Scottish Kierdog
14 March 2018 22:14:18

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


 


I expect that going from the start of the Aussie autumn (which will no doubt, still be far hotter than our own typical summer) to this extended winter which we are experiencing here during what is supposed to be our spring, will feel like quite a shock to the system whether you get those snow flurries up in Aberdeen or now.


 



 


Absolutely, hopefully i don't come down with a cold or flu.  Believe it or not it can actually get quite cold here. We had a night down to ~2c last winter and inland 20 miles it gets below freezing very regularly. There was snow about 2.5 hours from Brisbane inland twice in past 2 years. (quite heavy thick snow). Many of the houses here are fully tiles, single glazed and have poor insulation. So 2c-3c outside is very cold inside.


 


Charts look a little better for Aberdeen than the ones i looked at yesterday. They had most of the cold further south. Hopefully it continues to be nudged a little further north.

doctormog
14 March 2018 22:17:37

Originally Posted by: Scottish Kierdog 


 


 


Absolutely, hopefully i don't come down with a cold or flu.  Believe it or not it can actually get quite cold here. We had a night down to ~2c last winter and inland 20 miles it gets below freezing very regularly. There was snow about 2.5 hours from Brisbane inland twice in past 2 years. (quite heavy thick snow)


 


Charts look a little better for Aberdeen than the ones i looked at yesterday. They had most of the cold further south. Hopefully it continues to be nudged a little further north.



Long time no speak. 


Never mind the snow bring some nice Aussie sunshine over with you! 


fairweather
14 March 2018 22:37:36

Originally Posted by: Scottish Kierdog 


I'll be back in Aberdeen this Saturday for the next 3 weeks. Hoping to at least see some fluirries, but not enough to cause road chaos. 


It'll be my son's first trip to Scotland  (We live in OZ), so hopefully he can see a little snow. Don't get much of it down here in Brisbane, just endless days of boring sunshine with the odd super cell thrown in for good measure.  



Always rains when we play cricket there!  Love Brisbane, so bright and airy. But North around Noosa, even better.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Weathermac
14 March 2018 22:40:52

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


 


Indeed,  but there has been a significant shift northwards in the convective zone through today IMO. Not by a significant distance per se, but enough to give more of the UK population a significant snow risk. 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_84_1.png I’d imagine many central areas could also get in on the act with a profile like this. 


[/quote


 


Yet strangely the bbc update at 10 had the area of snow moving through the english channel just clipping the south coast.

Scottish Kierdog
14 March 2018 22:57:00

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Long time no speak. 


Never mind the snow bring some nice Aussie sunshine over with you! 



Yup it's been a while, in fact almost 8 years over here. I haven't been back to UK in a good 4 years. You get used to the sunshine and yearn for a bit of snow, or a cool rainy weekend every now and then! 


My partner hasn't seen much snow in her lifetime, so hopefully we can get a little snow fix 

Scottish Kierdog
14 March 2018 23:01:30

Originally Posted by: fairweather 


 


Always rains when we play cricket there!  Love Brisbane, so bright and airy. But North around Noosa, even better.



 


Noosa is lovely isn't it. Much prefer weekend drives to the North of Brisbane rather than the more touristy Gold Coast. Mind you some of the tablelands around the Gold Coast are beautiful, and much cooler in the hills.


The cricket often starts around late November early December which is the traditional super cell season, so you'll usually get some cracker of storms during the ashes etc.

Lionel Hutz
14 March 2018 23:06:08

Originally Posted by: Scottish Kierdog 


 


Yup it's been a while, in fact almost 8 years over here. I haven't been back to UK in a good 4 years. You get used to the sunshine and yearn for a bit of snow, or a cool rainy weekend every now and then! 


My partner hasn't seen much snow in her lifetime, so hopefully we can get a little snow fix 



Obviously, we all want to see snow, but I'd say most of us would particularly want you to see a bit. For most of us, even if we miss out this year, we know that we've got a chance next year. However, if you're based in Brisbane, then, this is as good as it gets. Best of luck 🍀 


Lionel Hutz
Nr.Waterford , S E Ireland
68m ASL



Jiries
14 March 2018 23:29:34

Amazing tonight and just thought it will be a minor one but now it seem near serious repeat from last beast.  Was going to wash my hat and gloves but now put on hold as I will use it again.

tallyho_83
15 March 2018 00:36:35

Originally Posted by: Jiries 


Amazing tonight and just thought it will be a minor one but now it seem near serious repeat from last beast.  Was going to wash my hat and gloves but now put on hold as I will use it again.



