No relief in sight for those hoping for another cold spell. WX temp charts show cold air tucked up well out of the way in W Russia and N Scandinavia, and mild air spreading even further N through the Atlantic up to Iceland in week 2. Rain as ever for Atlantic coastal countries in week 1, with some extension of pptn into the Baltic, but back W-wards in week 2 still including Britain and W Norway.
GFS Op - zonal stuff, with LP generally to the N of Scotland and HP to the S of France generating W/SW-ly winds pushing far into Europe. A little extra excitement Sat 31st as one of the LPs comes further S and deepens 955mb N Ireland, moving through very quickly though; the HP forecast yesterday for later on is much less in evidence for Britain, staying over SE Europe instead.
FAX places the LP centres further S, close to or over Scotland with a procession of fronts and troughs for all.
ECM as GFS though the storm on Sat 31st arrives a day earlier and is less deep
GEFS - temps as yesterday , mean rising irregularly to norm by about Sat 31st and then consistently above for the next ten days (very mild, say 6C above norm by Sat 7th). Lots of rain until about Tue 3rd, then drier esp in S & E (NW Scotland remains very wet)
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl