FAX - A couple of depressions blowing in from the Atlantic and decaying over Britain, tomorrow (Tue) 1016mb N Ireland and Thu 2nd 1001mb Hebrides, before high pressure 1034mb some distance SW of Ireland sends a ridge across Britain on Fri 3rd.
GFS Op 0z - the centre of the high pressure from the 3rd slowly transfers to Germany Tue 7th but a potential warm southerly is soon dispelled as a depression scoots past NW Scotland turning winds back to the SW. New centre of high pressure soon appears from the SW and settles over Britain 1030mb from Sun 12th - looks like lots of hot sunshine but not too humid as the circulation is Atlantic in origin.
ECM to T+240 - like GFS/FAX but the high pressure moves across Britain more slowly and has only reached East Anglia Wed 8th with a trough from Biscay threatening the SW.
AIFS - London maxima rising slowly from 23C now to low 30s C by Tue 7th for a couple of days; back to 25C Fri 10th. Dry, just a splash on Fri 10th (=a long way off). Edinburgh, mostly around 20C with a few isolated warmer days to 24C (Mon 6th, Wed 8th, Mon 13th). Rain in the next few days and then again on Fri 10th.
GEFS - mean temp rising from norm now to 3 or 4C above norm (a couple of degrees more along the S coast; less marked in Scotland) Tue 7th- Thu 9th, with quite good ens support before an ens spread sets in (Scotland, ens spread from the word 'go') and the mean drops back. No rain in the S, not much in the rest of England, bits and pieces in Scotland except dry 7th-9th.
Something of a heat wave in the south early next week, but a lukewarm(?) copy of what we've just had.
It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard
Chichester 12m asl