http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017012006/gfsnh-0-156.png?6

first attempt fails, but warm southerly winds for us all

Not really Beast. A southerly wind will be cold off a cold continent. It will take a long track SW'ly to turn things mild.

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http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017012006/gfsnh-0-156.png?6

first attempt fails, but warm southerly winds for us all

 

No warmth in those winds drawing air from a cold France .

 

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2017012006/gfsnh-0-156.png?6

first attempt fails, but warm southerly winds for us all

 

Warm southerly winds from France? - Been so cold there!!?

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Warm southerly winds from France? - Been so cold there!!?

Still cold in the south and east:

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Mostly throughout, GFS 6z shows a stand off between high pressure to the east and low pressure in the Atlantic.
The jet is forecast to dig well south in the outlook, so we'll see if there is any pressure to the above to play out that way.

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/cma/runs/2017012000/cmanh-0-192.png?00

The Chinese 00z in case anyone missed it

 

and the Indian model

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/ncmrwf/runs/2017012000/ncmrwfnh-0-168.png?00

 

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Its interesting how the little cold pool develops to the SW/W in the next 48 hours

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2017/01/20/basis06/ukuk/t850/17012200_2006.gif 

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If anyone can offer something inspiring regarding the extended outlook please feel free. Otherwise it all seems a bit non descript with a continuation of the stand-off we've seen for most of January.
No sign of an active Atlantic though which is something I suppose 😉

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We should really be opening a new thread for the up coming Wintry spell on Sunday night

LOL 

 

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http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/cma/runs/2017012000/cmanh-0-192.png?00

The Chinese 00z in case anyone missed it

 

and the Indian model

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/ncmrwf/runs/2017012000/ncmrwfnh-0-168.png?00

 

 

I fancy a Chinese all of a sudden!

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We should really be opening a new thread for the up coming Wintry spell on Sunday night

LOL 

 

 

 

Although there does show some accumulations - http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gfs/06_72_uksnowdepth.png?cb=138 

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If anyone can offer something inspiring regarding the extended outlook please feel free. Otherwise it all seems a bit non descript with a continuation of the stand-off we've seen for most of January.
 😉

 

Well it's not easy going by the GFS 12z ensembles.  All 16 days have a snow row of precisely zero ! Only the odd 2 here and there for the Aberdeen and Liverpool as well.

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Although there does show some accumulations - http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gfs/06_72_uksnowdepth.png?cb=138 

 

Hold on to your hats

 

http://www.bbc.com/weather/ch62?day=2

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If anyone can offer something inspiring regarding the extended outlook please feel free. Otherwise it all seems a bit non descript with a continuation of the stand-off we've seen for most of January.
No sign of an active Atlantic though which is something I suppose 😉

Nothing inspiring Neil but the GFS 06z doesn't bring the first atlantic front to the east of the UK until 29th January now. 

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Hold on to your hats

 

http://www.bbc.com/weather/ch62?day=2

 

 

MBY gets an actual snowflake symbol for Sunday

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2638785

 

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We can all only guess what FI really holds, but with southerly tracking jet and some very cold conditions to our east, a disjointed Atlantic and supposed projections of stratospheric warming, we would be very unlucky not to see a fairly decent cold spell later this winter. It may be close but no cigar this time round which would lead us to ask "just what do we have to do to have a decent winters spell in the U.K. nowadays?"

What's wrong with more of the current weather? Horrendous air pollution aside, it's been beautifully sunny and still, sharp frosts every morning, and no rain or mud to contend with. I'd gladly take more of the same, with a bit less pollution.

All IMBY of course.

The long term signal for a return of westerlies is very consistent but I'm a little sceptical still given high pressure seems to be the form horse this winter.

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MBY gets an actual snowflake symbol for Sunday

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2638785

 

 

"

"ahh and here we see the rare and endangered BBC weather snow icon... not alot is know of this icon, but some suggest it does appear for other parts of the world, and in warmer climates too... This indeed, is a rare spectacle"

 

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We should really be opening a new thread for the up coming Wintry spell on Sunday night

LOL 

 

Ulgrades down the line. 😜

EC15 tending more 'meridional' with each run beyond day 10 with much upper-level diffluence on this side of the Atlantic and particularly to the NE, which will do nothing but hinder any chance of any real, vigorous zonality becoming established. Yawn.

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