: Fine week ahead
The 14 day UK weather forecast is issued twice weekly. Update Sunday 9th March 2014
A lot of dry and fine weather is expected. At the beginning of the week patchy rain should quickly clear away east with sunny conditions returning. Temperatures down a little on recent values but still very mild in the south. During the middle of the week it's expected to remain fine and if anything daytime temperatures will probably nudge back up. With clear skies probable nights are likely to be chilly with a risk of ground frost in places. Towards the end of the week cloud cover may increase in northern regions with some patchy rain possible in western Scotland and Northern Ireland. The south should remain dry and very mild with bright spells. Forecast confidence is moderate to high.
A change is expected to develop with showers and more persistent spells of rain returning from the north west. It could also turn much colder for a time with an increasing risk of sleet or snow showers in northern regions. Night frosts could develop widely later in the period. Forecast confidence low to moderate.
High pressure is set to dominate the weather during the first week of the forecast period. The air mass will generally be mild, but with clear skies diurnal temperature variations are expected to be large. Through the second week high pressure is expected to build to the west of the UK with colder air moving down from the north. At this range confidence on the intensity and duration of a possible colder plunge is very low.
Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis
The GFS is the computer model which we base our 16 day weather forecasts on.
Points of note
Plenty of dry weather and above average temperatures for much of the UK in the next week or so. The second week of the forecast period could bring more changeable and colder weather. Keep an eye on forecasts throughout the period as the details are likely to change. Don't forget our upgraded chart viewer page
now offers output from the HIRLAM, GFS, GEFS, ECM, WW3 and Fax output brand new seasonal charts are now available using data from the CFSv2 model. The chart viewer page works great on PCs and tablet computers such as the iPad.