UK outlook issued Sunday 24th July 2016
Changeable. All regions have some rain.
Monday, Tuesday: Central, western and northern regions have a mix of sunshine and showers but in the south east it should remain dry. Cooler and fresher than recently but still feeling pleasantly warm in the south.
Wednesday: Showery outbreaks of rain are expected to push eastwards across southern and central areas. Scattered showers are also likely in the north west, but elsewhere it should be dry. Cool in the north west but quite warm and humid in central and eastern England.
Thursday: Spells of rain spread eastwards over England and Wales but there could also be some dry and sunny intervals. The north has rather a cool day with sunny spells and a few showers. Quite warm and humid in the south east.
Friday, Saturday, Sunday: All regions have cooler conditions with a mix of sunshine and showers. Towards the end of the period it may become drier and warmer in the south and south west.
Forecast confidence is moderate to high.
Becoming warmer and drier.
The south should have a good deal of fine and warm weather. In central and northern regions cooler and more unsettled spells are likely early in the period but later on it could turn drier and warmer.
Forecast confidence is low to moderate.
During the first week areas of low pressure increasingly influence the weather over the UK, particularly in the north. Warm and humid air is expected over southern areas at times during the first half of the week, but later on a cooler northwesterly flow develops.
Through the first half of the second week the Azores high pressure ridges towards southern England at times. Beyond this it may build strongly enough to also cut off the Atlantic flow across central and northern regions.
Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis
The GFS is the computer model which we base our 16 day weather forecasts on.
Changeable weather affects all of the UK during the first week. Through the second week drier and warmer conditions could steadily extend northwards.
For a huge range of data see the chart viewer which provides output from the HIRLAM, CFSv2, GEM, GFS, GEFS, ECM, WW3, Arpege, Arome and Fax models and works on PCs, tablet computers such as the iPad and smartphones.
The 14 day UK weather forecast is updated twice weekly.
Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.
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Rain spreading eastwards
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