Could be something from the NE 

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Could be good 

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Control is better than Op

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Worth noting that GEM was awful again. Should be taken seriously as it predicted this spell first

 

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Feels like Feb 1986. Cold but largely dry after the initial snow. I remember here, the snow stayed on the ground nearly all month. My snowman lived longer than any previous and any since. 

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Total opposite to GEM with energy undercutting. Lets hope this is the right solution

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just noticed that GEM control run totallly different to the op, so that is good

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Does anybody know why the showers in the north form well out at sea before moving inland whereas over East Anglia they don't appear till they hit the coast or grow inland? Seems quite a sharp dividing line between the two.

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Remember the wise old words of TVS weather forecaster Trevor Baker 

about Scandi Blocks "If it last for 7 will go on til 14, if it lasts til 14 goes on til 21....

 

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Does anybody know why the showers in the north form well out at sea before moving inland whereas over East Anglia they don't appear till they hit the coast or grow inland? Seems quite a sharp dividing line between the two.

Remenants of frontal system limiting height of convection. Orography generates shallow lift/convergence.

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JFF and deepest of FI 

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JFF and deepest of FI 

I'm liking your more cautious commentary Marcus 

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Does anybody know why the showers in the north form well out at sea before moving inland whereas over East Anglia they don't appear till they hit the coast or grow inland? Seems quite a sharp dividing line between the two.

Is that a genuine effect? I thought it was just the range of the radar 

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Is that a genuine effect? I thought it was just the range of the radar 

Me too 

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Feels like Feb 1986. Cold but largely dry after the initial snow. I remember here, the snow stayed on the ground nearly all month. My snowman lived longer than any previous and any since. 

remember it very well indeed and it went on till mid March with further snow at the start of that month . I was on a course at Hindhead 850 ft above sea level for 4 weeks and there was snow on the ground  axnd near or below freezing temperatures throughout 

I’m really enjoying model watching at the moment (not as much as lamplight watching on a snowy night but that’s for another thread)

GEFS0z has an increasing number of members indicating continuation of decent cold into the longer term, low precipitation indicates the scandi high being highly influential to our weather to me.  The members touching -15 don’t look as alone as they did a few days ago.

ECM ensemble also shows the UK between a scandi high and mid North Atlantic low pressure. It’s very interesting to see how this plays out and if we have any slider lows for that setup. 

I can’t help but smile ear to ear when I see the FI GFS 0z operational. That channel low is a sight to behold. I can’t help myself! Mustn’t get excited about that just yet

 

 

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Me too 

Is the radar coverage less off East Anglia then? The structure of the streamers is completely different as well. Weaker and more diffuse. Those above the line are distinct clumps and more intense. I think I favour Quantum's explanation unless someone knows different.

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JFF and deepest of FI 

The one true ring. My precious....

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Feels like Feb 1986. Cold but largely dry after the initial snow. I remember here, the snow stayed on the ground nearly all month. My snowman lived longer than any previous and any since. 

Just posted about the similarities in my FB group. I was encouraged by the commentary on the CF forecast last evening