Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 May 2017 to Thursday 11 May 2017:

Any showers on Tuesday should become lighter for many, but some may linger in the south east. Elsewhere it will be largely dry and bright, with some sunshine. Wednesday is likely to be dry with some sunshine for many, and temperatures next week are expected to be around average for early May, meaning we will lose the risk of overnight frosts. Then from Thursday onwards we are likely to see high pressure dominate. Easterly winds will develop, with largely dry and settled weather prevailing, and increasing amounts of sunshine. The settled weather is also likely to bring temperatures slightly above average, especially during the sunnier interludes, but it will feel cooler along eastern coasts, and there will be the risk of sea fog at times here too.

UK Outlook for Friday 12 May 2017 to Friday 26 May 2017:

Heading into the middle of May, continued dry and settled weather remains most probable. There may however be some occasional wetter interludes though, with the south most likely to see these. Temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year, and they will possibly become very warm at times. It will also continue to be drier than average.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Flip flop flip flop. They haven't a clue like everyone else. This is changing daily.

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Warming up next week 20c later for some?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39740864 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 May 2017 to Friday 12 May 2017:

It will be largely fine and dry on Wednesday and Thursday, with bright or sunny spells likely. A few light showers are possible in the south, but it will be warm, or very warm in the west. Then from Friday onwards we are likely to see high pressure dominate. Easterly winds will develop, with largely dry and settled weather prevailing, and increasing amounts of sunshine. The settled weather is also likely to bring rather warm temperatures, especially during the sunnier interludes. It will feel cooler along eastern coasts however, and there will be the risk of sea fog at times here too. Some isolated showers may also be possible, again in the south or southwest.

UK Outlook for Friday 12 May 2017 to Friday 26 May 2017:

Heading into the middle of May, continued dry and settled weather remains most probable. There may however be some occasional wetter interludes though, with the south most likely to see these. Temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year, and they will possibly become very warm at times. It will also likely continue to be drier than average.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Becoming warm inland
Cooler along the east coast?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/39751494 

I know the GFS is far from the be all and end all..

But how come the BBC are going for temps rising to high teens/low 20s whereas GFS is still showing temps around 10/11c?

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Becoming warm inland
Cooler along the east coast?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/39751494

BIG change on today's BBC long ranger. Cooler and possibly wet in the south. 

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I know the GFS is far from the be all and end all..

But how come the BBC are going for temps rising to high teens/low 20s whereas GFS is still showing temps around 10/11c?

Looks like the Beeb have finally cottoned on. Cool weather ahead.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 5 May 2017 to Sunday 14 May 2017:

This period will begin mostly dry and fine with the best of the bright or sunny weather likely to be across the west and north-west. The far south may see some showers or longer spells of rain at times and it will continue to be fairly breezy, especially on exposed eastern coasts. Temperatures will be close to normal and it will feel warm in any sunshine, but along the east coast it will be rather cool. Thereafter, it is likely to turn cooler more widely for a time with the best of the dry and bright weather persisting in the west and a risk overnight frost in the north. However, by the end of the period it could gradually turn more unsettled and milder from the southwest.

UK Outlook for Monday 15 May 2017 to Monday 29 May 2017:

As we head into the middle of May, it is more likely that drier than average conditions will continue. However there remains the possibility of some occasional wetter interludes, especially in the south and west. After a fairly cold start, temperatures are likely to become warmer with the chance that they could become very warm at times, particularly later in the month.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 1 May—Sunday 7 May
A wet start for some, but turning mainly dry again

The week will begin with a distinct north to south split on bank holiday Monday. With high pressure centred to the north of the UK, and a slow moving low pressure system drifting across the south, it's not surprising that many parts of Northern Ireland and western Scotland will enjoy a fine day with plenty of warm sunshine. Eastern Scotland will tend to be cooler as keen easterly wind keeps skies cloudier, and northern England will likely be similarly cloudy, with even the chance of patchy rain. Further south, expect a mixture of sunshine and heavy showers, which could be thundery at times.

By Tuesday, much of the country will be firmly influenced by the anticyclone to the north of the UK, with easterly winds bringing cooler and cloudier conditions to any districts adjacent to the North Sea coastline. Central and western areas will see the best of the sunshine, with temperatures edging into the high teens for western Scotland, Northern Ireland and northwest England. Southeastern areas of the UK will be under threat of cloudier skies and the odd shower at times. Overnight temperatures will be relatively mild for most, but northwest Scotland could see patches of frost in sheltered areas.

As the week progresses, the weather pattern is not expected to change a great deal from that of Tuesday. Heading into the weekend though, there is increased chance that rain will move into southern and southwestern parts of the UK again, as an Atlantic low pressure system crosses Biscay.

Monday 8 May—Sunday 14 May
Turning a little cooler and wetter for a time?

Our latest forecast suggests that as we move into the second week of May, the stubborn area of high pressure centred to the north of the UK will continue to dominate weather conditions across northern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland, with cloudier, cooler conditions to the east, and the best of the sunshine across western Scotland. Along with the likelihood of dry weather in the north, some forecast models are also suggesting that an influx of slightly cooler air will occur around the middle of the period, meaning that temperatures could become noticeably lower for a time across the northern half of the UK, and perhaps even further south at times. At the same time, the latest forecasting tools and computer models suggest that a low pressure system and its attendant weather fronts already affecting southern England and Wales will slowly track north and eastwards to bring a spell of more unsettled and cooler weather for much of the UK by the latter part of the week.

Monday 15 May—Sunday 28 May
An uncertain end to the month, but warmer perhaps?

An elevated level of uncertainty is an inherent feature of medium to long range weather forecasting, but even taking account for this fact, the level of uncertainty in the forecast of the end of May is relatively high at time of writing. The array of computer models that we utilise to make our forecasts are returning an unusually wide range of possible solutions for the end of the climatological spring. However, common themes of slightly warmer and drier than average conditions are at least two factors that the different models broadly agree on for the last weeks of May.

At this time of year, it is often the case that the jet stream takes on a broader, and wider meander in the vicinity of the skies above Europe, which often leads to the development of slow moving anticyclones, or 'blocking highs'. In such conditions, the impact on the UK weather can, at times, lead to very slow moving changes. It is therefore inferred that a blocking high will likely be the cause of the prolonged drier or warmer spell in our current forecast. Of course, we will continue to monitor forecasting model signals for the end of May, so stay in touch with the BBC Weather Centre to stay up to date with the latest thoughts on late May.

Next week

Check in next week as we have our first look at early June, which is of course the start of the climatological summer!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 May 2017 to Monday 15 May 2017:

This period will begin mostly dry and fine with the best of the bright or sunny weather likely to be across the west and north-west. The far south may see some showers or longer spells of rain at times and it will continue to be fairly breezy, especially in southern areas at first. Temperatures are likely to be warm in the west and south, but colder in the east and north. Thereafter, it is likely to turn cooler more widely for a time with the best of the dry and bright weather persisting in the west and a risk overnight frosts in the north. However, by the end of the period it could gradually turn more unsettled and milder from the southwest.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 16 May 2017 to Tuesday 30 May 2017:

As we head into the middle of May, it is more likely that drier than average conditions will continue. However there remains the possibility of some occasional wetter interludes, especially at the start of the period, mainly in the south and west. After a fairly cold start, temperatures are likely to become warmer with the chance that they could become very warm at times, particularly later in the month.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Next week

Mainly dry
Colder for a time
Perhaps unsettled later

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39774272 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 7 May 2017 to Tuesday 16 May 2017:

Many places will see a good deal of dry weather with sunny spells early in this period. The best of the bright or sunny spells will be in the north and west. Meanwhile, it will be cloudier in the south and east, with patchy rain at times. It will be rather breezy, especially across northern and eastern areas. Temperatures are likely to be warm in the south and west, but colder in the north and east. However, we are expected to see a change to more unsettled and colder conditions from Tuesday 7 May onwards, with gales in the north and east. Risk of overnight frost in sheltered parts of the north. However, by the end of the period it could gradually turn more unsettled and milder from the southwest.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 17 May 2017 to Wednesday 31 May 2017:

