WX temps repeat yesterday's forecast: week 1 still with the warm area in S Baltic, cooler either side; in week 2 this gets warmer still and milder air moves N over France to affect Britain and only far NE Europe (i.e N Finland and N Russia) stays cold. Main area of pptn is continental W Europe with Britain on the edge of this in week 1, but new for week 2 is a large and intense area of rain on the Atlantic affecting Ireland and NW Scotland. Dry for Scandinavia (but not now including northern N Sea) and also Spain.
GFS Op - pressure tends to be high over Scotland and low over France until Wed 29th but areas of LP develop and interrupt this pattern; 1005mb moving N up the E coast Wed 22nd; 990mb Rockall Sun 26th; 1015mb S England Tue 28th. After the 29th LP comes in from the Atlantic, at its deepest 990mb off SW Ireland, but persisting off W Britain to Wed 5th, while at the same time HP moves from N Norway to Germany.
ECM - not unlike GFS but the LP Wed 22nd is deeper and hangs around over Scotland for a couple of days before HP re-asserts itself. Of the other LPs, that on the 26th stays near Iceland and that on the 28th is delayed for a day, to the 29th.
GEFS - the spell of rain previously noted for the 22nd/23rd for the N is now more widespread, especially heavy in the E. Beyond that, temps are near norm, perhaps a little cooler briefly around Sat 25th, and, less certainly, somewhat warmer and sustained around Fri 31st; small amounts of rain in various runs at various times.
These reviews will be suspended until Wed 29th as I'm away - over to you, Saint.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl