Christmas 2013: Unsettled
Christmas weather forecast introduction
Welcome to our dedicated Christmas 2013 weather forecast page. This year as well as the regularly updated hand crafted forecast we've added in a new section called 'The computer says'. This is an automatically generated outlook which updates every day using only computer model data and it may suggest a very different picture to the hand crafted forecast. Who will be right? .
Mobile and unsettled weather is expected to last until the New Year or longer. Christmas day is set to coincide with a colder incursion of polar maritime air and there is the possibility of a more organised band of showers pushing east across the UK later in the day. Forecast parameters suggest conditions will be very marginal for snow.
How does this impact the Xmas forecast?
The sixteenth update increases the chance of snow falling in both the north and south of the country. A Dickensian Christmas with crisp and deep snow is almost certain not to happen away from high ground in the north, but there is a reasonable chance of some locations seeing a mix of rain, sleet and wet snow falling on December 25th. Accumulations look unlikely away from high ground in the north, but for a Christmas to be classified as white snow it is only necessarily for snow to fall. Despite the chance of a wintry mix most of UK's population is likely to record a green Christmas this year.
Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below!
Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day
North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 14%
Update 16, 21/12/2013
The computer says [Issued 12/03/2014 07:36:09]
The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in Scotland.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland.
- It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands.