Here are the predictions for September. Nobody has gone below average. Good call. The question was how warm it would be. Well the first half has been exceptional - second warmest ever. But the second half looks close to average. But even so we should still see something in the mid 15's at worst.

Here are the latest charts and data for September. Probably three consecutive CET data records earlier in the month. Will need to wait for the final data for confirmation. The third one is marginal.

I take it the graphs in bright red were new all time CET records for those days.

 

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Those September CET graphs look incredible.

 

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Thank You GW for the charts and tables...

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Mat Office Hadley                16.9c.           Anomaly          3.0c.     Provisional    to  19th.

Metcheck                             16.88c.          Anomaly           3.16c.

Netweather                          17.52c.          Anomaly           3.83c.

Peasedown St John            17.7c.          Anomaly           3.4c.

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I notice that all of the top 6, including myself have underestimated by quite a large amount this month. So I think the table will look very different by the beginning of October ..........

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14.6C (+2C) here, it will drop  fair bit more the last ten days I suspect.

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Thanks GW!  Hope you had a good holiday.  

The last week of the month isn't looking as warm now, which is a shame for any records. But I'll settle for mid 15's for my guess. 

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Met Office Hadley               16.8c.            Anomaly       2.9c.   Provisional to 20th.

Metcheck                            16.75c.          Anomaly       3.03c.

Netweather                         17.38c.          Anomaly       3.69c.

Peasedown St John           16.6c.            Anomaly         3.3c.   

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Met Office Hadley          16.7c.       Anomaly          2.6c.  Provisional  t0  21st.

Metcheck                       16.69c.     Anomaly          2.97c.

Netweather                    17.34c.     Anomaly          3.64c.

Peasedown St John         16.5c.       Anomaly          3.2c.  

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Met Office Hadley             16.6c.           Anomaly           2.8c.    Provisional to 22nd.

Metcheck                          16.52c.         Anomaly           2.80c.  

Netweather                       17.21c.         Anomaly           3.52c.

Peasedown St John         16.5c.         Anomaly            3.2c.        

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Current output now suggesting something warmer for next week but only briefly.

My latest calculations suggest we could get close to 16C for September as a whole. Currently the final day of the month is looking easily the coldest of the month. We need the warmer weather to hold on for another day if we want to have a 16.0C month.

Currently I expect the CET to be at 16.06C on the 29th but drop off to 15.90C on the 30th. So we will be very close and if we do see some high temperatures next week then 16C is quite possible.

I notice that all of the top 6, including myself have underestimated by quite a large amount this month. So I think the table will look very different by the beginning of October ..........

Yes the table is going to get its biggest shakeup for some time this month. Big changes in the offing.

But it will keep things very interesting. Based on my latest calculations we could find that the top 10 in the table at the end of September are separated by just 0.25C. The top 20 will all be within 1C. To be honest anyone in the top 42 or thereabouts is still in with a reasonable chance of winning with some careful predictions in the final 3 months of the year.

Met Office Hadley                 16.5c.            Anomaly        2.7c.   Provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck                              16.43c.          Anomaly        2.70c.

Netweather                           17.07c.          Anomaly        3.38c.

 

Peasedown St John             16.4c.           Anomaly        3.1c.          

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Met Office Hadley             16.5c.          Anomaly          2.7c.     Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck                          16.44c.        Anomaly          2.72c.

Netweather                       17.08c.        Anomaly          3.39c.

 

Peasedown St John          16.4c.        Anomaly       3.1c. 

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Current output now suggesting something warmer for next week but only briefly.

My latest calculations suggest we could get close to 16C for September as a whole. Currently the final day of the month is looking easily the coldest of the month. We need the warmer weather to hold on for another day if we want to have a 16.0C month.

Currently I expect the CET to be at 16.06C on the 29th but drop off to 15.90C on the 30th. So we will be very close and if we do see some high temperatures next week then 16C is quite possible.

The weather has been superb here this month and from my perspective would be deserving of a finish above 16c. Although it won't do my competition position any good. 

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Met Office Hadley              16.4c.          Anomaly        2.7c.    provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                           16.29c.        Anomaly        2.36c.

Netweather                        17.0c.          Anomaly        3.31c.

 

Peasedown St John           16.3c.          Anomaly        3.0c.        

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Met Office Hadley             16.2c.          Anomaly     2.6c.   provisional to 26th.

Metcheck                          16.18c.        Anomaly     2.46c.

Netweather                       16.86c.        Anomaly     3.17c.

 

Peasedown St John         16.2c.          Anomaly     2.9c.    

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The final figure could end up as low as 15.9  There will be a few lucky punters and a tightening of the competition.

Edit - hasn't shifted much in last days.

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Met Office Hadley           16.2c.         Anomaly         2.6c.  Provisional to  27th.

Metcheck                        16.15c.       Anomaly         2.43c.

Netweather                     16.82c.       Anomaly         3.13c.

 

Peasedown St John       16.2c         Anomaly          2.9c.

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