Here are the predictions for June. Everyone going above average.

I have also posted the table on the front page of the thread so you can easily find it

Full size table June CET

The competition intensifies...  Nice work GW!   The June predictions will be of interest.. 

Darren running away with it, at the moment.

We've passed the first week of the month and we're already 16.3C Thats good going.

 

We've passed the first week of the month and we're already 16.3C Thats good going.

 

We could easily end up over 17c CET this month especially if the predicted Spanish plumes turn up . Think I've gone way to low.

Met Office Hadley            16.2c.         Anomaly       2,8c. Provisional To 8th.

Metcheck                         15.36c        Anomaly       1.21c

Netweather                      15.92         Anomaly        1.83c

Darwen                          17.7c.         Anomaly       1.84c 

Mount Sorrel                   15.4c           Anomaly       0.08c

Mansfield Woodhouse     15.1c           Anomaly       0.25c

Peasedown St John       17.0c.          Anomaly       0.654c.

Mean Temperature Of My Watched 10 Stations      16.21c.

 

We've passed the first week of the month and we're already 16.3C Thats good going.

 

Just needs to stay there now. 

We could easily end up over 17c CET this month especially if the predicted Spanish plumes turn up . Think I've gone way to low.

Thanks for the tables GW. 

At this rate we could have all gone too low!    I’d be happy with that!  

Thanks for the tables GW. 

Agreed; thanks for the data GW.

I'm not so sure though, Caz; it's dropping towards the 16 mark and with fresher weather due in Wednesday onwards, I reckon those nighttime temperatures will drop and we'll be sub-16 by the end of next weekend. Glad if I'm wrong though.

 

Agreed; thanks for the data GW.

I'm not so sure though, Caz; it's dropping towards the 16 mark and with fresher weather due in Wednesday onwards, I reckon those nighttime temperatures will drop and we'll be sub-16 by the end of next weekend. Glad if I'm wrong though.

Thanks Simon. It looks like I'm having one of my better years in this competition. 

Thanks for the charts. GW..  Nice to see them up front. At the beginning  of of the June  Thread start.. 

Met Office Hadley            16.2c          Anomaly        2.7c  Provisional To  9th.

Metcheck                         15.23c        Anomaly        1.09c

Netweather                      15.87c        Anomaly        1.78c

Canvey Island                  16.4c         Anomaly         2.0c

Clevedon Weather            17.6c         Anomaly         1.16c

Mansfield Woodhouse   14.6c         Anomaly         0.88c   

Peasedown St John      17.1c         Anomaly         0.75c

Treviskey Redruth       15.6c         Anomaly         0.3c.

Mean Temperature Of My 10 Watched Stations    16.34c.

Met Office Hadley          16.2c.        Anomaly       2.7c. Provisional to 10th.

Metcheck                       15.26c       Anomaly       1.11c

Netweather                    15.92c       Anomaly       1.83c

Alton                            16.6c         Anomaly       -0.93c

Clevedon Weather         17.8c         Anomaly        1.36c

Mansfield Woodhouse    15.2c        Anomaly         -0.18c

Peasedown St John       17.4c        Anomaly          1.05c.

My Mean Temperature Of My Watched 10 Stations.  16.51c.     

The GFS 06z was one of the most positive runs on offer in recent days for settled and warm to very warm conditions across most of England and Wales.

The raw numbers give me a CET estimate of 15.8 to 16.2*C up to 25th.

Given that ECM keeps bringing the troughs to the NW into play more, this figure could be seen as optimistic (if you like warmth) - but on the other hand, GFS often underestimates the temperatures by 1-3*C in my experience (I've been tracking this for about a year now); frequently enough that the overall CET may be underestimated by as much as a degree Celsius for a given predominant weather pattern.

It would be great if this could be proven in some way, but the weather pattern by which the temps occur inevitably deviates too far from what GFS predicts by 4-6 days range for any meaningful comparisons to be made.

Anyway, I'm seeing enough hints of finer weather in general for the later stages of the month that around 16*C still seems a reasonable bet to me at this stage. I'd not mind being too low though .

