Christmas 2013: Colder in the south?
Christmas weather forecast introduction
Welcome to our dedicated Christmas 2013 weather forecast page. This year as well as the regularly updated hand crafted forecast we've added in a new section called 'The computer says'. This is an automatically generated outlook which updates every day using only computer model data and it may suggest a very different picture to the hand crafted forecast. Who will be right? .
High pressure continues to dominate the weather, but it does look as though a change will take place as we head into December. An initial cold plunge may be followed by a more unsettled spell in the north, with higher pressure and colder conditions possibly holding on further south and east for a while. Although the initial cold snap could be quite sharp most of the evidence is not pointing towards a sustained cold period like we say in December 2009 and 2010.
How does this impact the Xmas forecast?
The thirteenth update maintains the same chance of a White Christmas in the south and slightly reduces it in the north. The percentage chances remain above the long term average for southern regions. The thinking behind this is that more mobile weather patterns are possible in northern regions, with the Atlantic having more influence and keeping it milder.
Do remember this forecast is for fun and it's way too early to have any confidence in it. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates through the coming weeks. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below!
Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day
North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 22%
Update 13, 28/11/2013
The computer says [Issued 05/12/2013 14:40:59]
The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?
- Cold but dry conditions are expected in the south
- Cold but dry conditions are expected in Wales
- Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Midlands
- Snow is expected in the north
- Snow is expected in Scotland
- Cold but dry conditions are expected in Northern Ireland
- Snow is expected in the Republic of Ireland
- Snow is expected in the Netherlands