Christmas weather forecast 2011

Christmas weather forecast introduction
Welcome to our dedicated Christmas 2011 weather forecast page. This will update regularly (usually each Saturday) during the run up to Christmas from September 1st and will take into account the weather patterns which develop during the autumn. Please remember that our Xmas forecast is intended to be for fun, as trying to forecast a single day even one week ahead is fraught with difficulty. The forecast is based on what we expect the general synoptic conditions to be like during the late December period.

Forecast
Update 19 continues to call a green Christmas 2011 for most of the country. Once making the Christmas call we are very unlikely to issue further significant changes to the forecast. The weather during the days leading up to Christmas will generally be milder than it has been recently, especially in the south. On Christmas day a predominantly west or south westerly flow is expected to be covering the country with close to or slightly above average temperatures. Even higher ground in the north will probably be too mild to see wintry conditions, so in Britain, Christmas 2011 will be overwhelmingly green.

Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day
North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 10%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 5%

Forecast issued
Update 1, 01/09/2011
Update 2, 10/09/2011
Update 3, 13/09/2011
Update 4, 17/09/2011
Update 5, 25/09/2011
Update 6, 01/10/2011
Update 7, 08/10/2011
Update 8, 16/10/2011
Update 9, 23/10/2011
Update 10, 30/10/2011
Update 11, 06/11/2011
Update 12, 13/11/2011
Update 13, 20/11/2011
Update 14, 27/11/2011
Update 15, 04/12/2011
Update 16, 11/12/2001
Update 17, 16/12/2011
Update 18, 18/12/2011
Update 19, 23/12/2011