Met Office Hadley       No  Update Yet...

Metcheck       4.37c.      Anomaly     0.17c.

Netweather    4.94c.      Anomaly     0.73c.

Peasedown St John       4.6c.    Anomaly    -0.7c.   

Its starting to look like those right at the top will be just about right

Met Office Hadley            4.7c.         Anomaly        0.8c.  Provisional to 15th.

Metcheck                         4.61c.       Anomaly        0.41c.

Netweather                      5.19c.       Anomaly        0.3c.        

Peasedown St John     4.9c.       Anomaly    -0.4c. 

Yes. I really do think my 5c guess was too low, rather than too high.  Roller coaster or what?  

I think I have got myself in a spot of bother with my 1.1c prediction. 

I think I have got myself in a spot of bother with my 1.1c prediction. 

Well, you will go changing your entry at the 11th hour

(if it's any consolation, which I know it won't be, when you made that change, it was a fair shout - Just goes to show how volatile the models were around the turn of the month)

 

 

Well, you will go changing your entry at the 11th hour

(if it's any consolation, which I know it won't be, when you made that change, it was a fair shout - Just goes to show how volatile the models were around the turn of the month)

Indeed, I very nearly, VERY nearly, jumped with Steve. As it is im still too low.

Met Office Hadley         4.9c.        Anomaly       1.1c.  Provisional to 16th.

Metcheck                      4.81c.      Anomaly       0.61c.

Netweather                   5.37c.      Anomaly       1.18c.

Peasedown St  John     5.1c.     Anomaly   -0.2c.

I think this is one of those months where I might have done better if all predictions had been by PM. I was minded to go milder but toned it down when I saw everyone's cold guesses. As it is I think we are all going to finish too low. There was a real taste of spring in the air today... 

6.2c is a final estimate from the latest model output. A markedly mild second half of the month

Met Office Hadley           5.1c.        Anomaly        1.4c.     Provisional to   18th.

Metcheck                        5.0c.        Anomaly         0.80c.

Netweather                     5.57c.      Anomaly         1.38c.

Peasedown St John     5.3c.       Anomaly      0.0c.

I think I have got myself in a spot of bother with my 1.1c prediction. 

I'm not laughing!  I'm with Saint and thought there was a chance you could be right. 

Thanks Caz. 

It was brave but perfectly plausible at the time..in typical fashion the models flipped the very next morning. 

Its a mountain to climb now..I will not give up. Small incremental gains is my game plan this year now. I've set my sights high and am aiming for a mid table finish. 

Met Office Hadley no update today.

Metcheck     5·21c. Anomaly  1·01c.

Netweather  5·68c.  Anomaly  1·49c. 

Peasedown St John 5·4c. Anomaly 0·1c 

Why, oh why did I think (given there's so much warmth in the world atm) that this month might be just average. Doh!  I mean, well known warmist me fell for the model output 

Sigh.  Note to self: back to, guess +.5/1C for me

 

Thanks Caz. 

It was brave but perfectly plausible at the time..in typical fashion the models flipped the very next morning. 

Its a mountain to climb now..I will not give up. Small incremental gains is my game plan this year now. I've set my sights high and am aiming for a mid table finish. 

 

Enjoy your mountaineering!  

I think this is one of those months where I might have done better if all predictions had been by PM. I was minded to go milder but toned it down when I saw everyone's cold guesses. As it is I think we are all going to finish too low. There was a real taste of spring in the air today... 

When I saw everyone going low I thought I was way  too high. Now it looks like we're all too low.

Why, oh why did I think (given there's so much warmth in the world atm) that this month might be just average. Doh!  I mean, well known warmist me fell for the model output 

Sigh.  Note to self: back to, guess +.5/1C for me

That's the great British weather for you!   

Up to 19th February my mean sits at 6.3c. 

Max 8.8c - Min 3.9c