Christmas weather forecast introduction
Welcome to our dedicated Christmas 2016 weather forecast page. If forecasting a few days ahead is prone to error in the UK how it is possible to forecast a single day several months ahead? The simple answer is it isn't! Usually it's not until the second week of December that confidence in the forecast begins to rise.
The 'computer says' forecasts are produced using data from the seasonal CFSv2 model and are updated daily. 'TheWeatherOutlook says' forecasts look at the data from the computer models and how the weather is developing during the autumn, and are usually updated weekly.
Please remember that and understand this page is primarily for fun, as the days grow shorter, the weather turns miserable, and the big day approaches.
Our third update makes no change to the chance of snow with a green Christmas considered the most likely outcome away from high ground in the north. Since the last update seasonal forecasting models have offered more evidence for a 'front loaded winter'. If this is the outcome the highest chance of widespread cold and snow may occur between late November and the first half of January, possibly coinciding with Christmas.
Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas DayNorth of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20%South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 15%
Forecast issuedUpdate 3, 24/09/2016
Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.
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