The Weather Outlook

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Sinky1970
22 July 2018 09:03:46
It was cloudy yesterday here, and today has started pretty much the same, so heatwave conditions will always appear to be limted to the south-east of the country, and the local forecast for the next three or four days looks to be the same, though that can and does change almost hourly.
Arcus
22 July 2018 09:03:57

It’s so frustrating and annoying to hear others raving about the fantastic weather when you’re not getting any of it!  So I sympathise with those further North.  This morning it doesn’t feel like we’re in the grip of a classic summer as it’s overcast and fresher, although I know heat and sunshine have not been constant during other great summers.  So there’s still hope. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

Some of us further north are having a lovely morning - 22c and sunny here, and I would think we'll be seeing 27 or 28c today 

I fully expect to see temperatures into the upper 20s for most of the coming week IMBY, apart from Tuesday/Wednesday where they may not get over 25c.

Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

TimS
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22 July 2018 09:04:50
It’s certainly been very cloudy recently. For this summer to get back on track we need blue sky, and lots of it. I would trade 32C and patchy cloud for 28C and uninterrupted sunshine any day.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Tim A
22 July 2018 09:13:21
It is very sunny here too now after earlier cloud.

Not much to moan about this summer but yesterday was disapointing cloudy with less than 30 mins sun. Yesterday was one of only two days this month it hasnt reached 20c, which is impressive at 200m asl. Every day will have reached 20c below 150m though.

Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

Col
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22 July 2018 09:26:56

It’s so frustrating and annoying to hear others raving about the fantastic weather when you’re not getting any of it!  So I sympathise with those further North.  This morning it doesn’t feel like we’re in the grip of a classic summer as it’s overcast and fresher, although I know heat and sunshine have not been constant during other great summers.  So there’s still hope. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

At least the drizzle has pretty much stopped now. This is one of the most unpleasant aspects of the NW England climate. Persistent cloaking drenching drizzle when you know full well just a few 10s of miles away over the Pennines it's fine and sunny. I really do fear this summer is unravelling now.

Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

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DEW
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22 July 2018 10:14:32

 

At least the drizzle has pretty much stopped now. This is one of the most unpleasant aspects of the NW England climate. Persistent cloaking drenching drizzle when you know full well just a few 10s of miles away over the Pennines it's fine and sunny. I really do fear this summer is unravelling now.

Originally Posted by: Col 

Same as 1976, when for late June & July I was doing a weekend commute from Kent (brown) to Manchester (green).

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Chichester 12m asl

Phil 2804
22 July 2018 14:33:11

Just arrived back from Italy to find that this month has turned into a huge disappointment despite such a promising start. Looks likely to compare poorly to 2013 and 2014 now never mind the all time greats.

Following a truly exceptional 80 hours sunshine in the first six days, the past 15 while I was away produced a pathetic, well below average 64 hours. Poor even by the past decade standards.

Ordinarily I might have been glad to miss such crap but incredulously all the best weather fell at the weekends. Three weekend days saw 25C reached (8th, 14th and 15th). Given it is practically unheard of here to even get three 25C days in a month never mind all at weekends, it was beyond infuriating to miss out on that.

Yesterday evening I left Amsterdam in glorious sunshine but soon ran into cloud and it was pretty much total cloud cover the whole way up. Landed in dire depressing gloom at Dyce and yesterday was a horrible cool, cloudy day with a max of only 16.4C and drizzle in the evening.

Today at least looks a bit more promising however, despite a lot of blue sky visible at the moment, the sun remains stuck behind a cloud.

Originally Posted by: richardabdn 

 

My parents live in Aberdeen and are reporting the polar opposite this post. You have very unrealistic expectations of summer in Aberdeenshire but most people I know are happy with dry, sunny and low mid 20s summers. Which is exactly what’s been happening so far. For the record Summer 2013 managed only one 1 day with 14 hours of sunshine at Aberdeen Airport and my recollection of spending the whole of July 2013 in NE Scotland in extended vacation was that it was warm even muggy but often overcast in the afternoons. So far 2018 has recorded 14 such sunshine days days. It also puts it well ahead of 2006 too. 

doctormog
22 July 2018 14:43:04
I’m just back from the US and it has rained enough in my absence to just about keep the grass alive in most places.

