Going to Great Yarmouth for 4 days from the 24th August,  desperately hoping for high pressure to take control. It looks ok at the moment . Maybe a risk of low cloud in the slight easterly wind which seems likely. Wait and see job.

WX Summaries - more of the same temperature-wise. Germany and Poland also joining the UK ifor cool weather, but getting some rain while the UK is dry for week 2 (and not bad in week 1). Hot in Spain and unusually warm E of the Urals.

Jet a bit more organised than recently - small streak across S England this weekend, strong one across N Scotland Thu 2nd otherwise not much action in our vicinity.

GFS op - after shallow LP across the S Sun 22nd, steady rise in pressure to cover all Uk 1030mb Wed 25th and staying around though slowly retreating W-wards over the following week; from Thu 2nd UK weather dominated by NW then N winds generated by 995mb LP over Baltic, By Sun 5th this weakens and the HP looks set to return

GEFS - mean of temp runs staying close to norm for the next couple of weeks, subject to the usual scatter setting in after week 1. A little rain this weekend (BBC suggesting more falling locally as heavy showers) then very dry esp in the S, perhaps a little rain later on in the N.

ECM - as GFS to wed 25th, then the centre of the HP moves N rather than W. Thu 2nd is outside ECM time frame, but it looks as if the LP will not develop so strongly over the Baltic and the UK may be more affected by LP from the S

The Met Office have issued several severe weather warnings for the coming weekend . In my experience, they tend to over egg these warnings, which will probably just turn out to be a few hours light-moderate rain in most locales. Somebody high up there has clearly decided it's safer to go a bit OTT with the warnings then be accused of not warning people sufficiently of flooding and/or lightning risks. 

Summary outlook pattern much the same as yesterday except if anything even cooler and drier in week 2. An anomaly, surely? If it's going to b dry and by implication fine, the sun is still powerful enough to lift daytime temps, so it could still be very pleasant in the middle of the day though no heat wave.

Jet - occasional streaks near the UK but nothing of note except on a couple of days from the N on Thu/Fri 2/3rd.

GFS op - current shallow LP across the S replaced by anticyclone Wed 25th 1030mb covering all UK. A tendency for it to move N with E-lies for the S until Tue 31st when the HP moves off to the W and in combination with LP over Scandinavia gives some quite strong N-lies until the HP re-establishes itself 1025 mb Mon 6th, again covering all the country.

GEFs - mean temps staying close to seasonal norm in S, a couple of degrees above in N, good agreement for the first week but increasing variation thereafter (at about Thu 2nd op and control in opposite  directions ca 8C above and below, probably depends on whether we get the edge of that N-ly or a full-on blast, small differences in position of HP & LP will make a big difference to temps)

ECM - consistent with its own forecast yesterday and differs from GFS as the HP quite definitely moves N/NE (1025 mb Scandi Sat 28th) before shifting to the W but with enough HP staying over Scandi to prevent N-lies and instead another of those shallow lows moving across England fro the W Tue 31st

For here relative to the forecast the rain was very late starting but then it was very heavy for an hour or so.

GEFS says relatively dry next week though temps uninspiring - which suits me.

Indeed. Was a decent day for many. Proves the old adage that some TWO members favour hyperbole and hysteria over sensible forecasting. 

Witney is wetter than the Amazon rainforest - and not nearly as warm. It must have the worst climate on Earth. 

WX summary - rather more warmth working up from the SW as the centre of the cold pool moves to E Europe. Staying mainly dry though some rain in the SE at first and the NW later.

Jet - stays away for the next 2 weeks; the jet on Thu 2nd previously forecast has now become just a glancing blow only for the N

GFS op - HP moving up from the SW to cover the UK by Wed 25th and staying around to Mon 30th when it slips away to the NE; then a nondescript but generally zone of high pressure before new HP cells come in from the SW Fri 3rd and again Tue 7th. yesterday's strong N-ly on Thu 2nd has turned into a light NW-ly.

GEFS - temps close to norm or a little above in Scotland with good agreement to Thu 2nd, after which mean stays near norm but much uncertainty with op & control again showing as outliers in opposite directions. Very dry everywhere.

ECM similar to GFS though LP over the continent a little closer at the end of this week and more of an E/NE-ly for the SE

Daily Express still going on about summer heatwave! I suppose if they keep saying it enough times law of averages say they will eventually get it right.

Rain stats for here for summer (probably not much the rest of this month):

June: 3 days more than 4mm total 57mm
July: 3 days more than 4mm total 31mm
August: 1 day more than 3mm total 23.8mm

Ah, but which summer?

2037. I have a good feeling in my bones about that one.

Wrong thread really but think I'm at 100+ for June 85+ for July and 88+ August. June was probably the worst of the 3 with the remainder mixed but not too bad.

Outlook wise and looking good for a dry and fairly warm end to August pretty much countrywide. 

Summary - temps not as warm as yesterdays' summary; a bit of a see-saw as to where the cold air from the N plunges, yesterday it was E Europe, today that's shifted W a bit and looks more like 2 days ago. Still dry, signs of rain approaching by end of week 2.

GFS - HP covering all Uk by wed 25th as before, drifting N-wards Mon 30th and W-wards Wed 1st allowing winds from NW to NE to develop in a week's time. UK sits in a col around Sat 4th but HP re-asserts itself (not very convincingly IMO) from se by Tue 7th. Yesterdays' model of new strong HP cells from Atlantic has collapsed.

GEFS - temps agreed fairly close to norm in S (though it will no doubt feel warm in any sunshine), 3 or 4C above in N, to Tue 1st after which most runs cooler, even cold on op run (about 7C below norm around Sun 5th). Dry for now; some runs with small amounts of rain 1st week of Sept.

ECM - similar to GFS until Wed 1st when ride of HP hangs on from W of Scotland to N Norway preventing winds from a N-ly point. Instead a shallow LP is working its way up from the S Thu 2nd and winds are more E-ly with source in S central Europe, not Iceland

A quick skeg through the models seem to be showing this Summer ending exactly how it started with persistent nor'easters here at Kent. Often dry and bright but suppressed temperatures.