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markwells
30 September 2014 22:26:59
HI please can I go for 11.2 C Many thanks
nouska
30 September 2014 22:57:45
11C please.
Twister
01 October 2014 06:18:08
10.8C please
Location: Egerton, Kent - 33m ASL
Thunder 2016: 12 (Apr 3,13; May 21; Jun 8,11,17,22,23,25, Jul 2,12, Aug 26)
Winter 2015/6: Snowfalls: 10 | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 17 (0.5cm)) | Air frosts: 39
Winter 2016/7: Snowfalls: 4 (Jan 12-3, Feb 10-11) | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 13, 2cm, Feb 11, 3-5mm) | Air frosts: 57 (2 in Oct, 10 in Nov, 13 in Dec, 19 in Jan, 6 in Feb, 3 in Mar, 4 in Apr)
"The heavens tell of the glory of God. The skies display his marvellous craftsmanship." (Psalm 19:1)
The Professional
01 October 2014 19:25:29
Ooops, late. 10.99 please. Thanks GW!
ARTzeman
02 October 2014 15:54:19

Met Office Hadley   figure  updated ... 15.0c.   Anomaly    2.7c.  


Metcheck               14.62c.    Anomaly   4.11c.


N-W                       16.15c.   Anomaly   5.75c.


Mount  Sorrel          15.21c.   Anomaly   4.81c.


My  Mean                15.8c.    Anomaly   3.4c.


 


  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Quantum
02 October 2014 21:35:16

10.5C


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
ARTzeman
03 October 2014 11:14:51

Met Office Hadley      13.9c.      Anomaly   1.7c.  Provisional to 2nd.


Metcheck                  14.40c.    Anomaly   3.90c.


N-W                         15.25c.    Anomaly   4.86c.


Mount  Sorrel            14.74c.    Anomaly   4.34c.


My    Mean                15.8c.     Anomaly    3.4c.


  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
03 October 2014 19:17:44

Sorry, just back from holiday.  Can I still have a go?  If so, please put me down for 11.8c


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
ARTzeman
04 October 2014 10:41:09

Met Office Hadley      14.4c.    Anomaly    2.2c.     Provisional to 3rd.


Metcheck                  14.70c.   Anomaly    4.19c.


N-W                         15.49c.   Anomaly    5.1c.


Mount  Sorrel            15.27c.   Anomaly    4.87c.


My   Mean                 15.7c.    Anomaly     3.3c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Global Warming
04 October 2014 14:07:03

Despite cooler conditions over the next few days we may see warmer conditions again by the middle of the month. Current output suggests the CET could be more than 1C above average by the 18th. So the generally warm trend of 2014 may be set to continue this month.




If we look at the 2014 CET we can see that it will track close to 1846 in the next few days and in fact is currently slightly above 1846 and in first place. By the middle of the month we will probably fall behind 1990 but could still just about be in second place.


Global Warming
04 October 2014 15:07:42

Here are the predictions for October. Welcome to Gavin823 who is taking part for the first time.


Please note that for the November and December predictions these will be made via PM to me as in previous years and not posted directly in this thread in order to avoid tactical predictions.


ARTzeman
04 October 2014 16:13:57

Thank you for the chart.. Too near the top of it with my figure...






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
kendalian
04 October 2014 17:01:38


Thank you for the chart.. Too near the top of it with my figure...


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


 


Yes thanks as ever GW for your hard work, much appreciated.


 


I know what you mean ART, I'm already feeling I've gone too high, and you're higher than me!

DaveinHull
04 October 2014 18:17:02
Ooops, oh dear i totally forgot to enter. If its possible can i have 11.5c please.
ARTzeman
05 October 2014 10:36:46

Met Office Hadley    14.0c.    Anomaly      1.8c. Provisional to 4th.


Metcheck                13.29c.   Anomaly      2.78c.


N-W                       14.76c.   Anomaly      4.37c.


Mount Sorrel           13.66c.   Anomaly      3.26c.


