CET might get a bit of a boost next week? Then again starting to think a cold snap in final week or so can't be ruled out...
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser
Using the GFS 00z op run data, the CET wobbles about until next weekend without much overall change, the minimum value being around 11.9*C and the maximum 12.1*C.
Then, that warm plume of air kicks in, with two very warm days followed by two very mild days, lifting the CET to around 12.7*C. It then wobbles about again for the final few days of the run, giving 12.7*C to the 26th.
It's just a rough estimate using raw GFS data, but it suggests the potential for October to be yet another month in 2014 with a CET at least 1*C above average.
I reckon ECM would produce a longer run of very warm (by which I mean CET returns of around 16-18*C) days than GFS does. Fair to say, I would enjoy that
Originally Posted by: Gavin P