Ally Pally Snowman
17 June 2017 16:57:22

Ukmo looks very good and hot away from the far north out  to day 6. 


 


http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.html


 


GFS hot in the south til next Sunday . Not bad 12z so far.


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Saint Snow
17 June 2017 18:19:24

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Mum's funeral is Wednesday, not Thursday as per my previous post. What's it looking like for here?  Hope it's not too unbearable for your hospital stay either. 



 


Hi Caz. So sorry to hear about your mum. Hope it goes OK for you on Wednesday. Take care.



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Ally Pally Snowman
17 June 2017 20:52:12

Ecm has 850s of 19/20c on Thursday most of the other models have something similar. You would have to think the all time June max 35.6c is under threat. 


http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1202.html


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
17 June 2017 20:55:51

Thanks Saint!    I don't want to hijack this thread but I'm hoping Wednesday isn't going to be too hot, as my son and nephews will be in suits and ties for carrying mum's coffin.


I felt for those in full uniform in this heat at the trooping of the colours today and I believe one of them passed out and was stretchered off.  Do you follow my train of thought?  


So can anyone give their thoughts on Wednesday's weather in North Notts?  


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Ally Pally Snowman
17 June 2017 21:15:18

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Thanks Saint!    I don't want to hijack this thread but I'm hoping Wednesday isn't going to be too hot, as my son and nephews will be in suits and ties for carrying mum's coffin.


I felt for those in full uniform in this heat at the trooping of the colours today and I believe one of them passed out and was stretchered off.  Do you follow my train of thought?  


So can anyone give their thoughts on Wednesday's weather in North Notts?  



 


I'd say sunny about  25c ish so not too bad the real heat Wednesday is further west.


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Quantum
17 June 2017 21:21:54

More NAVGEM madness!



38C!



Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Matty H
17 June 2017 23:27:28

Caz, so sorry to hear about your mum. Sending loads of love and best wishes. 


As for summer being over? Isn't it nice when the trolls aren't spoiling this thread. 


LeedsLad123
17 June 2017 23:46:41

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


More NAVGEM madness!



38C!




I love NAVGEM. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
18 June 2017 05:41:27

Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Caz, so sorry to hear about your mum. Sending loads of love and best wishes. 


As for summer being over? Isn't it nice when the trolls aren't spoiling this thread. 


Cheers Matty! Yes this thread is currently behaving nicely and it's nice to see you posting again. 


At the moment Wednesday is looking OK for us if we get 25c. 


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doctormog
18 June 2017 05:50:26

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Cheers Matty! Yes this thread is currently behaving nicely and it's nice to see you posting again. 


At the moment Wednesday is looking OK for us if we get 25c. 



I think that sounds about right based on current output Caz. Very sorry to hear of your loss and I hope Wednesday goes OK. 


TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
18 June 2017 07:27:30
Take a look at Arpege. It turns the winds Southerly and brings 22C 850s by Thurs. But even by We'd it's showing a 3rd Aug 1990 pattern with a claimed 36C around the Cheltenham area.

See wxcharts version (which has the max-mins).
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Hungry Tiger
18 June 2017 09:47:17

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


More NAVGEM madness!



38C!




They were pretty accurate 2 years ago - Looks mad - but I reckon now we will see some memorable temperatures over the next few weeks.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


briggsy6
18 June 2017 12:44:20

Jusr seen the lunchtime Weather for the week ahead and it appears the end is nigh for our hot spell. The peak of the heat should be Monday (32c possible in S.E. but with an increased risk of afternoon downpours). A gradual cooling trend evident for Tues/Wed before another plume of heat pushes up from across the Channel on Thurs. Then a potent cold front pushes across all parts on Friday introducing a period of cooler less settled Atlantic domination. 


Location: Uxbridge
Hungry Tiger
18 June 2017 13:41:05

Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


Jusr seen the lunchtime Weather for the week ahead and it appears the end is nigh for our hot spell. The peak of the heat should be Monday (32c possible in S.E. but with an increased risk of afternoon downpours). A gradual cooling trend evident for Tues/Wed before another plume of heat pushes up from across the Channel on Thurs. Then a potent cold front pushes across all parts on Friday introducing a period of cooler less settled Atlantic domination. 



The heat will be back soon though.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
18 June 2017 13:53:51

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


 


The heat will be back soon though.


 


Hopefully it will!


 I feel a bit selfish for wanting a midweek cool down but I'd feel less guilty if it did heat up again!  


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Sinky1970
18 June 2017 13:54:51
Wouldn't trust BBC weather though, apparently we have a thunderstorm forecast here (Wolverhampton/West Mids) at 4pm but the skies are largely clear at the moment. Also the London forecast today was for clear sunny skies, but on the satellite images the skies are 50/50 covered in cloud, so 5 day forecast's are really quite risky.
Matty H
18 June 2017 13:57:12

Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


Jusr seen the lunchtime Weather for the week ahead and it appears the end is nigh for our hot spell. The peak of the heat should be Monday (32c possible in S.E. but with an increased risk of afternoon downpours). A gradual cooling trend evident for Tues/Wed before another plume of heat pushes up from across the Channel on Thurs. Then a potent cold front pushes across all parts on Friday introducing a period of cooler less settled Atlantic domination. 



 


If anyone was listening to that dipstick cold weather whatever his name was last week, we'd be in a cool, northerly flow now with a high set up in the mid atlantic. 


What is for sure is despite so called model upgrades, they are as useless as they've ever been at 5+ days. Hopefully the heat hangs around. Until this time next year


Brian Gaze
18 June 2017 14:04:01
GEFS has 850s going from 20C to 10C late this week. Extreme heat followed by warm or very warm. Not exactly an ice age. Could be wrong of course.
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moomin75
18 June 2017 16:41:04
Definitively more unsettled on the 12z in both GFS AND UKMO models this afternoon.
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Sinky1970
18 June 2017 16:45:18
Still no sign of that thunderstorm or thundery shower.
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