The Weather Outlook

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andy-manc
31 July 2018 13:23:07

Hearing the talk of it becoming more unsettled in the next couple of weeks makes me a little bit disappointed at the way this summer has slowly fizzled out from the beginning of July up here. It has kind of just got cloudier, cooler and wetter each week. It isn't bad by any stretch but after such a great June going into the key summer months of July and August, it needed to be better to make it one of the greats. It will go down as one of the better summers though.

LeedsLad123
31 July 2018 13:35:55
I think July's been a great month but you can tell by the way people are talking on the model thread, and the way the frequency of posts have declined, both on here and on NW, that things are changing and not for the better and people are starting to lose interest.

I've been keeping my fingers crossed all year that August will finally deliver but it looks unlikely this year.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Bolty
31 July 2018 13:52:28

I think July's been a great month but you can tell by the way people are talking on the model thread, and the way the frequency of posts have declined, both on here and on NW, that things are changing and not for the better and people are starting to lose interest.

I've been keeping my fingers crossed all year that August will finally deliver but it looks unlikely this year.

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

It has, but for this area I'd say that July 2006 remains the overall superior July. That one had more sunshine, was slightly warmer and even had a few thunderstorms to boot. That's not to undermine this month though, as it has been a brilliant one!

I still read NW sometimes and it really bemuses me why summer haters over there constantly feel the need to tell everyone on an almost-daily basis that they hate sunshine and anything over 20C. I have no problem with people having the odd whinge (as heat loathers over here occasionally do), but almost every day gets tedious. We all know how they would react if there was an equivilent who always moaned at anything under 6C in winter.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Phil 2804
31 July 2018 14:55:37

 

It was the first poor weekend since the previous one which had an awful sunless cool and drizzly Saturday and overcast Sunday afternoon.

Coming weekend looks a dismal cloudy mess as well. Absolutely disgusted by that prospect and sick at what a pile of crap this summer has turned into. It was over by mid-July and what we have had since then has been more of the same horribly unsettled cloudy rubbish that has prevailed over the past 11 years.

Originally Posted by: richardabdn 

 

That would be the overcast Sunday afternoon with a high of 26c followed by the Monday that reached 27c and the week that Aberdeen reached 20+ most days culminating in Friday's high of 25c and the thundery Friday night that followed. That's a pretty summery week in my book especially for NE Scotland.

 The July average max for Aberdeen is 17.6C btw.  I judge summers here by that benchmark. So we had a very wet weekend this weekend gone, but for summer as a whole it's are still below average in terms of rainfall and the 7 day forecast looks fairly dry and the key dates coming up are next Sunday/Monday with 40,000 people expected at Turriff Show the premier summer event in five region. Both days look dry, reasonably sunny with highs in the low 20s. Perfect day out weather.

I've also noticed that nearly all the winter barley has had the combines through it which is not only a very early start to the harvest but also they've had plenty of unbroken dry weather to work in too. 

Saint Snow
31 July 2018 15:03:32

 

It has, but for this area I'd say that July 2006 remains the overall superior July. That one had more sunshine, was slightly warmer and even had a few thunderstorms to boot. That's not to undermine this month though, as it has been a brilliant one!

I still read NW sometimes and it really bemuses me why summer haters over there constantly feel the need to tell everyone on an almost-daily basis that they hate sunshine and anything over 20C. I have no problem with people having the odd whinge (as heat loathers over here occasionally do), but almost every day gets tedious. We all know how they would react if there was an equivilent who always moaned at anything under 6C in winter.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

 

I'd say that the Julys of 2006, 2013 and 2014 all beat this one.

Overall, though, this the best summer period (and I'm including the excellent May in that) since probably 1995 here. Just a pity that the last 3 weeks have contained a lot of 'distinctly average' weather, and August doesn't look to be fizzing, either.

 


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

speckledjim
31 July 2018 15:56:43

This is an absolutely toxic spell of weather. It couldn’t be any worse.

Thursday it’s fine most of the day then miserable in the evening. Same on Friday although not as good during the day. The weekend is then a foul write-off but by Monday the sun is back out only to disappear by late afternoon giving yet another useless overcast cool and wet evening with the rain starting pretty much bang on cue at 5pm.

From my point of view this is now five consecutive days of write-off rubbish in a row. Tomorrow looks like a repeat of today then it’s Wednesday which will mark a whole week since I was last able to sit out in the garden. Absolutely disgusting for what is supposed to be the warmest time of year.  I am sick to death of staring out at glorious weather from a stuffy office only to have to spend my free time stuck inside a stuffy house because the weather is crap outside

Originally Posted by: richardabdn 

 

you say that on a weekly basis 


Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

andy-manc
31 July 2018 16:11:42

 

 

I'd say that the Julys of 2006, 2013 and 2014 all beat this one.

Overall, though, this the best summer period (and I'm including the excellent May in that) since probably 1995 here. Just a pity that the last 3 weeks have contained a lot of 'distinctly average' weather, and August doesn't look to be fizzing, either.

 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

That's the thing really.. including May. It all happened so early which always meant it was going to be difficult to keep hold of it. I actually thought the rest of summer would be even worse than it has been, just HOPED it would carry on until October! If the months were nudged along so our best months were June and July with August starting well but then on a slow decline with an early September warm and possibly sunny weekend then I would have been very happy with summer. Same weather, different months.

A nice August would have been nice for a change because as I've said before, a messy August can easily feel and look so depressingly autumnal up here. It only took a late July rain fest last weekend with what felt like very early darkness for the "what you doing for Christmas dinner?" question to be brought out and Facebook friends sharing Christmas events!

LeedsLad123
31 July 2018 16:25:02

This is why I dislike early warmth - because as you say it would always be difficult to hold onto it throughout the summer. It would have been so much better if the May warmth had been delayed until June - we'd potentially be looking at two consecutive 19C months if that was the case.

And I can already tell that August is going to be a cloudy month if the current pattern is anything to go by - it's still reasonably warm but once again sunshine is in short supply. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
richardabdn
31 July 2018 17:04:12

 

 

That would be the overcast Sunday afternoon with a high of 26c followed by the Monday that reached 27c and the week that Aberdeen reached 20+ most days culminating in Friday's high of 25c and the thundery Friday night that followed. That's a pretty summery week in my book especially for NE Scotland.

 The July average max for Aberdeen is 17.6C btw.  I judge summers here by that benchmark. So we had a very wet weekend this weekend gone, but for summer as a whole it's are still below average in terms of rainfall and the 7 day forecast looks fairly dry and the key dates coming up are next Sunday/Monday with 40,000 people expected at Turriff Show the premier summer event in five region. Both days look dry, reasonably sunny with highs in the low 20s. Perfect day out weather.

I've also noticed that nearly all the winter barley has had the combines through it which is not only a very early start to the harvest but also they've had plenty of unbroken dry weather to work in too. 

Originally Posted by: Phil 2804 

I don’t really judge summer by temperature at all, more on sunshine and rainfall -especially at weekends and in any case the average max for Dyce is 18.5C not 17.6C.

25C days should be accompanied by sunshine not overcast skies. No point in it being 25C if it looks the same as a cool 15C day. I can’t remember seeing any days that hot with overcast skies here before. Last week was not very summery at all with three wet evenings and so far this week is worse. I haven't been able to sit in the garden since last Wednesday. So poor is the current spell that even a rare dry day like today has been rubbish due to cloudy skies and wind. 

Also, not convinced the weekend will see 20s and sunshine. Forecasts and model output suggest more like 17C and overcast so the second half of summer looks like continuing poor.

After the deluges of late July, August wouldn’t have to be that wet for this to end up yet another wetter than average summer. Certainly it will not now rank alongside 1976, 1995 and 2003 no matter what. All those summers had under 100mm of rain as well as over 600 hours sun. This one won’t.


