Although the updates are pretty much the same every run at the moment
The HP influence if it continues as it’s shown could lead inadvertently to a coolish month
Frosts look probable inland and this will peg back the CET region for sure
The HP looks very central over the UK at times and if cloud amounts allow. Frosty weather possible
The E QBO may well be a factor in the lack of Westerly weather this winter, we have had very little weather from the west this winter and for a country with a west dominated pattern the QBO may be influencing that.
It hasn’t on this occasion led to a cold winter but there will be other factors to that. La Niña has changed pattern over winter which can yield milder weather and also a strong strat has limited blocking potentials Northwards
The mean temperature IMBY is now 4.1 , once the hadcet adds it’s downwards corrections at the end of the month it could be a cool month
It’s not a month most would prefer as it’s snowless but it’s been pretty frosty so far…..
Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border
100m ASL
Twitter…..@Weather4u2