WX charts (based IIRC on the GFS Op) still keeping most of Europe in the freezer week 1 and extending that to Britain in week 2. Only Med coasts hanging on to any milder conditions. Pptn week 1 out on the Atlantic plus Alps down to E Med; week 2 a broad band from W France through to Turkey plus the Norwegian coast, Britain in a small drier patch.
GFS Op - HP off W of Ireland moving to S Norway 1045b Wed 8th setting up an E-ly drift across Europe, some v cold air close to SE England by Sat 11th while pressure rises over Greenland 1045mb with ridge to Scotland. Pressure continues to rise over Greenland while dropping over the Baltic 995mb Thu 16th with arctic N-lies for Britain.
ECM - could scarcely be more different. HP moves across Britain Wed 8th and is centred Hungary 1045mb Fri 10th with strong W-lies from the Atlantic stretching across Norway to Siberia, these interrupted by a local deep depression 975mb Sat 11th off NW Scotland. Pressure over Greenland remains low ca 990mb.
FAX like GFS puts HP in the Baltic but a much larger area, pushing the E-lies down into Italy Mon 6th with LP 1011mb in the Tyrrhenian.
GEM also puts the HP into Hungary, 1040mb Fri 10th and still there Sun 12th with S-lies for Britain.
GEFS temps near norm for now, dropping to 5C below norm for a time around Thu 9th in the S (nearer norm in N) before rising to norm again Mon 13th taking most of the ens members with it though Op and 3 or 4 ens members remain ultra-cold (8-10C below norm). Little prospect of rain before the 13th and not much then.
Rare and interesting to see so much difference between models at such short range.
I'm away from today until Sun 12th so experiencing the uncertainty in C Europe at first hand, but I don't expect to be posting reviews for the next 10 days. There's plenty of chatter in this thread to take up the space😀