"Rather than the Beast from the East it may be bursts of colder air set forth from the north"

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46845121

Met office

UK Outlook for Thursday 17 Jan 2019 to Saturday 26 Jan 2019:

Blustery, wintry showers will continue in northeastern areas on Thursday, but they will gradually ease. It will then be mostly settled, before thickening cloud and outbreaks of rain move eastwards during Friday. Winds will be strong with a risk of gales in the northeast at first, but they will ease for a time. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly cold, unsettled and sometimes windy, with gales possible in the north. Any milder spells will tend to be brief, and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow almost anywhere, but particularly across northern and central areas, especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, especially in the east. During such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.

Longer range not yet updated

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Jan 2019 to Saturday 9 Feb 2019:
During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

Updated: 00:53 on Sat 12 Jan 2019 GMT

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Has now properly updated:

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Jan 2019 to Sunday 10 Feb 2019:

During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

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Almost identical except for this little bit: “with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold”.

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UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Jan 2019 to Saturday 9 Feb 2019:
During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

Updated: 00:53 on Sat 12 Jan 2019 GMT

That was yesterday's update hense why I didn't post it

Today's

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Jan 2019 to Sunday 10 Feb 2019:

During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Has now properly updated:

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Jan 2019 to Sunday 10 Feb 2019:

During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

 

Nice little upgrade there.

 

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Has now properly updated:

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Jan 2019 to Sunday 10 Feb 2019:

During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

I was trying to spot the difference in yesterdays update to the latest today's met Office update as they are virtually indentical and then I spotted a few words that have been included ..! So it's an upgrade!

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These weather stories get dafter by the day

"But in a couple of weeks' time, the temperatures will fall to about 3.5C"

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-forecast-colder-temperatures-and-snow-possible-as-end-of-month-nears-11605525?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

Has now properly updated:

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Jan 2019 to Sunday 10 Feb 2019:

During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

Could explain why site traffic is going up towards Beast levels this afternoon. If things continue like this I'll have to test how easy it is to provision more cloud capacity. 

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https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46852763

Susan Powell's latest week-ahead forecast teases beyond the week: behind this is some 'properly cold air' and '...increasing risk of snow'.

Lovely.

KevBrads wherever you are- bank this one for years to come.

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These weather stories get dafter by the day

"But in a couple of weeks' time, the temperatures will fall to about 3.5C"

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-forecast-colder-temperatures-and-snow-possible-as-end-of-month-nears-11605525?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

Very misleading Article intro beneath the title! Poor journalism indeed! 

I do think they mean "Temperatures to fall to about 3.5c below the January average?" NOT falling to 3.5c? There is a difference because 3.5c below the January average would be cold!

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I'd like to share the latest Gavsweathervideo update which is very informative. Gav explains about the warming of the stratosphere and that the rapid cooling of the stratosphere at 10hpa after the SSW can be a good thing which i didn't know about. He also included the BCC too for start/middle of Feb toward the end: Worth a watch: - This BBC is now in agreement with the JMA, CFSv2, UK Met Office Glosea 5 and the ECMWF longer range models etc.

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Great video from Gav

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ST has a report saying the MetO has warned the government of a 70% chance of severe cold in early Feb to rival BFTE 2018.

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Brilliant update from Met Office this morning 👍🏻😀
Martin

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Met office

UK Outlook for Friday 18 Jan 2019 to Sunday 27 Jan 2019:

It will be mostly settled for a time on Friday, especially in the east, before thickening cloud and outbreaks of rain, perhaps with some hill snow, try to move eastwards later, with strong winds. The rain and hill snow will make further eastward progress on Saturday, perhaps with northeastern areas staying dry. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly cold, unsettled and sometimes windy, with gales possible in the north. Any milder spells will tend to be brief, and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow almost anywhere, but particularly across northern and central areas, especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, especially in the east. During such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.

UK Outlook for Monday 28 Jan 2019 to Monday 11 Feb 2019:

For the end of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Brilliant update from Met Office this morning 👍🏻😀
Martin

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The Polar Vortex Has Fallen Apart, Which Could Unleash a Much Colder End to January

• The polar vortex was broken apart in early January.


• This could lead to a blocked jet-stream pattern by the end of January.


• Persistent cold is likely to be the result in Europe and the U.S.


• But there are other factors that also influence winter weather patterns.

 

https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2019-01-10-the-polar-vortex-has-fallen-apart-and-that-could-unleash-a-much

Met office

UK Outlook for Saturday 19 Jan 2019 to Monday 28 Jan 2019:

Outbreaks of rain, sleet and some snow are likely to move slowly south and eastwards on Saturday, but tending to become lighter and more patchy as it does so. Sunday looks generally quiet, with a good deal of dry and bright weather. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly on the cold side, but also unsettled and sometimes windy, with gales possible in the north. Any milder spells will tend to be brief, and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow at times, particularly across northern, central and eastern areas, especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, during such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2019:

For the end of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of colder weather being established across the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast