Christmas weather forecast introduction
Welcome to our dedicated Christmas 2016 weather forecast page. If forecasting a few days ahead is prone to error in the UK how it is possible to forecast a single day several months ahead? The simple answer is it isn't! Usually it's not until the second week of December that confidence in the forecast begins to rise.
The 'computer says' forecasts are produced using data from the seasonal CFSv2 model and are updated daily. 'TheWeatherOutlook says' forecasts look at the data from the computer models and how the weather is developing during the autumn, and are usually updated weekly.
Please remember that and understand this page is primarily for fun, as the days grow shorter, the weather turns miserable, and the big day approaches.
The twelfth update suggests a lower chance of snow this Christmas in both the north and south. Computer model guidance is now pointing towards a more mobile pattern developing during the second week of December and this is expected to bring milder air in from the southwest. As we head towards Christmas a westerly based pattern may become established and in this set-up snow would only be likely over high ground in the north. Nonetheless, it is very important to point out that there remains a lot of time for things to change. Don't write off a White Christmas yet!
Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas DayNorth of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20%South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 15%
Forecast issuedUpdate 12, 01/12/2016
Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.
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