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

richardabdn
01 August 2018 16:18:02

Miserable grey start to August with the prospect of another soul destroying write-off evening to not look forward to. Be as well being October already because it’s now a week since there was any opportunity to sit in the garden, which is almost unheard of, at this time of year, even in the worst summers.

The way this summer has effortlessly slipped back to the stinking awful norm of the past decade is extremely depressing. August is looking more and more like an abject horror show. Struggling to see when there might be one decent mostly sunny and dry day. All there is in the forecast, is cloud, cloud and more cloud, oh and a little bit of rain too.

This is just horrible, bleak and depressing:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gfnt07u1s#?date=2018-08-01 

Where the hell has the sun gone? Will seriously have to look at digging out the vitamin D pills two months early


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

Crepuscular Ray
04 August 2018 09:28:25
Such a cloudy end to July and start of August. Already missing the summery weather. 7 days since we had a sunny day 😥
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

johncs2016
04 August 2018 09:57:03

With just a little bit of sunshine a short time ago, we have now managed to struggle up to just 18 minutes of sunshine being recorded for today so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank as at 10am this morning. This is now the fourth day of August and yet so far this month, even the sunniest day of the month so far delivered no more than 1.5 hours of sunshine with that being the only day during this month so far, which has delivered at least an hour of sunshine in total during the entire day.

That is even worse than what we would normally expect to be seeing during the winter and yet, we are still supposed to still be in our meteorological summer just now. To make matters worse still, this is the time of year when the days are shortening which means that we would expect the amount of available sunshine during each day to go down as the month goes on. Because of that, this (the start of the month) is actually the very time when we should be getting our sunniest days of this month.

This just serves to make what we are getting just now, even more vile and disgusting!! Of course, this isn't all down to what is happening this month because the current decline in the amount of sunshine which we have been getting, actually started during the second half of July. Luckily, the really sunny start which we had to July was enough to carry us through which meant that July still ended up being sunnier than average despite that much cloudier second half of the month.

However, what we are seeing just now, has to be one of the dullest ever starts to any summer month which I can remember. What is also important here is that when we got to half-way through July, we were only half-way through the summer (meteorologically speaking anyway) . Since it has been rather dull since then, this has actually turning into a summer of two halves which in terms of sunshine totals at least, is no longer looking like such a decent summer after all because of that. In fact, what is happening just now has to be in par with those really poor summers of the past such as 2007 and 2012 in terms of the amounts of sunshine which we are getting (it wouldn't surprise me if this month was actually even worse than that), and that just tells you how bad it has become now.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

tallyho_83
04 August 2018 17:45:12
Still 44'c in Cordoba Spain and 42c in Lisbon @ 7:30pm:

https://www.accuweather.com/en/es/cordoba/306728/weather-forecast/306728 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

xioni2
04 August 2018 17:53:17

Still 44'c in Cordoba Spain and 42c in Lisbon @ 7:30pm:

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

">https://www.accuweather.com/en/es/cordoba/306728/weather-forecast/306728

I am sure your house beats them both! 

Saint Snow
04 August 2018 19:12:39

">https://www.accuweather.com/en/es/cordoba/306728/weather-forecast/306728

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

I am sure your house beats them both! 

 

Nah. Only Jiries' shed can reach those heights.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

tallyho_83
04 August 2018 23:19:15

What's the August record high for Berlin? Could break record here on Wed's next week:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2950159

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Bolty
04 August 2018 23:24:47

What's the August record high for Berlin? Could break record here on Wed's next week:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2950159

 

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

From what I can see, it looks like 38.0C is the August record and 38.4C is the all-time record.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

tallyho_83
04 August 2018 23:39:05

 

From what I can see, it looks like 38.0C is the August record and 38.4C is the all-time record.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

 

That could be broken! Just picked another European capital at Random - Warsaw could hit 36c mid week as well:

https://www.accuweather.com/en/pl/warsaw/274663/daily-weather-forecast/274663?day=5

 

18z show Wednesday - Parts of northern central and eastern Germany is in the +38c to +40c temp potential! Western Poland is up between +36c to +38c! remarkable!! Temps in Scandinavia could exceed 30c as well. 

