doctormog
25 October 2023 06:20:38
It looks nasty. The NHC states,”There are no hurricanes on record even close to this intensity for this part of Mexico.”

Landfall must be any time around now. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/floater.php?stormid=EP182023 
Roger Parsons
25 October 2023 06:24:39
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

It looks nasty. The NHC states,”There are no hurricanes on record even close to this intensity for this part of Mexico.”

Landfall must be any time around now. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/floater.php?stormid=EP182023 

Very interesting - and concerning - thanks DrM.
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
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25 October 2023 07:24:59
It’s a busy week in the tropics, with landfalling tropical cyclones occurring or expected to occur in Bangladesh, Yemen, Vanuatu, Nicaragua, and Mexico.

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/topic/eye-on-the-storm/ 
Includes detailed analysis of Otis in an onward link - and storm Tej, which has dumped 8x the average annual rainfall on Yemen in one go.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
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25 October 2023 20:53:26
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/10/nightmare-scenario-category-5-hurricane-otis-devastates-acapulco/ 

Snippets from the link:

Otis unexpectedly intensified from a tropical storm with 65 mph winds to a Category 5 storm with 165 mph winds — an astonishing 105 mph increase — in the 24 hours before landfall. Rapid intensification is extremely dangerous because it leaves people little time to prepare for strong storms. The phenomenon is expected to happen more often as the climate warms.

This means that the most heavily developed areas of Acapulco (population just over 1 million) received the more powerful right-front winds of Otis, perhaps setting a record for the largest number of people ever to experience the eyewall of a Cat 5 storm. 

The key factor in Otis’s rapid intensification, though, was the presence of a strong band of winds, known as a jet streak, embedded in the fast-flowing current of jet stream air to the north of Otis. As Otis pulled warm, moist air from the surface and pushed it aloft in its eyewall, the strong winds of this jet streak acted to ventilate the hurricane.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
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28 October 2023 06:51:30
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/10/acapulco-reeling-from-catastrophic-damage-in-the-wake-of-hurricane-otis/ 

More before-and-after pictures from a disaster that the world (or at least British) media isn't looking at. Modernbuildings with not only windows blown out but internal walls demolished,
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
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