My   Mean               14.8c.     Anomaly      2.4c.   






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
06 October 2014 11:35:53

Met Office Hadley     13.2c.    Anomaly     1.0c.    Provisional to 5th.


Metcheck                 12.80.    Anomaly     2.29c.


N-W                        13.85c.   Anomaly    3.46c.


Mount  Sorrel           13.09c.  Anomaly     2.69c.


My   Mean                14.1c.   Anomaly      0.4c


   






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
07 October 2014 11:20:01

Met Office Hadley   13.0c.    Anomaly   0.7c. Provisional to 6th.


Metcheck              12.25c.   Anomaly   1.74c.


N-W                     13.36c.   Anomaly   2.96c.    


Mount   Sorrel       12.71c.   Anomaly   2.31c.


My  Mean             13.7c.     Anomaly   0.8c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
wallaw
07 October 2014 13:53:10
Been a strange sort of day up here, it actually feels quite mild.

Shouldn't this thread be stickied?
Ian


Stockton-on-Tees

Rob K
08 October 2014 10:06:08


If we look at the 2014 CET we can see that it will track close to 1846 in the next few days and in fact is currently slightly above 1846 and in first place. By the middle of the month we will probably fall behind 1990 but could still just about be in second place.



Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


Interesting chart, that. It really shows how 2006 made a surge for the record in the last few weeks of the year, from being well below others at this stage. And 1846 really let itself down at the end of the year!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
ARTzeman
08 October 2014 11:14:55

Met Office Hadley    12.5c.    Anomaly     0.3c.   provisional to 7th.


Metcheck                11.83c.   Anomaly      1.32c.


N-W                       12.78c.   Anomaly      2.39c.


Mount   Sorrel         12.52c.   Anomaly     1.72c.


My    Mean              13.1c.    Anomaly      1.3c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
08 October 2014 12:14:27


Met Office Hadley    12.5c.    Anomaly     0.3c.   provisional to 7th.


Metcheck                11.83c.   Anomaly      1.32c.


N-W                       12.78c.   Anomaly      2.39c.


Mount   Sorrel         12.52c.   Anomaly     1.72c.


My    Mean              13.1c.    Anomaly      1.3c.


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


 


Keep falling, please



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
09 October 2014 11:27:49

Met Office Hadley   12.3c.   Anomaly    0.1c.  Provisional to 8th.


Metcheck               11.82c.  Anomaly   1.31c.


N--W                     12.62c   Anomaly   2.23c.


Mount Sorrel          12.05c.  Anomaly   1.65c.


My      Mean           12.9c.   Anomaly   0.5c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin P
09 October 2014 12:42:47

CET might get a bit of a boost next week? Then again starting to think a cold snap in final week or so can't be ruled out...


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Stormchaser
10 October 2014 09:36:25


CET might get a bit of a boost next week? Then again starting to think a cold snap in final week or so can't be ruled out...


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


Using the GFS 00z op run data, the CET wobbles about until next weekend without much overall change, the minimum value being around 11.9*C and the maximum 12.1*C.


Then, that warm plume of air kicks in, with two very warm days followed by two very mild days, lifting the CET to around 12.7*C. It then wobbles about again for the final few days of the run, giving 12.7*C to the 26th.


It's just a rough estimate using raw GFS data, but it suggests the potential for October to be yet another month in 2014 with a CET at least 1*C above average.


 


I reckon ECM would produce a longer run of very warm (by which I mean CET returns of around 16-18*C) days than GFS does. Fair to say, I would enjoy that cool


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
ARTzeman
10 October 2014 11:49:36

Met Office Hadley  12.2c    Anomaly  01.c. Provisional to 9th.


Metcheck              11.75c  Anomaly  1.24c.


N- W                    12.6c.   Anomaly  2.21c.


Mount  Sorrel        11.93c  Anomaly  1.53c


My   Mean             12.9c.  Anomaly  0.5c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

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