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

tallyho_83
04 August 2018 23:46:33

Surely people must be so interested in this coming winter given the whole of the N. Hemisphere has been so so warm this summer!??

The whole N. Hemisphere is sizzling look at the Canadian Prairies now: Temps between 36c and +40c!

Mid to Late afternoon their time (9pm GMT).


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

tallyho_83
04 August 2018 23:47:38

 

From what I can see, it looks like 38.0C is the August record and 38.4C is the all-time record.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

 

So if +39c is forecast for Wednesday then records could be broken then!?


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Bolty
05 August 2018 07:57:49

Better make the most of today and tomorrow.

Late next week is looking pretty wretched! 13°C with breezy rain on Friday... yuck! I know some people don't like heat, but I don't know how anyone can profess to like crap like that.

It would be such a shame if this magnificent summer was to yet again fall to the August curse!


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

richardabdn
06 August 2018 16:54:25

Yet again I had to endure a pathetically cloudy weekend only for the glorious sun to return today and yet again that sun has disappeared as soon as it hit 5pm. It's just stuck behind a cloud that keeps building and building over it while almost every other part of the sky is clear

Sick to death of this. Since I returned from my holiday the weekend/evening curse has been about the worst I can ever remember. The stark contrast between blue skies and sunshine during the weekdays and drab depressing grey muck at evenings and weekends has been unbearable.

The weekends have not been any better than last summer. We have now had three rubbish cloudy ones in a row and there looks to be a fourth on the way. It’s just unreal. The rest of the week doesn’t look great but nowhere near as vile as the wrist-slittingly awful washout conditions being saved for the weekend

An incredulously bad and depressing run befitting of 2007 or 2012. This is worse though, as at least in those repulsive summers I didn’t have a stifling office and house to endure while being unable to get the benefit of good weather. How the hell can a summer be considered decent when it is just weekend after weekend of grey and/or wet dross? To get four crap Saturdays in a row is as bad as it gets. I can’t recall ever getting a run of five in summer. Not even in 2007 or 2012 or July 2016 which had a horrendous four bad weekends in a row. So yet again we’re reduced to scraping from the bottom of the barrel

 

 


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

doctormog
06 August 2018 17:20:22
If it’s any consolation I’ve been in the garden nearly all day.
Phil 2804
06 August 2018 20:50:14

Yet again I had to endure a pathetically cloudy weekend only for the glorious sun to return today and yet again that sun has disappeared as soon as it hit 5pm. It's just stuck behind a cloud that keeps building and building over it while almost every other part of the sky is clear

Sick to death of this. Since I returned from my holiday the weekend/evening curse has been about the worst I can ever remember. The stark contrast between blue skies and sunshine during the weekdays and drab depressing grey muck at evenings and weekends has been unbearable.

The weekends have not been any better than last summer. We have now had three rubbish cloudy ones in a row and there looks to be a fourth on the way. It’s just unreal. The rest of the week doesn’t look great but nowhere near as vile as the wrist-slittingly awful washout conditions being saved for the weekend

An incredulously bad and depressing run befitting of 2007 or 2012. This is worse though, as at least in those repulsive summers I didn’t have a stifling office and house to endure while being unable to get the benefit of good weather. How the hell can a summer be considered decent when it is just weekend after weekend of grey and/or wet dross? To get four crap Saturdays in a row is as bad as it gets. I can’t recall ever getting a run of five in summer. Not even in 2007 or 2012 or July 2016 which had a horrendous four bad weekends in a row. So yet again we’re reduced to scraping from the bottom of the barrel

 

 

Originally Posted by: richardabdn 

 

There's a world of difference between sunny and 15c and partly cloudy and 25c. I know which one is more pleasant for BBQs etc. You could always turn to shift work. It has many advantages, days off in the week, shops usually quieter etc.

Last week in the NE was perfect summer for me, the washout Sunday aside; generally warm, some nice sunny days and a thundery Friday evening. It almost felt like a typical SE England summer. 

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