Indeed! Also Darren Bett said there is a chance of more prolonged snow potentially affecting southern parts on Saturday night into Sunday!!


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Ally Pally Snowman
15 March 2018 06:13:38

Great output this morning.


ECM at 72 is looking almost severe. Expect amber maybe even red warnings for the weekend


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Retron
15 March 2018 06:27:05

Talking of ECM, remember you can use weather.us to get all the parameters, including snow, dewpoint etc. Talking of which, here's the freezing level chart for 9PM on Friday. I think you can just about make out the arrival of the colder air if you look hard enough...



Leysdown, north Kent
White Meadows
15 March 2018 06:43:12
Upgrades all round this morning and a slight extension of the cold spell into next week.

It’s now almost nailed with arrival of frigid air at
Hard to imagine anything more than 5cm for worst hit areas at this time of year but didn’t Jersey get over a foot in 2013? Things could quite possibly upgrade further into tomorrow.
Crazy.
roadrunnerajn
15 March 2018 06:52:02
In 2013 the SW missed all the snow and we only had a few chilly nights. I am expecting the same this time around with a more NE flow than Beast 1. That said the low over Brest On Saturday night into Sunday might graze us otherwise dry and cold.
Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic.
doctormog
15 March 2018 06:59:36
Dry and cold for many (not all) seems likely. Tomorrow, as the cold air moves in, exposed high ground in the east or more NE will probably see snow. After that only a few snow flurries but cold as the real snow risk transfers to the southeast and perhaps the south more generally. I don’t think I will dust down the snow shovel again.

It certainly does look chilly for the time of year through the weekend across the models.
Chiltern Blizzard
15 March 2018 07:12:05

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

Upgrades all round this morning and a slight extension of the cold spell into next week.

It’s now almost nailed with arrival of frigid air at <T+36hrs.

Hard to imagine anything more than 5cm for worst hit areas at this time of year but didn’t Jersey get over a foot in 2013? Things could quite possibly upgrade further into tomorrow.
Crazy.


It’s quite possible to get more than 5cm of snow in March.... at just that it’s unlikely to hang around long and is almost always wet snow.  April 2008 saw 6 inches or so in quite a few places.  However, this time we may actually get powdery snow - truly remarkable for so near the equinox.  As for snow amounts and locations, I’m not even going to try and predict more than 24 hours out.


Rendlesham, Suffolk 20m asl
soperman
15 March 2018 08:27:18

Fax chart for Sunday shows promise if you want 

Gooner
15 March 2018 08:33:51

The French model which was excellent for the last event doesn't really give a huge amount of snow , all the same it will be good to get one last cold shot


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Lionel Hutz
15 March 2018 08:44:33

I always find the Icelandic weather service charts quite user friendly for events such as the upcoming weekend. They're based on ECM charts. They suggest decent levels of precipitation on Sunday for much of England and Wales and also reaching parts of Ireland too.


http://en.vedur.is/weather/forecasts/atlantic/#type=prec


The charts also suggest fairly high cloud cover. Ice-day on Sunday in parts?


Lionel Hutz
Nr.Waterford , S E Ireland
68m ASL



hobensotwo
15 March 2018 08:49:32

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

Upgrades all round this morning and a slight extension of the cold spell into next week.

It’s now almost nailed with arrival of frigid air at <T+36hrs.

Hard to imagine anything more than 5cm for worst hit areas at this time of year but didn’t Jersey get over a foot in 2013? Things could quite possibly upgrade further into tomorrow.
Crazy.


We did get at least that, and some of the drifts were way over 6ft burying street signs. and blocking roads. I don't think this will be anywhere near that bad, however it acts as proof that it can happen in late March.

Fargo
15 March 2018 09:03:56
Inevitable "upgrades" in PPN accumulations and distribution this morning with the high res models now coming into play. There will always be more snow than models initially suggest in these circumstances as they don't handle the convective stuff well (obviously). Think those in the SE and CS areas could be really surprised by this. Snow won't hang around that long but it could be extremely disruptive for short periods.
North Herefordshire 180m asl
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