Actually, the later stages of the spaghettis are some of the best we've seen all winter and they are approaching the semi reliable time frame. They'll either be gone by the next run or else this is the point where the winter turns around and we see a change. I'm betting on the latter - no doubt I will look very foolish in a couple of hours time🙂.
ENS mean for 850's on 28th have flipped warmer now! Oh well was fun whilst it lasted and this wasn't even FI land.
Not worth talking about any models really and if they continue like this and our weather continues to be as uninteresting as ever then what is the point ...? What interesting weather can we talk about such as cold and snow? Just the same old pattern - there is snow and plenty of cold and snow in Athens, Greece and Turkey, Balkans, Corsica, Croatia, Albania, Italy and N America, Iraq, Syria, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Japan, China etc just never in NW Europe!
Istanbul, Turkey is coastal yet experiencing 1 week of sub zero daytime maxes and snow. There will be snow in Dallaman as well as Izmir, Turkey and both are coastal. There will also be snow in the Greek Islands of Skiathos and Rhodes etc.
If that wasn't bad enough the modelled Warming or SSW the OP run at 10hpa was showing has now disappeared from the charts in FI and the PV is strengthening NOT weakening!
What the hell is causing the PV to strengthen given that it's a warming time of the year...? ANyone or is this the 100 dollar question?
EDIT:- Just checked that there could be snow in Jerusalem - Israel from Monday to Friday next week! - This could break records for the middle east.
Edited by user
22 January 2022 12:30:41
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Reason: Not specified
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com