Thought you like the heat?  This is the reality that heat dome won’t go away i think this summer until Autumn season end it.  Might get 3rd month in the row to break records. 

I do , but 41c is a bit much especially when you got to work. Most other output has mid 30s next week . Looks like a spell very similar to last week .

GFS Op 0z - the centre of the high pressure from the 3rd slowly transfers to Germany Tue 7th but a potential warm southerly is soon dispelled as a depression scoots past NW Scotland turning winds back to the SW. New centre of high pressure soon appears from the SW and settles over Britain 1030mb from Sun 12th - looks like lots of hot sunshine but not too humid as the circulation is Atlantic in origin.

ECM to T+240 - like GFS/FAX but the high pressure moves across Britain more slowly and has only reached East Anglia Wed 8th with a trough from Biscay threatening the SW.

AIFS - London maxima rising slowly from 23C now to low 30s C by Tue 7th for a couple of days; back to 25C Fri 10th. Dry, just a splash on Fri 10th (=a long way off).  Edinburgh, mostly around 20C with a few isolated warmer days to 24C (Mon 6th, Wed 8th, Mon 13th). Rain in the next few days and then again on Fri 10th. 

GEFS - mean temp rising from norm now to 3 or 4C above norm (a couple of degrees more along the S coast; less marked in Scotland) Tue 7th- Thu 9th, with quite good ens support before an ens spread sets in (Scotland, ens spread from the word 'go') and the mean drops back. No rain in the S, not much in the rest of England, bits and pieces in Scotland except dry 7th-9th.

Something of a heat wave in the south early next week, but a lukewarm(?) copy of what we've just had.

The number of +35C days this year could be crazy high. 

I think this coming warmer spell could be more pleasant with lower humidity/dew points for the UK.

It could just be me, but some of the model output appears to show higher 2m temperatures with slightly lower 850hPa values, so perhaps a drier air mass as you suggest. 

Looking at the big 3 00z's, Eastern Scotland remains with the Atlantic westerly for the first 10 days of July, so changeable and around 20 - 23 C at most

Looking at the GFS though, there does seem to be a build of heat northwards towards mid month 🤞

Although with thundery showers around🌩️

Better to work shift pattern so you get more days off during the week to catch those hot spells easier.  I seen the ensembles and there some few support with the main op up to 22c here.  It been a trend to show high temps for a while and not in FI.

BBC Weather here has basically unbroken sun from July 3rd to 12th, with highs between 26 and 32 and lows of 13 to 18. Sounds wonderful. Wish I had invested in solar panels though, I have really been missing out these last couple of years!

Why are you going to China? 

For a bit of travelling and something different.

Edit: actually on the third 39C day it looks like there is a 40C isotherm. Oh well... :)

So just the one 40C+ day, six 35C+ and twelve 30C+ days on that run.

In 2022 the GFS ensembles had something like a 50% chance of 41C being achieved 1-2 days before the actual event, in the end we were about a degree lower than that; some of the more extreme forecasts went far above 42C with the most extreme one showing 46C. 

We currently have forecasts showing 40C again, thankfully I think unless we get a big majority of ensembles showing this at short range its probably quite unlikely. 

The recording network is so sparse now that I'm actually surprised how close the recorded max often is to the modelled max. The small areas of extremes are often over the top, as you say. (although I am pretty sure there were some reliable 38s across Norfolk on Friday, looking at the private stations on WOW).

Oddly poetic, Q. 

I notice one day in about a week's time, a mid 30s temperature with a 6C dewpoint. Keep hydrated then it might be possible to cool off.

One thing we won’t go into this next heatwave is damp ground as well. In effect we are back in Heatwave territory from Friday on this run alone, meaning in reality the ‘cool down’ was only for 4 days