According to the last BBC forecast I saw, Sunday looks to be pretty decent over virtually all of the UK, even NW Scotland.

I wouldn't say that the last warm spell a fortnight ago was purely confined to England. OK it didn't get to the high 20s here as happened in London but Saturday 21st April was a glorious day here, and easily our warmest day this year thus far.

The thinking yesterday was that the trailing cold front, although weak, would drift down into the central belt on Sunday and spoil the party. As you say, maybe that won't happen now and Edinburgh will have a bright weekend with 18 or 19 C which is perfectly acceptable.

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Model output across the board is showing clear skies for the entire 72 hours of the bank holiday weekend over the SE.

The weatheronline automated forecast shows London sunshine hours as 15.1, 15.1 and 15.2. That is incredible and surely unprecedented for a bank holiday weekend.

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Roller-coaster stuff from both GFS and ECM, right out to the end of the run. Low pressure sticking in mid-Atlantic, sometimes a bit closer so cold and breezy (esp in the NW),sometimes a bit further off and pumping up warm air from the Azores

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GFS keeps the roller coaster going, but ECM now stuck in a rather cool scenario for 5-10 days' time

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GFS keeps the roller coaster going, but ECM now stuck in a rather cool scenario for 5-10 days' time

 

Yes a disappointing ECM Op but the mean is much better in fact its very different.  So maybe a case of the Op going off on one or maybe the ensembles are playing catch up. 

 

A very settled mean at day 9.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

 

cool and unsettled Op at same point. very different 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.html

 

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This looks good.

 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

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12z GEM shows an improving picture through next weekend and into the following week as high pressure makes a quick return

Becoming warmer again as well

👍

12z GEM shows an improving picture through next weekend and into the following week as high pressure makes a quick return

Becoming warmer again as well

👍

great stuff. :-)

 

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This looks good.

 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

Sure does, a mean trough down here means a good chance of some cloud and/or rain. I'm not sure that's what you meant though.

Incidentally, it's remarkable just how limpet-like high pressure has been to Scandinavia since February. That's coming up to 3 months now!

 

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Sure does, a mean trough down here means a good chance of some cloud and/or rain. I'm not sure that's what you meant though.

Incidentally, it's remarkable just how limpet-like high pressure has been to Scandinavia since February. That's coming up to 3 months now!

 

Oh how I long for endless days of 35deg right over Kent just to keep you happy Darren. 

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I'm going to the east neuk of fife for the bank holiday and the metoffice says a max of 10c on bank holiday monday. Are we on the same planet?

 

Wooh, it got up to nearly 12C! In your face London!

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/gfjbwz5gy

 

 

 

 

Wooh, it got up to nearly 12C! In your face London!

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/gfjbwz5gy

 

 

Bet that easterly straight off the icy North Sea was bracing Noodle!

By the way, your garden in Edinburgh got 23 C yesterday and today 😂

Sorry

 

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weather set fair for this week with not much rain and the tentative signs of high pressure building into next week......can't complain

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weather set fair for this week with not much rain and the tentative signs of high pressure building into next week......can't complain

 

I think that's a pretty fair assessment judging by the day 8 ECM mean this morning high pressure edging in. no heatwave but pleasant enough with temps prob just above average.

 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem1921.html

 

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New thread on the way....

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