The GFS 06z was one of the most positive runs on offer in recent days for settled and warm to very warm conditions across most of England and Wales.

The raw numbers give me a CET estimate of 15.8 to 16.2*C up to 25th.

 

Given that ECM keeps bringing the troughs to the NW into play more, this figure could be seen as optimistic (if you like warmth) - but on the other hand, GFS often underestimates the temperatures by 1-3*C in my experience (I've been tracking this for about a year now); frequently enough that the overall CET may be underestimated by as much as a degree Celsius for a given predominant weather pattern.

It would be great if this could be proven in some way, but the weather pattern by which the temps occur inevitably deviates too far from what GFS predicts by 4-6 days range for any meaningful comparisons to be made.

 

Anyway, I'm seeing enough hints of finer weather in general for the later stages of the month that around 16*C still seems a reasonable bet to me at this stage. I'd not mind being too low though .

Same here James. I've gone for 16.0C

The GFS 06z was one of the most positive runs on offer in recent days for settled and warm to very warm conditions across most of England and Wales.

The raw numbers give me a CET estimate of 15.8 to 16.2*C up to 25th.

 

Given that ECM keeps bringing the troughs to the NW into play more, this figure could be seen as optimistic (if you like warmth) - but on the other hand, GFS often underestimates the temperatures by 1-3*C in my experience (I've been tracking this for about a year now); frequently enough that the overall CET may be underestimated by as much as a degree Celsius for a given predominant weather pattern.

It would be great if this could be proven in some way, but the weather pattern by which the temps occur inevitably deviates too far from what GFS predicts by 4-6 days range for any meaningful comparisons to be made.

 

Anyway, I'm seeing enough hints of finer weather in general for the later stages of the month that around 16*C still seems a reasonable bet to me at this stage. I'd not mind being too low though .

Presently Im of the view that the cool down from around 16.3 will be shortlived and that my guesstimate of 16.39 will be too low.

 

Same here James. I've gone for 16.0C

Met Office Hadley           16.2c        Anomaly         2.7c. Provisional to 11th. Been 16.2c for the last 4 Days.

Metcheck                        15.34c      Anomaly        1.20c. 

Netweather                     16.03c      Anomaly        1.94c

Cheadle Hulme              17.2c        Anomaly         1.84c

Mansfield Woodhouse     15.2c       Anomaly          -0.15c

Peasedown St John        17.6c       Anomaly          1.20c.

My Mean Temperature Of My Watched 10 Stations  16.62c.              

Met Office Hadley              16.1c.         Anomaly      2.5c. Provisional to 12th.

Metcheck                           15.22c        Anomaly      1.07c       

Netweather                        15.93c        Anomaly      1.84c

Alton                                16.4c          Anomaly       -1.13c

Cheadle Hulme                 17.1c         Anomaly        1.74c

Clevedon Weather             18.0c         Anomaly        1.56c

Mansfield Woodhouse         15.2c        Anomaly         -0.15c

Peasedown St John          17.5c         Anomaly        1.15c

 Mean Temperature Of My Watched 10 stations    16.45c.    

Met office Hadley            16.1c.        Anomaly       2.4c. Povisional to 13th.

Metcheck                         15.34c       Anomaly       1.20c

Netweather                      15.93c       Anomaly       1.84c

Canvey Island                  16.2c         Anomaly       -1.84c

Darwen                           17.9c        Anomaly        2.04c

Hexam                            15.6c        Anomaly        1.06c

Mansfield Woodhouse       15.5c        Anomaly        0.15c

Peasedown St John          17.6c        Anomaly        1.25c.

Mean Of My 10 Stations 16.6c.         

Met Office Hadley          16.1c.       Anomaly        2.4c. Provisional to 14th.

Metcheck                       15.33c      Anomaly        1.18c

Netweather                    15.98c      Anomaly        1.89c.

Canvey Island                16.2c       Anomaly        0.42c

Alton                             16.2c       Anomaly        1.33c

Mansfield Woodhouse     15.3c       Anomaly        0.05c

Peasedown St John        17.5c.      Anomaly        0.15c.

Mean Of My 10 Watched Stations   16.21c