Solar Cycles
20 January 2018 09:52:25
Still not a great deal of certainty where we are heading post +144, potential N/NW before heights build over and cut off the cold feed and bring a mildish S/SW flow or the potential of heights retrogressing to our NE, I favour this outcome less at this moment in time.
doctormog
20 January 2018 10:36:45

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


Salivating pics. 😁



On that subject...



(The joys of cold zonality!)


Brian Gaze
20 January 2018 10:58:08
One problem is the days are lengthening quite quickly now. Therefore the impacts of high pressure blocking become increasingly dependent on its positioning. You could say Rex marks the spot.
Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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Solar Cycles
20 January 2018 11:09:21

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


On that subject...



(The joys of cold zonality!)


🤤🤤🤤

Whether Idle
20 January 2018 11:09:40

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


On that subject...



(The joys of cold zonality!)




Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
nsrobins
20 January 2018 11:46:24

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


On that subject...



(The joys of cold zonality!)



Looks fantastic. Shame only 0.2% of the population can enjoy it 😉


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Charmhills
20 January 2018 11:48:43

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


On that subject...



(The joys of cold zonality!)



Talk about near perfect skiing conditions.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
doctormog
20 January 2018 11:49:54

Actually Neil being a ski centre it is designed for people to go there to enjoy as 0% of the population actually live on Glencoe. That was not my point though and you know it. My point is it looks like wintry perfection, the low level snow was also mightily impressive in places. Just not here. 


Sunday’s warnings have been extended a bit further south this morning (with uncertainty noted) so it will be worth watching the higher resolution models closely in the next couple of runs. 


NickR
20 January 2018 11:58:19

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Actually Neil being a ski centre it is designed for people to go there to enjoy as 0% of the population actually live on Glencoe. That was not my point though and you know it. My point is it looks like wintry perfection, the low level snow was also mightily impressive in places. Just not here. 


Sunday’s warnings have been extended a bit further south this morning (with uncertainty noted) so it will be worth watching the higher resolution models closely in the next couple of runs. 



The range of timings and amounts is really extremely varied across the output.  GFS has sleet here from about 11am. ICON has snow reaching us at closer to 5pm!


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
marco 79
20 January 2018 12:00:55
Just looked at Glenshee webcam....Cairnwell looks perfect .....The carpark has more cars in it than my local retail park in Leicester..!!....Trying to find Scottish mountain thread in here but seems to have disappeared..
Home : Mid Leicestershire ...135m ASL
nsrobins
20 January 2018 14:15:51

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Actually Neil being a ski centre it is designed for people to go there to enjoy as 0% of the population actually live on Glencoe. That was not my point though and you know it. My point is it looks like wintry perfection, the low level snow was also mightily impressive in places. Just not here. 


Sunday’s warnings have been extended a bit further south this morning (with uncertainty noted) so it will be worth watching the higher resolution models closely in the next couple of runs. 



Yes it was tongue in cheek. I was just filling the thread as I felt sorry for it.


I’ve walked that range in Summer but never had the pleasure of skiing - the conditions look great but I fear all but the highest elevations may lose quite a volume next week.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
dagspot
20 January 2018 14:53:03

Sounds like chaos at Glencoe. Cars abandoned, A82 tailbacks and police advising those travelling towards to turn back. Not sure why anyone would be surprised. We dont do winter logistics very well...


Neilston 600ft ASL
squish
20 January 2018 16:09:02
12z UKMO !!
Not a very mild outlook
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
squish
20 January 2018 16:12:05
I think they must have had an old run up briefly on meteociel...excitement over!!
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
doctormog
20 January 2018 16:28:10

Originally Posted by: squish 

I think they must have had an old run up briefly on meteociel...excitement over!!


To be fair, it’s not that consistently mild either http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/UKMOPEU12_120_1.png 


It would be a bit milder on either side other this though.


ballogie
20 January 2018 16:28:24

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


 


Looks fantastic. Shame only 0.2% of the population can enjoy it 😉



 


Suits me. The car park is full anyway  http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-42760394

tallyho_83
20 January 2018 16:41:39

Just because this looks good - JFF:



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Quantum
20 January 2018 16:59:29

Oh god, you know the outlook is bad when people start posting GEFS members beyond 240 hours.


 


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
White Meadows
20 January 2018 16:59:58

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

One problem is the days are lengthening quite quickly now. Therefore the impacts of high pressure blocking become increasingly dependent on its positioning. You could say Rex marks the spot.


Thats right Brian. February historically produces more Scandy & Siberian highs than other winter month, however any lying snow melts quicker than a chocolate fire guard with the sun hitting up and the afternoons get longer again.

Whether Idle
20 January 2018 17:13:50

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


 


Thats right Brian. February historically produces more Scandy & Siberian highs than other winter month, however any lying snow melts quicker than a chocolate fire guard with the sun hitting up and the afternoons get longer again.



February, despite its 28 days compared to January's 31, produces more days of snowcover in some areas of the British isles, on the LTA.


  So, when we look at these facts, we see that upper air temperature, actual snow falling and then laying, assisted by colder air-masses, tends to outweigh the sun strength argument, which, frankly, is a non starter for me.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
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