Gooner
05 April 2021 08:12:23

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


 


We will see naff all , hardly ever do unless the front coming down is active enough . But the wind will make it feel cold and we should get a frost or two out of it , as per this morning 



Shows what I know , light snow falling 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
05 April 2021 08:44:17

Originally Posted by: TimS 


 


Does seem to have been a repeating pattern in several recent years. October-Jan monsoon, very dry early to mid spring, rain returning in summer. Soils in my fields have gone from field capacity to really quite dry in a month. 



Same in my garden.  At the end of Feb it was squelching when I walked in it, now the top surface where it has been exposed to the sun is very dry.  I think this is the third year in a row when this has happened in early Spring, which has meant that leaf production on the plants (which needs a lot of moisture) has been held back until we get more rain.


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.
Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl
doctormog
05 April 2021 08:48:47
We had dust blowing along our street yesterday. Today it is snow blowing along the street.
briggsy6
05 April 2021 11:02:46

The bluebells seem to be running a bit late this year around here. I remember a few seasons back they were already out in March.


Location: Uxbridge
doctormog
05 April 2021 11:18:57

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

This is just taking the mickey now:

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_0_2.png Today

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_120_2.png  Saturday (10th)

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_288_2.png Saturday (17th)


I may as well add Wednesday the 21st to the collection too: https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_384_2.png 


Gooner
05 April 2021 13:04:12

Chart image


Cool occasionally cold throughout


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Whether Idle
05 April 2021 13:26:20

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


I may as well add Wednesday the 21st to the collection too: https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_384_2.png 



Yes, its looking like an old school cold April, The CET will get hammered and only slowly recover.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Gooner
05 April 2021 16:17:53

Weather type GFS Sa 10.04.2021 12 UTC


JFF Next weekend chilly 


 




Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
05 April 2021 16:39:55


Another Nly push mid month 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


moomin75
05 April 2021 17:30:45

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


 


Shows what I know , light snow falling 


Cricket coaching today and got caught in a really heavy snow shower. Bloody typical when I least want it!


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Gusty
05 April 2021 18:14:35

Yes, it looks as if we are heading for a notably cold April.


This has been a real 80's style year. A week long snowy easterly (in winter) and a potent northerly (or two/or three) in April.


Plenty of strong sunshine, low dewpoints and convective afternoon skies in essentially dry conditions makes the transition to summer far more interesting. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
05 April 2021 19:01:51

Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Yes, it looks as if we are heading for a notably cold April.


This has been a real 80's style year. A week long snowy easterly (in winter) and a potent northerly (or two/or three) in April.


Plenty of strong sunshine, low dewpoints and convective afternoon skies in essentially dry conditions makes the transition to summer far more interesting. 



Speak for yourself!


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Sevendust
05 April 2021 20:56:58

Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Yes, it looks as if we are heading for a notably cold April.


This has been a real 80's style year. A week long snowy easterly (in winter) and a potent northerly (or two/or three) in April.


Plenty of strong sunshine, low dewpoints and convective afternoon skies in essentially dry conditions makes the transition to summer far more interesting. 



LOL - many 80's style summers were absolute crap! I wouldn't be calling a cold April just yet either based on this year so far and the switches in synoptics 

haggishunter
05 April 2021 21:57:59

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

This is just taking the mickey now:

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_0_2.png Today

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_120_2.png Saturday (10th)

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_288_2.png Saturday (17th)


 


The 12z too, basically parks a polar trough over Highland Scotland and locks it in place with an omega block - convective snow will continue build up in the hills throughout most of the month, much as happened in April and May 2012. 


Sadly from the point of view of snowsports, the Lecht is likely too low to catch prolonged accumulation further into April and Glencoe to far SW as the biggest convective falls in such a scenario are likely to be in a Northerly coming over the Moray Firth - while the place that will 'benefit' the most as in 2012 will be the one that has had no intention of offering snowsports and has already started digging runs out get access for repair work on the white elephant of a funicular. 

tallyho_83
06 April 2021 01:27:34

Originally Posted by: DEW 


 


Speak for yourself!



Same here - parts of Devon and most of southern England have seen little if anything! 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
06 April 2021 01:29:37

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Cricket coaching today and got caught in a really heavy snow shower. Bloody typical when I least want it!



Yet typical how we don't get these northerlies (like what we are having now) in winter to deliver this sort of true cold, snowy


Arctic weather, not to mention the good cross model agreement and consistency from as you mentioned 10 days ago with no flips or downgrades yet in winter there would be much downgrading and modifying of a northerly for sure - I think you touched on this too a day or so bad Moomin. It's the law of sods!


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
06 April 2021 08:59:46

To add to your weather vocabulary - gluggaveður - Icelandic for 'window weather', looks beautiful through the window but you don't want to be out in it.  used by the local metO forecaster to describe today's weather.


GFS - current N'y blast first interrupted then augmented (but not so strongly) by LP from N Atlantic passing Faeroes Fri 9th. HP then in mid-Atlantic keeping weak N-ly flow going until Sun 18th before the LP over Scandi revives and deposits small centre of LP in N Sea 995 mb Wed 21st. Even as this fills, the N-ly is still in place.


GEFS - near normal temp briefly  Fri 9th, then cool again and only slowly recovering almost to norm Thu 22nd - good agreement on this for most of the time. Not a lot of rain, not particularly concentrated, but increasing probability towards end. Snow row figures in N & Scotland continuing in teens and upwards until about Thu 15th. longer in far N and more snow certainly implied for N hills throughout.


ECM - plays down the mid-Atlantic HP infavour of slack pressure with occasional LPs arising here and there, but the theme of the N-ly feed continues to end of run Fri 16th (one of the better organised LPs is centred over N England on that day 990mb)


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
LeedsLad123
06 April 2021 11:56:18

Originally Posted by: Sevendust 


 


LOL - many 80's style summers were absolute crap! I wouldn't be calling a cold April just yet either based on this year so far and the switches in synoptics 



Yeah, the last thing I'd want is an 80s summer! Unless it's 1983 or 1989. 


Cold and snow at this time of year when nature is blooming is more unwanted than a hole in the head. Pointless and awful.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Bolty
06 April 2021 12:54:30
I think the expression "stuck in a rut" perfectly sums up the 06Z GFS. Just a constant re-loading of N and NW'ly winds. Could this be the coldest April since 1989?
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
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