I think we can safely assume that we have all predicted  too low this month with Art's 16.14c the highest.
The table below shows the CET competition order at the half way stage in the year and the distance each of us is from the leader.
Ricm has taken over from Caz at the top but its very close.
Interesting to see that last year's bottom 2 , Artzeman and Bolty, are in the top 6 and challenging for the title whereas  December 2022's top 5 , shown  in bold, are all towards the bottom of the table.
We've lost around one quarter of the original 2023 entrants; mostly from around the bottom of the table.

rickm           0
caz               0.18
artzeman     0.24
Gavin D       0.63
grandad      0.66
bolty            0.68
tierradelfuego 0.80
dingle rob   0.86
taylor1740   1.05
windywillow 1.11
stomchaser  1.56
scillydave     1.70
norseman    1.73
kendalian     2.06
hungry tiger 2.26
jmm2005      2.31
gezm            2.46
lanky             2.48
redmoons     2.54
sussex snow magnet 2.60
jacee            2.73
snowshoe    2.96
sswd            2.96
col               3.01
frank h        3.80
ap snowman 4.15
bertwhistle  4.51

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Hadley

17.0c to the 24th

2.9c above the 61 to 90 average
2.9c above the 81 to 10 average

If the CET for the remaining 6 days of June come in at 6C my 14.8 for this month will be spot on 😀

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If the CET for the remaining 6 days of June come in at 6C my 14.8 for this month will be spot on 😀

😂

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IMANSF22                16.9c             Haydon           1.78c
Metcheck                  16.84c          Anomaly          2.69c
Netweather               17.49c          Anomaly          3,4c
Peasedown St John    18.0c           Anomaly          1.8c.   

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Hadley

17.1c to the 25th

3.0c above the 61 to 90 average
3.0c above the 81 to 10 average

This month is gonna be yet another bad guess in one of the worst years of predicting I've ever done on here but it matters not .. each month is a fresh excitement in guessing what the weather will do next and when I'm wrong I usually have the compensation of it being a more interesting month to watch for its unpredictability .
February and June have been the months that really did for me , in Feb I bought into all the hype about a late SSW/easterly which then turned up in March in diminished form... And in June the month actually started off pretty cool and while I anticipated a warm up, what has transpired has blown me and indeed all of us away .
In fairness it was about time . Nearly half a century since June 1976 and the nearest approach was almost 1C cooler ?? It was never gonna last ! 
 

I agree!  Wherever I am on the table, it’s fun!  However, I am feeling under a bit of pressure now to add more points, so being up there is maybe not such fun!  😂

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IMANSF22              16.9c            Haydon         17.8c
Metcheck                16.83c          Anomaly       2.68c
Netweather             17.43c          Anomaly       3.39c
Peasedown St John  17.56c         Anomaly       1.72c.    

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Hadley

17.1c to the 26th

3.0c above the 61 to 90 average
2.9c above the 81 to 10 average

Thanks for the analysis Frank. Perhaps there's been a general underestimation of the contribution from well above normal SSTs to the W & NW of the UK... and/or their upscaling to record-high levels during the middle stages of the month. Back in late June I thought I was being a little bold estimating about a degree above the 1991-2020 average... so much for that! 😄

Curiously July also looks to start cool but with hints of something warmer later. Hmm!

I'm going to the Balearic Isles for a week starting very early tomorrow - almost the perfect timing you might say - so will send my CET estimate shortly. Arguably a handicap but to be honest, the 2nd half of the month tends to be subject to so much uncertainty that any disadvantage on my part likely pales by comparison.

Potential for a 'shock to the system' for me upon return, depending on whether ECM's right to keep the trough parked overhead rather than shifting it westward to enable a warmup despite continued showery conditions.

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Thanks for the analysis Frank. Perhaps there's been a general underestimation of the contribution from well above normal SSTs to the W & NW of the UK... and/or their upscaling to record-high levels during the middle stages of the month. Back in late June I thought I was being a little bold estimating about a degree above the 1991-2020 average... so much for that! 😄

Curiously July also looks to start cool but with hints of something warmer later. Hmm!

I'm going to the Balearic Isles for a week starting very early tomorrow - almost the perfect timing you might say - so will send my CET estimate shortly. Arguably a handicap but to be honest, the 2nd half of the month tends to be subject to so much uncertainty that any disadvantage on my part likely pales by comparison.

Potential for a 'shock to the system' for me upon return, depending on whether ECM's right to keep the trough parked overhead rather than shifting it westward to enable a warmup despite continued showery conditions.

I’ve found I do better if I don’t see the end of month output!  I’m convinced the models lead us up the garden path deliberately!  😂

Enjoy your holiday!  👍

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June 2023 will be the hottest on record, the met office has said

IMANSF22               16.99c              Haydon        17.8c
Metcheck                 16.88c             Anomaly       2.73c
Netweather              17.48c             Anomaly       3.39c
Peasedown St John  17.78c             Anomaly       1.64c.  

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June 2023 will be the hottest on record, the met office has said

Not true as no way is it going to get past 18.0C

 

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Not true as no way is it going to get past 18.0C

 

They are talking about UK wide not the CET. Records go back to the 1880s for the UK so a significant record.  
 

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Hadley

17.0c to the 27th

2.9c above the 61 to 90 average
2.8c above the 81 to 10 average

IMANSF22             16.9c             Haydon           17.8c
Metcheck               16.90c          Anomaly          2.75c
Netweather            17.54c          Anomaly          3.45c
Peasedown St John   17.32c       Anomaly          1.18c.            

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Hadley

17.1c to the 28th

3.0c above the 61 to 90 average
2.8c above the 81 to 10 average

IMANSF22               16.99c             Haydon            17.7c
Metcheck                 16.04c            Anomaly           2.70c
Netweather              17.51c            Anomaly           3.42c
Peasedown St John  17.76c            Anomaly           1.62c.  

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