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Gandalf The White
25 December 2022 11:12:01

A big Bah humbug from the GEFS this morning. 

UserPostedImage


 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 



In keeping with the spirit of the season..

”The cold weather is behind you”
”Oh no it isn’t”
”Oh yes it is”



 
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


dagspot
25 December 2022 12:38:24
missing data bingo - check 
Neilston 600ft ASL
David M Porter
25 December 2022 13:10:08

Merry Christmas to everyone on TWO!
Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
White Meadows
25 December 2022 21:51:29
Met office update represents a profound change in direction for January:

"A trend back towards milder, wetter weather is most likely"

more Atlantic gastroenteritis spewed onto our shores til Feb by the sound of things.
Merry Christmas. 
Saint Snow
25 December 2022 22:05:12

Met office update represents a profound change in direction for January:

"A trend back towards milder, wetter weather is most likely"

more Atlantic gastroenteritis spewed onto our shores til Feb by the sound of things.
Merry Christmas. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 



🤮

There isn't a more depressing weather in winter than mild and wet. 

 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
backtobasics
25 December 2022 22:47:02

🤮

There isn't a more depressing weather in winter than mild and wet. 

 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



I'll raise you cold and wet !  i'll take mild all day long tbh, preferably with some sunshine 
idj20
25 December 2022 22:49:48

🤮

There isn't a more depressing weather in winter than mild and wet. 

 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



Indeed, really don't like the looks of the wind profile for late Friday/early Saturday on the 18z GFS. Just hope that it is overdoing it, especially as other models are showing a more toned down theme. I know it's something we expect to occur one or twice every winter, but thankfully on this occasion it looks like pressure will rise thereafter.
Folkestone Harbour. 
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
25 December 2022 23:28:21

Met office update represents a profound change in direction for January:

"A trend back towards milder, wetter weather is most likely"

more Atlantic gastroenteritis spewed onto our shores til Feb by the sound of things.
Merry Christmas. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


Typical front loaded La Nina winter most likely.
I do dislike cold and snow when days are very dark and short - it isn't so bad even by February.
tallyho_83
26 December 2022 00:20:03

Met office update represents a profound change in direction for January:

"A trend back towards milder, wetter weather is most likely"

more Atlantic gastroenteritis spewed onto our shores til Feb by the sound of things.
Merry Christmas. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 



Yes. I saw that and the irony is that Fridays update mention about drier and frosty weather more likely and something like "temperatures below average or colder than average conditions more likely towards mid January". Furthermore this so called " a trend towards milder and wetter weather!" Well it never really gets dry or cold looking at the 18z so the Met office may as well say "mild and wet weather continuing"

I know I am clutching straws but the hope is there for a SSW looking at the 18z GFS at 10hpa esp toward the end.
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
26 December 2022 08:22:27
No relief in sight for those hoping for another cold spell. WX temp charts show cold air tucked up well out of the way in W Russia and N Scandinavia, and mild air spreading even further N through the Atlantic up to Iceland in week 2. Rain as ever for Atlantic coastal countries in week 1, with some extension of pptn into the Baltic, but back W-wards in week 2 still including Britain and W Norway.

GFS Op - zonal stuff, with LP generally to the N of Scotland  and HP to the S of France generating W/SW-ly winds pushing far into Europe. A little extra excitement Sat 31st as one of the LPs comes further S and deepens 955mb N Ireland, moving through very quickly though; the HP forecast yesterday for later on is much less in evidence for Britain, staying over SE Europe instead.

FAX places the LP centres further S, close to or over Scotland with a procession of fronts and troughs for all.

ECM  as GFS though the storm on Sat 31st arrives a day earlier and is less deep

GEFS - temps as yesterday , mean rising irregularly to norm by about Sat 31st and then consistently above for the next ten days (very mild, say 6C above norm by Sat 7th). Lots of rain until about Tue 3rd, then drier esp in S & E (NW Scotland remains very wet)





 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
ballamar
26 December 2022 09:40:01
Might be just a hint of a dip at the very end of GEFS but looks to be a continuation of milder wet and windy.
The Beast from the East
26 December 2022 09:49:45
Still potential of a nasty storms later this week, when you need the euroslug to push north it never does

If we cant have cold and snow, then I'd rather have a Bartlett on speed with record mild temps
 
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
The Beast from the East
26 December 2022 09:57:00
nasty potential still there
hopefully they swing north and away from the south. 
https://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2022122606/gfs-0-90.png?6 
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Jiries
26 December 2022 10:16:17

nasty potential still there
hopefully they swing north and away from the south. 
https://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2022122606/gfs-0-90.png?6 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



Extremely boring type and never take a note of any storms that dont bring snow.  
Matty H
26 December 2022 10:43:44
Stupid illegal storms don’t move away like snow will as models lie to everyone all the time. I don’t take any notice of them now as governments send snow to Cyprus and rain to here for reservoirs 
dagspot
26 December 2022 11:32:37
sounds like the mulled wine still in full flow
Neilston 600ft ASL
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
26 December 2022 12:41:47

Stupid illegal storms don’t move away like snow will as models lie to everyone all the time. I don’t take any notice of them now as governments send snow to Cyprus and rain to here for reservoirs

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Totally agree Matty. 50 years ago all the models were 100% accurate for the next month at least. Now they don't get the forecast for the same day correct. No wonder our weather is so boring and rubbish.... 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Narnia
26 December 2022 12:53:47
What?
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
26 December 2022 13:15:07

Stupid illegal storms don’t move away like snow will as models lie to everyone all the time. I don’t take any notice of them now as governments send snow to Cyprus and rain to here for reservoirs 

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Jiries has hacked Matty’s account.
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
idot
  • idot
  • Advanced Member
26 December 2022 14:15:41
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