David M Porter
Sunday, February 5, 2017 10:48:33 PM

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

Houston, we have a problem:

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1921.gif


Doesn't look that bad to me!


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
tallyho_83
Sunday, February 5, 2017 10:49:42 PM

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Baltic HP - how about that!?

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2521.gif






Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
Sunday, February 5, 2017 10:52:52 PM


So at +288 - Pete Tong it goes...as someone else on here ha said!?


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


picturesareme
Sunday, February 5, 2017 10:56:35 PM

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


 


Its cold don't you worry



will you be ok in this sort of temp, you wont be used to it



a tad better 

Phil G
Sunday, February 5, 2017 11:19:14 PM

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 



So at +288 - Pete Tong it goes...as someone else on here ha said!?


288!, in FI!, that's an eternity in most cases. Can be T12 sometimes. Charts will change umpteen times before then. Think someone earlier called you out for taking an  FI chart as gospel.

Russwirral
Sunday, February 5, 2017 11:23:40 PM

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Quite a block 1050mb!?? - Will be hard to shift but will it sink or what?


It needs to build further north & thank goodness there isn't many intense Atlantic storms.




 


One things for sure... for a winter chart theres a hell of alot of high pressure in that chart. 


Gandalf The White
Sunday, February 5, 2017 11:24:12 PM

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


 


So at +288 - Pete Tong it goes...as someone else on here ha said!?



Firstly it's 12 DAYS away, Tally. We all know it won't look like that in 12 hours never mind 12 days.


Secondly, I don't see too much wrong with that chart. There's a reload from the north and it's still cold.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Quantum
Monday, February 6, 2017 12:46:26 AM

Quite cold days predicted by the GFS.



Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Karl Guille
Monday, February 6, 2017 5:30:24 AM
Excellent looking UKMO with a nice easterly feed between 72 and 144.
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2017020600/UW96-21.GIF?06-06 
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2017020600/UW144-21.GIF?06-06 
St. Sampson
Guernsey
Karl Guille
Monday, February 6, 2017 5:44:26 AM
GEM broadly similar to UKMO at 144 but with a distorted feed from the east and by 192 the Atlantic begins to push in!
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gem/runs/2017020600/gem-0-144.png?00 
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gem/runs/2017020600/gem-0-192.png?00 

GFS maintains the cleanest ESE feed and the reward is a secondary feed of cold uppers keeping things decidedly chilly right into FI!
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017020600/gfs-0-144.png?0 
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017020600/gfs-0-192.png?0 
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017020600/gfs-0-240.png?0 
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017020600/gfs-1-240.png?0 

The only slight disappointment is that the Op (and Control) are not widely supported on the short ensembles!
http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/graphe_ens3.php?x=308&ext=1&y=132&run=0&runpara=0 
St. Sampson
Guernsey
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