Signals for the winter are far from clear and models and amateur forecasts have widely different outcomes.Many members have been waiting to finalize there own views.Now is the time to nail your colours to the mast and plump for your winter CET forecast.

A bit of context -the 1971-00 CET for December - February averages 4.5C.The last two winters were very different in detail but both were cold,09/10 being 2.4C,10/11 being 3.1C.As well as getting your individual forecasts we should find which way the forum as a whole will tip-above or below average.

Entries by end of November.

I'll kick off with a below average 3.9C



4.7C with a cooler start and warmer end.

I'm going for a warm winter this year very little in the way of prolonged cold spells like 2010,

5.6c

For the 3 months

I have no idea which way it is going to go, I still have a feeling (and it's nothing more scientific than that) that we are in for another colder than average winter. Maybe nothing to compare in any one month to last December, but over the 3 month period I am going to go for 3.8

I'll go for 3.4C, mild to start with then colder through the middle and at the end.

3.4C please

2.8C me thinks (hopes) 

Overall rather average: 4.5c

 dry but average temps in dec. Mild in Jan with the odd cold day. Feb cold dry start ending wet and mild.

CET 5.45

3.4C 

No clue, but just for fun, I will go cold.

Please give me 2.1 - will be totally wrong, but I don't care.

2.2C

Here is a chart showing the winter CET since 1962 (the year shown represents the year in which January and February fall).

The last 3 winters have all been cold:

2009: 3.5C
2010: 2.4C
2011: 3.1C

The last time we had three consecutive winters of 3.5C or less was 1985-1987

There have not been four consecutive winters that cold in recent times. The closest was 1962-1965 (3.6C, -0.3C, 3.5C, 3.3C)

So it would be quite special if we have another cold winter this year.



Don't forget TomP or Waterspout, both said we would be cooling down in the run up to the winter(s) to follow 2012

Well if they were to spring back up and tell us the prophecy was about to come true I may sit up and listen, but until those oracles reappear, I'll carry on stewing and see how November pans out.

I'll reckon around about 2.9, starting off mild then colder spells before the milder temperatures return.

I don't think this winter will be as bad as predicted or expected.