As we head into the middle of May, it is more likely that drier than average conditions will continue. However there remains the possibility of some occasional wetter interludes, especially at the start of the period, mainly in the south and west. Towards the end of the month, we may see high pressure becoming established to the east, with a warmer southerly flow possibly developing.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Next week

Colder for a time
Risk of frost
Showers

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/39788227 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 8 May 2017 to Wednesday 17 May 2017:

Many places will see more dry weather and sunny spells in the first few days of next week. The best of the bright or sunny spells will still be in the west. Meanwhile, it will be cloudier in the southeast, but mainly dry. It will be rather breezy and also cloudier across north-eastern areas with patchy rain at times. Temperatures are likely to be warm in the south and west, but cooler in the north and east. There could even be patches of night frost in the far north but most of us will avoid these. However, we are expecting a more general change to wetter, windier and cooler conditions by the end of next week and into the following week.

UK Outlook for Thursday 18 May 2017 to Thursday 1 Jun 2017:

As we head into the second half of May it is more likely that drier than average conditions will return. However there remains the possibility of some occasional wetter interludes, especially at the start of the period. Towards the end of the month we may see high pressure becoming established to the east, bringing warmer air up from France, however confidence is low for this outcome.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Low pressure arriving at some point but uncertain when and where it will sit

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/39800274 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 9 May 2017 to Thursday 18 May 2017:

Many places will see more dry weather and sunny spells at first, with the southeast staying the driest and brightest. Thicker cloud and patchy rain may affect Northern Ireland and Scotland though, and this is likely to spread southwards through Wednesday. Temperatures are likely to be warm in the south and west, but cooler in the north and east. There could even be patches of night frost in the far north. It is then expected to turn generally more unsettled into next weekend, with outbreaks of rain or showers likely across the UK, which could initially be wintry on Scottish mountains. It will become breezy too. Temperatures are likely to be around the seasonal average, but it will feel cooler in any wind and rain.

UK Outlook for Friday 19 May 2017 to Friday 2 Jun 2017:

As we head into the second half of May it is more likely that drier than average conditions will return. There remains the possibility of some occasional wetter interludes however, especially at the start of the period. Towards the end of the month and the start of June we may see high pressure becoming established to the east, bringing warmer air up from France, however confidence is low for this outcome.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Promising for early summer but that'll no doubt change by tomorrow.

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Looking favourable towards the months end for some late spring/early summer warmth building, just in time for our camping trip. 🙈

Later next week

More unsettled
Breezy
Showers or Rain
Chilly

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/39810265 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 10 May 2017 to Friday 19 May 2017:

Many central, southern and eastern areas are likely to be dry with warm sunshine on Wednesday. However, thicker cloud and showers are likely to affect Scotland and Northern Ireland, and there is a low chance of these extending further south. Thereafter the weather is generally set to turn more unsettled, with rain or showers likely across all parts of the United Kingdom at times. There is a low risk of snow falling on the Scottish mountains, and there is a chance of some thundery rain developing across some southern parts of the United Kingdom. It will become breezier everywhere around the middle of the month, and strong winds are possible, especially in the west and northwest. Temperatures varying around normal, although probably warm at times in southern and eastern areas.

UK Outlook for Saturday 20 May 2017 to Saturday 3 Jun 2017:

Confidence is low regarding the weather details that are most likely to affect the United kingdom during the latter stages of May and on into the first week of June. However, it does appear that for a time the weather will be rather changeable, with some rain, and with the most settled conditions developing in the south. There are also some indications that towards the end of the period, and thus later on in May or early in June, pressure will begin to rise in the vicinity of the United Kingdom bringing more in the way of warm, settled spells.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast