and it will keep the east coast contingent happy too!

Is that a prerequisite?

Personally, I'm not into self-immolation just so someone else can be happy. I'm sure the east has had a fair few nice days over the past 6 weeks. It's not like it's ONLY the NW/W of Britain that's had it good.

 

Is that a prerequisite?

To what exactly?

Personally, I'm not into self-immolation just so someone else can be happy. I'm sure the east has had a fair few nice days over the past 6 weeks. It's not like it's ONLY the NW/W of Britain that's had it good.

What exactly is your problem here?? All I said was that a westerly based high pressure regime will suit the east coast rather than an easterly based one. Sorry, but am I missing something here??

 

Is that a prerequisite?

Personally, I'm not into self-immolation just so someone else can be happy. I'm sure the east has had a fair few nice days over the past 6 weeks. It's not like it's ONLY the NW/W of Britain that's had it good.

May as a whole was a fabulous month pretty much everywhere, it's the first 10 days of June and to a lesser extent the last week of May that have been fairly lackluster in the east.

The last time we had more than 10 hours of sun was over 12 days ago. That says a lot. The difference between west and east has been incredibly stark.

Yes looking very positive this morning. 

Not wall to wall sunshine by any means, and a keen SW’ly drift for the far NW, but overall looking dry and settled after a very brief unsettled spell.

The models are struggling with the southerly extent of the jet so caution is still required. 

In this respect the 06z GFS op is a bit crap. The mean is better though so hopefully an outlier, or at least one of the more unsettled options.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSAVGEU06_180_1.png

The models are struggling with the southerly extent of the jet so caution is still required. 

In this respect the 06z GFS op is a bit crap. The mean is better though so hopefully an outlier, or at least one of the more unsettled options.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSAVGEU06_180_1.png

 

Every run for over a week now has included two or three ensemble members where a proper hot high gets detached over the U.K. and subjects us to a sustained scorcher. But it’s never the op. And in recent summers I can remember countless times seeing repeated ens members doing likewise. So far, and to be honest since 2006, it’s never once transpired except out of season.

Even 2013 didn’t feature a true “red from the med”.

Perhaps, like the beast this year, its time will come and when we get one we’ll get three in short succession. Just hopefully unlike the beast it won’t be the last week in August and the start of September.

The start of the next settled(ish) spell is now creeping into the more reliable timeframe.

The 12z GFS mean cloud cover chart for lunchtime on Monday is probably a good indicator of likely conditions, a lot of cloud towards the NW, but generally sunny and dry in the SE. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_144_33.png

The south of England looks fairly dry and warm for the foreseeable, but much more cloud, wind and some rain in Scotland and Northern Ireland. 

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It looks like changeable weather is expected, and also expected is some very warm and sunny conditions.

There is a chance of rain and showers and Low Pressure but it looks fine and dry sunny at times with westerly winds in the NW and North of the UK.

Pretty normal situation weatherwise for this time of year.

I am pretty happy with the kind of summer we have had in London in May and June so far this year.

But there is one thing- it is if it rained a few more days and it gave the plants and fields regular watering that would be helpful and kind.

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It has been very warm and comfortably warm but not particularly hot and it has so far been a mix of cloudy and sunny days some partially, and the less warm days provided a very welcome relief.

What exactly is your problem here?? All I said was that a westerly based high pressure regime will suit the east coast rather than an easterly based one. Sorry, but am I missing something here??

Caught me at a time when I was getting sick of people saying "sick of this easterly, bring back westerlies". To see a fellow NW Englander who's presumably enjoyed a similarly brilliant spell of weather for here under easterlies say [in my mind] that the shift to westerlies (likely meaning crap for us) would have the consolation of the easterners being happy tipped me over the edge. Sorry if I misinterpreted the point you were making.

The start of the next settled(ish) spell is now creeping into the more reliable timeframe.

The 12z GFS mean cloud cover chart for lunchtime on Monday is probably a good indicator of likely conditions, a lot of cloud towards the NW, but generally sunny and dry in the SE. 

 

Bring it on.  Whilst May and June thus far have been warm and summer like, the days have been blighted at times by North sea clag, particularly the mornings.

 

 

Caught me at a time when I was getting sick of people saying "sick of this easterly, bring back westerlies". To see a fellow NW Englander who's presumably enjoyed a similarly brilliant spell of weather for here under easterlies say [in my mind] that the shift to westerlies (likely meaning crap for us) would have the consolation of the easterners being happy tipped me over the edge. Sorry if I misinterpreted the point you were making.

All I actually meant was a nice ridging Azores high should bring decent enough weather for us , even though it's essentially westerly based, yet bring an end to the eastery muck that has plauged  some areas.

 

 

Caught me at a time when I was getting sick of people saying "sick of this easterly, bring back westerlies". To see a fellow NW Englander who's presumably enjoyed a similarly brilliant spell of weather for here under easterlies say [in my mind] that the shift to westerlies (likely meaning crap for us) would have the consolation of the easterners being happy tipped me over the edge. Sorry if I misinterpreted the point you were making.

If the Azores High ridges far enough north then the whole of Northern England from Liverpool to Hull could do alright. :) 

At the moment touch and go for our patch. My suspicion at present is fairly cloudy at times but staying generally dry. 

To be honest, at the moment, I'd like to see a little bit of unsettled weather - we could do with the rain. We've got a rainbelt moving in from the West today but I suspect that only the NW half of Britain/Ireland will see appreciable rain form this one.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/datukgfshires.aspx?display=fax&model=fax

Saturday looks like the day when we could all see something a bit more substantial.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gefs.aspx?run=na&lg=850&lglocation=Dublin

After that, maybe settling down again. 

Looks quite nondescript to me. 160 for 4 at the tea interval and a bit more life in the pitch than looked likely before start of play. Could go either way. All to play for.

Looks quite nondescript to me. 160 for 4 at the tea interval and a bit more life in the pitch than looked likely before start of play. Could go either way. All to play for. 

Surprisingly little difference with the Liverpool GEFS, Liverpool with some slightly higher PPN spikes initially and perhaps a degree or two cooler intermittently.

Looks quite nondescript to me. 160 for 4 at the tea interval and a bit more life in the pitch than looked likely before start of play. Could go either way. All to play for.

 

Here's hoping we get a good 5th wicket partnership rather than a more typical middle order collapse ......