I can’t reallly moan about today’s conditions as it is a rather warm, albeit partly cloudy, 26°C currently. If it stays mostly in the 20s and mostly dry here I will be more than happy. Unfortunately the rain in my absence means that I will need to do a bit of gardening, but that can wait for another day.

Aberdeen

Current conditions (personal WS) 

TimS
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22 July 2018 15:06:19
In case anyone thinks it’s unfair that the SE gets all the nice weather, let me assure you we are enduring unending permacast here and have been for several days. Yesterday managed about 4 octas but both Friday and Sunday have been completely overcast, and very muggy. Tomorrow is forecast to be cloudy yet again. I’m starting to wonder what happened to those lovely cobalt blue skies of early summer. A distant memory - this stuff is much more British.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Jiries
22 July 2018 15:19:55

In case anyone thinks it’s unfair that the SE gets all the nice weather, let me assure you we are enduring unending permacast here and have been for several days. Yesterday managed about 4 octas but both Friday and Sunday have been completely overcast, and very muggy. Tomorrow is forecast to be cloudy yet again. I’m starting to wonder what happened to those lovely cobalt blue skies of early summer. A distant memory - this stuff is much more British.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

When I went outside to sit and I can feel the intense heat trying to get it running but clouds are preventing it.  Either hazy to overcast here and despite that 31.8C the highest so far so a record for overcast hot weather as these type of weather normally in the low 20's.  Better they forecast cloudy tomorrow as I am sure it will be sunnier, drier air from the continent and 33-34C expected as the uppers going up to 14C tomorrow.   I haven't seen blue skies for a long time now since last Sunday.  

LeedsLad123
22 July 2018 15:22:13

We have done well today in terms of sunshine after a cloudy morning and a very dull day yesterday, and it's reached 27C too. Feels rather humid - dew points hovering around 18C.

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
picturesareme
22 July 2018 15:45:05

In case anyone thinks it’s unfair that the SE gets all the nice weather, let me assure you we are enduring unending permacast here and have been for several days. Yesterday managed about 4 octas but both Friday and Sunday have been completely overcast, and very muggy. Tomorrow is forecast to be cloudy yet again. I’m starting to wonder what happened to those lovely cobalt blue skies of early summer. A distant memory - this stuff is much more British.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Speak for yourself - this part of the South East has had nothing of the sorts. Some fair weather clouds but generally largely sunny and very warm... :)

xioni2
22 July 2018 17:37:56

 I do hope I'm wrong but I'm getting the feeling now that this summer is beggining to slip away for us northern folk. 

Originally Posted by: Col 

I don't think so actually, the EC46 first showed it and now even the medium range models have started picking up on the gradual retrogression of the block in the first week of August (back in the NE Atlantic).

The tropical forcing also relaxes and seems more favourable for such an outcome.

 

Rob K
22 July 2018 17:50:17

 

I do hope I'm wrong but I'm getting the feeling now that this summer is beggining to slip away for us northern folk. Copious amounts of drizzle this morning, where did that come from? I don't recall it being forecast. This coming week with a mainly westerly flow looks like being plauged by cloud and weak fronts while the south basks in 30C+. In absolute terms not a bad week, certainly no proper breakdown but it does seem like a more 'normal' NW/SE split is emerging. I want my easterlies back!

Originally Posted by: Col 

No 30C even down here in the SE. Amost totally cloudy and generally crap today despite forecasts of decent weather. Meanwhile the 30C+ that was being talked about for the coming week has also melted away and it just looks like being muggy and cloudy.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Brian Gaze
22 July 2018 17:50:48

In case anyone thinks it’s unfair that the SE gets all the nice weather, let me assure you we are enduring unending permacast here and have been for several days. Yesterday managed about 4 octas but both Friday and Sunday have been completely overcast, and very muggy. Tomorrow is forecast to be cloudy yet again. I’m starting to wonder what happened to those lovely cobalt blue skies of early summer. A distant memory - this stuff is much more British.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

We've had a lot of cloud here today but sunny spells too. Temps peaked at about 29C.

Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Rob K
22 July 2018 17:57:13

 

We've had a lot of cloud here today but sunny spells too. Temps peaked at about 29C.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Yes the temperature shoots up in the sunny spells but it's been very grey and depressing most of the time here.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

xioni2
22 July 2018 18:13:26

In case anyone thinks it’s unfair that the SE gets all the nice weather, let me assure you we are enduring unending permacast here and have been for several days. Yesterday managed about 4 octas but both Friday and Sunday have been completely overcast, and very muggy. Tomorrow is forecast to be cloudy yet again. I’m starting to wonder what happened to those lovely cobalt blue skies of early summer. A distant memory - this stuff is much more British.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Same here and yuck, even 20C and sunny is better than this! It reminded me of how much I dislike Tm air masses throughout the year.

At least it's dry!

Crepuscular Ray
22 July 2018 18:29:13
Cloudy here today. 21 C felt reasonable if you got out of the moderate wind
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
22 July 2018 18:36:15

It was dull and cloudy here all morning with a few brighter spells but no sun. This afternoon the cloud has gradually disappeared, sunny spells increased, temp got over 27c and now the sky is almost clear and it’s 26.5c.  It’s also very calm and looks like being an uncomfortable night!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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ARTzeman
22 July 2018 22:17:42

Too hot and sunny for too long. Want clouds and some precipitation.....



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Others just get wet.

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Crepuscular Ray
23 July 2018 06:17:12
Another average week to come. Mainly cloudy, showery rain at times and 20-22 C.
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Retron
23 July 2018 06:19:19

This is turning into a disaster of a summer from my point of view - barely any rain, temperatures persistently above 25C (bearing in mind the average IMBY is 20 or 21 this time of year) and stale, hot and humid air indoors due to a lack of wind.

I've endured two "too hot to be confortable" days at the wolf centre (the wolves themselves sought the shade during the walks, they're not daft) and now I've come down with a summer cold - being hot and bothered for weeks on end is bad enough, let alone being all blocked up!

The sooner this crapfest of a summer breaks the better, but sadly there's no sign of that.

It's flipping typical, really - we had a decent 1-week cold spell, with snow (1996 ot 1997 style), then we get a really long, drawn-out 1995 (or even 1976) style summer. We'd better get payback for this dross in the form of some more snow this winter!

Leysdown, north Kent
Saint Snow
23 July 2018 08:47:28

In case anyone thinks it’s unfair that the SE gets all the nice weather, let me assure you we are enduring unending permacast here and have been for several days. Yesterday managed about 4 octas but both Friday and Sunday have been completely overcast, and very muggy. Tomorrow is forecast to be cloudy yet again. I’m starting to wonder what happened to those lovely cobalt blue skies of early summer. A distant memory - this stuff is much more British.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

 

Ah, that lovely easterly flow bringing its dry, continental air...

Yet people still moaned at the time because some murk came in off the North Sea to affect the far-eastern areas.

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

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Aneurin Bevan

Jiries
23 July 2018 08:51:53

This is turning into a disaster of a summer from my point of view - barely any rain, temperatures persistently above 25C (bearing in mind the average IMBY is 20 or 21 this time of year) and stale, hot and humid air indoors due to a lack of wind.

I've endured two "too hot to be confortable" days at the wolf centre (the wolves themselves sought the shade during the walks, they're not daft) and now I've come down with a summer cold - being hot and bothered for weeks on end is bad enough, let alone being all blocked up!

The sooner this crapfest of a summer breaks the better, but sadly there's no sign of that.

It's flipping typical, really - we had a decent 1-week cold spell, with snow (1996 ot 1997 style), then we get a really long, drawn-out 1995 (or even 1976) style summer. We'd better get payback for this dross in the form of some more snow this winter!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

About winter I look forward how much snow I can get from the NE or ENE flow over Lower Stoke when I move there in early August which on the hottest peak from the ensembles.  For London and Surrey they do well with ENE flow but what about Lower Stoke which is near you do well on both ENE and NE or not?

Retron
23 July 2018 09:15:07

About winter I look forward how much snow I can get from the NE or ENE flow over Lower Stoke when I move there in early August which on the hottest peak from the ensembles.  For London and Surrey they do well with ENE flow but what about Lower Stoke which is near you do well on both ENE and NE or not?

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Down here anything from a NNE to easterly will do the trick in terms of bringing snow showers onshore, albeit they do tend to align in bands (so you sometimes get the situation where you spend all day seeing clouds passing just to the east or west of you!)

Talking of which, I'd kill for a nice stiff NE'ly right now! Instead there's the merest hint of a SW'ly and it's bloomin' hot.

 

Leysdown, north Kent

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