ECM shows how we could get very warm again which would be fantastic. The rain will come eventually

ECM shows how we could get very warm again which would be fantastic. The rain will come eventually

If they continue to trend pushing further SW we will get very warm temperatures and keep us safe from heating turn on as those LP that stay over UK are the lethal type of weather in summer months it can last for weeks, temperatures very cold and heating need to put on eventually, I had to put heating once last year August after weeks of very cold temperatures, wet and overcast due to LP stuck over us.  That Low look like going to Biscay as they done many times this summer.  I wonder if Portugal west coastal area had a wet summer this year while rest of western Europe have a drought summer.

ECM shows how we could get very warm again which would be fantastic. The rain will come eventually

Be good if we could keep the warm weather running into the second week of October. It's happened before.

 

---

I have had solar panels for since 2011, The solar panels for August have now produced the 3rd most power in that time span and will easily beat the prevous August record. I live in somerset.

 

Be good if we could keep the warm weather running into the second week of October. It's happened before.

 

GFS and GEM appears to be bringing Autumn in bang on schedule at the start of September. 

ECM considerably warmer at 10 days, so anyone's guess really, but it's been a marvellous summer, whatever happens now.

We could do with a cool, wet September to (in my view) enhance the chances of an interesting winter, although many will fear the worst if we get a cold one given the financial climate.

---

06z control also a horror show.

Looks like those boilers will need to come on sooner than we hoped

---

06z control also a horror show.

Looks like those boilers will need to come on sooner than we hoped

Or thermal undies and woolly sweaters to save on heating bills. 

---

Or thermal undies and woolly sweaters to save on heating bills. 

 

I wear the thermals now at night when star gazing.......

---

I have had solar panels for since 2011, The solar panels for August have now produced the 3rd most power in that time span and will easily beat the prevous August record. I live in somerset.

I have hot water panels, and have not had to use any gas for heating since the end of April, also a record - in previous years there have always been a cloudy spell here or there when the hot water needed topping up from the boiler.

---

06z control also a horror show.

Looks like those boilers will need to come on sooner than we hoped

yeah but you say that every other day between the heat wave is coming back posts. All very uncertain 

I have had solar panels for since 2011, The solar panels for August have now produced the 3rd most power in that time span and will easily beat the prevous August record. I live in somerset.

same here in Newquay. Got mine in 2011. Never ever thought they would be the best investment I ever made. 

WX temp charts much as yesterday - pleasantly warm and somewhat above norm for W Europe (though no longer hot) while cold air definitely below norm menaces from W Russia. Rain in patches in week 1 - Atlantic SW of Britain, Alps, W Russia - linking up to form a larger area across Britain down across the Alps and into the Balkans. This rainfall pattern supported by BBC forecast this morning.

GFS Op - consistent with yesterday, current HP drifting N to Scotland (best in the west with NE-lies down E coast) to Thu 1st when breaking down with Atlantic LP linking to LP over France and settling 1000mb SW England Sun 4th (BBC suggesting heavy rain with flooding in places) Eventually moves E to N Sea by Thu 8th and pressure rises for a while only for another LP to establish Wales 1005mb Tue 13th

GEFS - mean temp not far from norm, a little above in week 1, a little below in week 2, but ever more rain in most ens members from Sat 3rd for several days, and not entirely dry thereafter.

ECM - similar to GFS but as yesterday, the LP around Sun 4th standing somewhat further W, so minimising chances of rainfall and importing some warmth from the Continent, at least for the east of Britain.

 

---

From the look of the 12z Op and ensembles the 3rd to 7th should give us some good rain before going back dry-ish again. Might even need to cut the lawn for the 1st time in well over a month

---

The weather gods look determined to make sure it pisses down for Mad Liz’s inauguration

---

WX temps continue the theme of reasonable warmth over W Europe gradually being eroded by significantly colder air from the NE, just about working its way into Poland and Sweden by week 2. Rain in week 1 concentrated in patches - off SW Ireland, the Alps and W Russia - and in week 2 these patches joining up into a more or less continuous band (including S England!)

Jet - not much until Sat 3rd when loop develops W of Ireland, and then continues from Thu 8th to run as twin streams/streaks N and S of UK, the S stream getting entangled with an ex-hurricane from Sun 11th

GFS Op - a well forecast outcome for this week; Hp over Scotland to start with, declining Fri 2nd as trough establishes from Iceland to Brittany, developing a definite centre 995 mb off SW Ireland Sun 4th. This slowly fills and pressure over Uk rises for a while before the ex-hurricane which has been on-off threatened for a while appears in mid-Atlantic Fri 9th and heads for Biscay Tue 13th.

GEFS - mean temps near norm, a little  above at first and a little below later, rain in nearly all ens members frequently from Fri 2nd, most concentrated around Mon 6th (S), Sat 4th (N), maybe a little drier around Sun 11th.

ECM - very much like GFS; if anything the trough on Fri 2nd slower to develop but in the end it does so; and the ex-hurricane appears a day earlier

---

Bye bye Summer. Was nice knowing you, RIP. (If a bit hot at times - 40c arrghh!)

---

Bye bye Summer. Was nice knowing you, RIP. (If a bit hot at times - 40c arrghh!)

When did it leave?

Looks reasonable going forward. Some rain in a few days but still rather warm

1st. September we shall have a sunny warm day.

 

Weather Lore Calendar     Fair on September 1st, fair for the month. 

 

---

 

When did it leave?

Looks reasonable going forward. Some rain in a few days but still rather warm

It hasn’t. Mid 20s here again today and looks great for the realistically foreseeable  

---

Bye bye Summer. Was nice knowing you, RIP. (If a bit hot at times - 40c arrghh!)

Good riddance and glad to see the back of it. September might deliver more sunny days in between the rain times. Today really cold 18C and cloudy for no reason when it meant to be nice BH with low to mid 20's.