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Yes, it looks as though the weather is a month behind its traditional behaviour, with 'April' showers for most of May.
Get ready for the June monsoon in July then
Yes indeed, GFS and ECM continue to look nothing to write home about at all for the foreseeable future. Pretty poor fare.
Misleading.
The outlook is average, not “poor” as you claim.
Misleading.The outlook is average, not “poor” as you claim.
The 850s might be average yes but it looks unsettled so likely wet with lower than average daytime temps, I would say it's looking poor for the time of year.
Without question the last month has been one of the most interesting periods of weather I can remember. Will it continue or can we expect a "2 day waft from the south" to deliver 30C as has been the case in recent years.
I will always remember this recent 5 week plus period as the coldest spell of weather ever here in Fulham for April especially the nights. The airmass we have endured for so long seems to have changed for the time being to a slightly milder set up and sadly I do not see any 30 degree days anytime soon with the current set up seemingly stuck in a rut for the week or two ahead. Maybe we have to wait for 'Flaming June?'
30c in May is very unusual. Normally the first date is late June anyway. Things do seem different this year to the last few years. With so much northern blocking if it lasts to July it could bring hot weather. Not convinced it will though.
What happened to the snow that was forecast to have fallen over lowland/midland areas last Thursday (6 May)? Did anywhere had snow that day?
It does of course yes, but most years you would normally get at least a few days of low to mid 20s in May or even April (Summer Weather basically). With the way things are looking it could be well into June before we see that.
GFS 6z showing its possible to get hot weather in this HLB set up. Probably unlikely though.
Looks poor for any warmth
Shame it hasn't much support
Well another good GFS 12z later on. Some straws to clutch.
850s about as average as you can get for the next 2 weeks. Plenty of showers basically good growing weather. April like weather in May.
Surely if the May average is bang on the May long time mean it must be "May like" !
That is a point that is difficult to argue with.
Well yes, but it was the April like showers I meant.
A watching brief only at this early stage. It will be interesting to see if it draws nearer to reality or stays out in FI.
Surely the models need to realized UK going to the summer season so must start showing warm to hot charts to appear. We not in Australia that going to winter season there. Almost 9 months since i saw 24C 75CF here since nearly end of September.
A few oranges approaching from northern France.